WNBA · resolved market
New York Liberty vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 163.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd8f950b0b27045a40044cdf4e6b3e72bfeb2809b0164a1a288eee427c763786
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,290
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,555
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,290 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 50c | 30,199$15,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,152.68 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaed0…6f18backed Under | 50c | 25,251$12,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,625.58 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Under | 49c | 14,728$7,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,472.91 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 50c | 10,587$5,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,290.98 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Under | 51c | 6,071$3,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,974.59 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 48c | 2,969$1,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534.46 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Under | 69c | 2,641$1,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.17 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 32c | 2,595$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.34 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…a3c4backed Over | 50c | 2,379$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -44%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81a2…2d93backed Under | 50c | 2,160$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 50c | 1,439$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.11 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 52c | 829.63$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.05 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Over | 50c | 779$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.5 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 49c | 762.93$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.84 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe78…edacbacked Over | 52c | 573.6$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Over | 52c | 561.69$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.08 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Under | 54c | 558.52$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.52 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 50c | 528$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cad…0758backed Over | 52c | 508.5$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 17c | 501.1$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.45 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Over | 31c | 454.09$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.01 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa213…6907backed Over | 47c | 450$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…fb89backed Under | 51c | 428.07$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.81 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb020…92f3backed Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Over | 47c | 361$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.06 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over | 30c | 278.3$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.68 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 50c | 220$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Under | 72c | 215.75$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.75 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x79c7…2699backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe187…a69cbacked Over | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8345…5cadbacked Under | 50c | 164.97$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.49 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 51c | 160$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Over | 20c | 159.55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781d…201bbacked Over | 50c | 156.86$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.43 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Over | 28c | 152.93$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.29 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 50c | 136.69$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.35 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Over | 50c | 130.52$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.95 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e5…f52cbacked Over | 50c | 130$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad65…0025backed Over | 26c | 107.53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Under | 69c | 100.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.3 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa68…ba5dbacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…764bbacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 48c | 90$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.87 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…4b3cbacked Over | 50c | 88.94$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.47 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 42c | 84.48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed Under | 70c | 83.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 53c | 76.53$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.97 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd13c…98a7backed Over | 17c | 75.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Under | 51c | 68.61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.46 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 52c | 61.54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Under | 49c | 57.28$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.21 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Over | 52c | 56.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.31 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Over | 43c | 56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a01…1a3cbacked Under | 71c | 53.83$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Over | 51c | 53.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 50c | 52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Under | 80c | 51.25$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…a806backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Over | 52c | 46.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 52c | 43.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under | 48c | 42.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35c9…bc74backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7497…18cebacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Over | 31c | 37.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Over | 50c | 34.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55c8…b64bbacked Over | 36c | 31.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ae…5310backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a15…e238backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a0…5911backed Over | 51c | 27.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -6.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5b89…23fbbacked Over | 50c | 23.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 49c | 20.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Over | 50c | 20.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 50c | 20.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c03…31bbbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b4…c19bbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Under | 51c | 19.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Liberty vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 163.5this page
- New York Liberty vs. Golden State ValkyriesGolden State Valkyries won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-1.5)Golden State Valkyries won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.