MLB · resolved market
Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37c1694a6566aa2f41dfdb629e2e801f8db45055db690f71f778d8632d0b4588
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Cubsof Chicago Cubs, New York Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $326,630
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $319,870
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $326,630 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 272 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Chicago Cubs | 68c | 74,055$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,055.34 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed New York Mets | 31c | 61,534$19,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,294.26 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked New York Mets | 42c | 32,421$13,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,526.21 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Mets | 36c | 21,971$7,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,825.42 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed New York Mets | 51c | 17,274$8,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,851 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 14,140$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,363 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 13,489$7,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,168.13 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Mets | 47c | 10,233$4,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,810.02 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 9,638$4,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,894.94 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Mets | 51c | 7,993$4,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,060.61 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Chicago Cubs | 53c | 6,756$3,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,168.62 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed New York Mets | 45c | 6,750$3,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,065.09 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed New York Mets | 50c | 5,530$2,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,752.82 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked New York Mets | 43c | 4,824$2,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,095.51 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed New York Mets | 47c | 4,693$2,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,226.2 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked New York Mets | 48c | 4,424$2,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,123.45 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked New York Mets | 45c | 4,336$1,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,951.2 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked New York Mets | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x468a…c764backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 3,892$2,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,868.28 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed New York Mets | 48c | 3,660$1,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,756.6 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +237.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed New York Mets | 45c | 3,105$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.54 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed New York Mets | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed New York Mets | 46c | 2,900$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.65 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed New York Mets | 46c | 2,886$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.06 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked New York Mets | 45c | 2,839$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.61 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 2,704$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.94 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked New York Mets | 45c | 2,569$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.46 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 2,470$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.04 | 296 | 56.1%166 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked New York Mets | 51c | 2,251$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.05 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed New York Mets | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked New York Mets | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.16 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b94…b660backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 2,027$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.31 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb56d…d621backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.02 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 1,934$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.78 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 1,793$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.8 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3451…a6e1backed New York Mets | 28c | 1,600$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 1,586$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.4 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Chicago Cubs | 64c | 1,562$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.4 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Chicago Cubs | 64c | 1,562$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.4 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed New York Mets | 46c | 1,448$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.99 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…6aa1backed New York Mets | 47c | 1,441$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.62 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Chicago Cubs | 64c | 1,419$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.99 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Mets | 46c | 1,329$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.62 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 1,296$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.22 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked New York Mets | 45c | 1,284$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.02 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 1,185$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.33 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Chicago Cubs | 65c | 1,153$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.03 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed New York Mets | 42c | 1,093$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.61 | 231 | 40.3%93 W · 138 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Chicago Cubs | 65c | 1,018$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.9 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 995.26$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.77 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed New York Mets | 46c | 995.26$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.82 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed New York Mets | 46c | 936.44$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.77 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 917.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.71 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Chicago Cubs | 55c | 857.65$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.61 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Chicago Cubs | 67c | 832.34$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.02 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Chicago Cubs | 65c | 785.47$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.11 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 744.82$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.84 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Chicago Cubs | 49c | 701$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.51 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed New York Mets | 46c | 695$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.7 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Chicago Cubs | 72c | 694.66$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.69 | 439 | 54.7%240 W · 199 L | +30.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…0adfbacked Chicago Cubs | 63c | 639.5$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.5 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed New York Mets | 46c | 621.11$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.71 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed New York Mets | 9c | 615.78$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.29 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed New York Mets | 46c | 590.44$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.71 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed New York Mets | 42c | 569.96$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.51 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed New York Mets | 47c | 561.26$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.28 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked New York Mets | 33c | 557.47$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.55 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed New York Mets | 45c | 545$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.03 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 532.07$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.39 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0098…71e0backed Chicago Cubs | 68c | 531.65$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.65 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2a…4fd0backed New York Mets | 48c | 508$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…15fcbacked New York Mets | 48c | 495.9$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.03 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b16…1290backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 486.36$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.36 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Chicago Cubs | 64c | 469.81$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.87 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Chicago Cubs | 62c | 462$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.98 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked New York Mets | 48c | 460.35$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.8 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Chicago Cubs | 55c | 459.4$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.73 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed New York Mets | 41c | 456$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.9 | 430 | 43%185 W · 245 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked New York Mets | 49c | 448.04$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.54 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed New York Mets | 45c | 434.97$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.74 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed New York Mets | 45c | 433.75$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.19 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed New York Mets | 45c | 430.99$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.95 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed New York Mets | 46c | 405$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.3 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked New York Mets | 47c | 400$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa8…1f7bbacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b54…d382backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 383.49$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.24 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 380$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.8 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 336.28$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.69 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6e…4555backed New York Mets | 47c | 331$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.57 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed New York Mets | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 529 | 47.4%251 W · 278 L | -24.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Chicago Cubs | 63c | 317.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.12 | 405 | 54.8%222 W · 183 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700b…8d0bbacked Chicago Cubs | 65c | 308.93$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.93 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed New York Mets | 47c | 300$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.5 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New York Mets | 48c | 298.11$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.77 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a70…4865backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 289.31$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.31 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 253.7$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.7 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked New York Mets | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed New York Mets | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Cubs vs. New York Metsthis page
- Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets: O/U 11.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets: O/U 5.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-4.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. New York MetsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.