TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x19b4…c19b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
39
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Tennis, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 56 out of 100; worst WNBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT2060%12 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Washington Nationals vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Miami Marlins vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.58
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Chicago Cubs vs. New York Metsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+105.1%+$21.02
Texas Rangers vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Miami Marlinsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)backed Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
All 20 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+32.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ITF Tanger: Karim Bennani vs Sean Cueninbacked Karim Bennani · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Targu Mures: Sumit Nagal vs Cezar Cretubacked Sumit Nagal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Tristan Boyerbacked Tristan Boyer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Nicolas Mejia vs Tristan Schoolkatebacked Nicolas Mejia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Rebecca Sramkova vs Teodora Kostovicbacked Teodora Kostovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+119.8%+$23.96
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Henry Searlebacked Vilius Gaubas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Francisca Jorge vs Lina Gjorcheskabacked Francisca Jorge · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
ITF Porto: Joao Domingues vs Maxwell Mckennonbacked Maxwell Mckennon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Arthur Fery vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Targu Mures: Luca Castelnuovo vs Franco Agamenonebacked Luca Castelnuovo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Piracicaba: Juan Bautista Torres vs Alex Hernandezbacked Alex Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Coleman Wong vs Borna Gojobacked Borna Gojo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+103.6%+$10.36
Mallorca Championships: Mariano Navone vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Lorenzo Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+125.7%+$18.85
HSBC Championships: Francisco Cerundolo vs Tommy Paulbacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
All 14 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+128.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Leroy Sané: 2+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$29.72
France vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.