TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$111,052
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$111,378

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,052 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x09b5…7e72backed Over51c51,446$26,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,208.3111849.2%58 W · 60 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Under49c50,000$24,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,50055053.1%292 W · 258 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under37c9,099$3,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,329.9810,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Over51c8,888$4,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,377.3447953.2%255 W · 224 L+18.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Under49c8,594$4,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,211.2329147.1%137 W · 154 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over62c7,669$4,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,943.888,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under45c5,659$2,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,523.3711,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over59c5,165$3,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,117.394,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50044749.2%220 W · 227 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked Over50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00075248.8%367 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over50c2,896$1,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,453.574,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over52c2,863$1,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,374.2312,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under33c2,239$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.8791252.4%478 W · 434 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15e9…26bebacked Over49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0201346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under52c1,897$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.081,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under50c1,753$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868.756,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under50c1,319$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.392046%423 W · 497 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under51c1,245$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.9571650.7%363 W · 353 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over48c1,225$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.13,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57b1…4b99backed Over52c1,154$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.8417546.9%82 W · 93 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3603…22edbacked Under48c1,011$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49051849.4%256 W · 262 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50024651.6%127 W · 119 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Over50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40016644.6%74 W · 92 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Under48c773.79$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.4271850.1%360 W · 358 L-0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84a3…44dcbacked Over50c651.4$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.710344.7%46 W · 57 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Over51c599.99$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29423758.6%139 W · 98 L+16.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under49c576$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.664,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over52c508.42$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.974,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc365…2e53backed Under36c501$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.071,60753.2%855 W · 752 L+74.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under50c435.72$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.8661450.8%312 W · 302 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over50c420.64$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.321,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa24…a75cbacked Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2008757.5%50 W · 37 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5b1…e904backed Under51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20469351.9%360 W · 333 L+26.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over47c380.51$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.471,14731.6%362 W · 785 L-97.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1c5b…350abacked Over68c367.8$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.7977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over45c315$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.68,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Over51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14758652.7%309 W · 277 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under49c239.99$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.673849.3%364 W · 374 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over57c238.53$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.5712549.6%62 W · 63 L+5.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over49c218.25$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.328,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over49c209.99$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.033,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x700b…8d0bbacked Under50c209.48$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.748944.9%40 W · 49 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Over50c200$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1012,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa65c…509dbacked Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024350.2%122 W · 121 L-0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa95a…6b78backed Under49c196.44$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.266552.3%34 W · 31 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Over59c188.37$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.652,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked Under44c162.36$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.393661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe134…f6dabacked Under38c130.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3574657.8%431 W · 315 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda48…5926backed Over61c124.27$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.5812339%48 W · 75 L-9.7wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-26.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under60c105.73$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.453,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4193…4853backed Over51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4984651.5%436 W · 410 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Under32c98$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3690446.9%424 W · 480 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x88fb…db3abacked Over52c90.38$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.3873243.4%318 W · 414 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Over50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401,75350.8%890 W · 863 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa461…878abacked Over50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4015862.7%99 W · 59 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over48c70$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.12,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under51c63.63$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.451,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under51c59.44$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.312,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fe3…a9f7backed Under44c56.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256053.3%32 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.51,17249.1%575 W · 597 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x702e…ff44backed Over51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.526444.3%117 W · 147 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over50c49.99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.832,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60d2…4268backed Over51c48$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5214753.1%78 W · 69 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37b9…bf5cbacked Over56c47.21$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.971050%5 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under45c46$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.681,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x522f…1164backed Over50c46$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2339250.3%197 W · 195 L+18.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x193a…2b55backed Under49c44.9$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2223455.1%129 W · 105 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9991…36b8backed Over54c44.05$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4326063.8%166 W · 94 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over49c40.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.252,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5407…5bbdbacked Under32c40$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.877836%280 W · 498 L-17.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Over52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.461,19753.9%645 W · 552 L+42.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Over51c37.74$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.484,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff68…8379backed Over54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0426940.5%109 W · 160 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5559…2bd2backed Under49c36.73$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under54c35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.91,77758.4%1,037 W · 740 L+91.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Under50c34.71$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3625448.4%123 W · 131 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4f9…84f7backed Over54c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.89047.8%43 W · 47 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd56d…4928backed Over52c28.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.853839.5%15 W · 23 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-21.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf69f…ffeebacked Under44c27.27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc93d…23d5backed Under43c26.93$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5219756.9%112 W · 85 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x55c8…b64bbacked Under56c26.68$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+55.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over51c26.32$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1df6…cba0backed Over45c25.72$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.271,44550.3%727 W · 718 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over49c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.752,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Over51c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2552852.1%275 W · 253 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Over50c20.32$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.161,00157.3%574 W · 427 L+2.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,01447.7%484 W · 530 L-28.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19b4…c19bbacked Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102060%12 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Over63c19.56$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.1958649.5%290 W · 296 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.