MLB · resolved market
Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c955cc513c1f2df077380456ce23cd628f18cdb843802553864346324917b60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $111,052
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $111,378
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,052 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed Over | 51c | 51,446$26,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,208.31 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 49c | 50,000$24,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,500 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 37c | 9,099$3,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,329.98 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Over | 51c | 8,888$4,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,377.34 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Under | 49c | 8,594$4,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,211.23 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 62c | 7,669$4,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,943.88 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 45c | 5,659$2,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,523.37 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 59c | 5,165$3,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,117.39 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 50c | 2,896$1,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453.57 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 52c | 2,863$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.23 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 33c | 2,239$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.87 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…26bebacked Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 52c | 1,897$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.08 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 50c | 1,753$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.75 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 50c | 1,319$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.3 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Under | 51c | 1,245$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.95 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 48c | 1,225$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.1 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Over | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.84 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked Under | 48c | 1,011$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Under | 48c | 773.79$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.42 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84a3…44dcbacked Over | 50c | 651.4$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.7 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Over | 51c | 599.99$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 49c | 576$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.66 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 52c | 508.42$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.97 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Under | 36c | 501$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.07 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 50c | 435.72$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.86 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 50c | 420.64$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.32 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa24…a75cbacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Under | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 47c | 380.51$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.47 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5b…350abacked Over | 68c | 367.8$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.7 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 45c | 315$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.6 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Under | 49c | 239.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 57c | 238.53$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.57 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 49c | 218.25$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.32 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 49c | 209.99$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.03 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700b…8d0bbacked Under | 50c | 209.48$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.74 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Over | 50c | 200$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa95a…6b78backed Under | 49c | 196.44$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.26 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 59c | 188.37$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.65 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Under | 44c | 162.36$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.39 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 38c | 130.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.35 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda48…5926backed Over | 61c | 124.27$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.58 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 60c | 105.73$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.45 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 32c | 98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Over | 52c | 90.38$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.38 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…878abacked Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 158 | 62.7%99 W · 59 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 48c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.1 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 51c | 63.63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 51c | 59.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.31 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe3…a9f7backed Under | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 264 | 44.3%117 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 50c | 49.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60d2…4268backed Over | 51c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…bf5cbacked Over | 56c | 47.21$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.97 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 45c | 46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Over | 50c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x193a…2b55backed Under | 49c | 44.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 234 | 55.1%129 W · 105 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Over | 54c | 44.05$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 260 | 63.8%166 W · 94 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 49c | 40.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…5bbdbacked Under | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 778 | 36%280 W · 498 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Over | 51c | 37.74$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff68…8379backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5559…2bd2backed Under | 49c | 36.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 54c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Under | 50c | 34.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd56d…4928backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf69f…ffeebacked Under | 44c | 27.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc93d…23d5backed Under | 43c | 26.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55c8…b64bbacked Under | 56c | 26.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 51c | 26.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Over | 45c | 25.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 50c | 20.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b4…c19bbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Over | 63c | 19.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 586 | 49.5%290 W · 296 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5this page
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-3.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-4.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-5.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue JaysTexas Rangers won
- Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 10.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 11.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue JaysYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.