MLB · resolved market
Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b55db5000375c3a77366477d5321a3b5d27f4973cec47332bcd7147829497d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansas City Royalsof Kansas City Royals, Tampa Bay Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $459,894
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $422,353
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $459,894 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 338 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Kansas City Royals | 40c | 92,120$36,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,370.54 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tampa Bay Rays | 19c | 71,777$13,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,761.98 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 58,847$37,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,073.5 | 771 | 53.8%415 W · 356 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 40,000$25,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,200 | 883 | 49.3%435 W · 448 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Kansas City Royals | 37c | 32,250$11,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,317.62 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Kansas City Royals | 37c | 20,000$7,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,600 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Kansas City Royals | 62c | 14,462$8,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,547.87 | 970 | 44.9%436 W · 534 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Kansas City Royals | 37c | 13,514$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,513.51 | 356 | 43.5%155 W · 201 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 12,698$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 441 | 54.2%239 W · 202 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 12,344$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 10,901$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Kansas City Royals | 37c | 8,034$2,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,064.6 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…273fbacked Kansas City Royals | 67c | 7,751$5,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,557.75 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -30%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 18c | 7,657$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.72 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 29c | 6,707$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940.49 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 6,342$3,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,087.9 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Tampa Bay Rays | 37c | 5,777$2,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120.85 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kansas City Royals | 37c | 5,377$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,412.48 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Kansas City Royals | 38c | 5,196$1,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,247.17 | 983 | 49.8%490 W · 493 L | -18.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 26c | 4,970$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.2 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 4,762$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 4,512$2,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,842.56 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 4,216$2,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,403.12 | 712 | 53.4%380 W · 332 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Kansas City Royals | 37c | 4,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,519.97 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…5bb7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,119.97 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…bc89backed Tampa Bay Rays | 64c | 3,906$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.84 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 3,770$2,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,375.52 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Kansas City Royals | 37c | 3,514$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,213.51 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 3,492$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Kansas City Royals | 40c | 3,131$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,868.09 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 2,737$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.24 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 2,400$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 2,381$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Tampa Bay Rays | 64c | 2,344$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 234 | 57.7%135 W · 99 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 2,271$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.91 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 1,777$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.19 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 64c | 1,600$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024 | 205 | 55.6%114 W · 91 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 1,578$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.28 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Kansas City Royals | 37c | 1,528$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.64 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Kansas City Royals | 40c | 1,503$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.32 | 926 | 45.9%425 W · 501 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Kansas City Royals | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.98 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…476cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 64c | 1,436$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2972…3f29backed Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 1,238$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 12c | 1,190$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.8 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Kansas City Royals | 67c | 1,178$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.58 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 1,123$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.44 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 1,022$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.49 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Kansas City Royals | 47c | 1,021$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.28 | 251 | 53%133 W · 118 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…359cbacked Kansas City Royals | 47c | 1,021$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.28 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c79…fdf7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 1,020$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.98 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Tampa Bay Rays | 30c | 1,008$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.44 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Tampa Bay Rays | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 62c | 949.96$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.97 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…38e5backed Kansas City Royals | 38c | 857.89$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.89 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 848$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.72 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Kansas City Royals | 37c | 824.99$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.75 | 1,418 | 43.4%616 W · 802 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 809.85$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.99 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 8c | 800$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea39…9d34backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 800$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…15fcbacked Kansas City Royals | 37c | 799.94$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.97 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Tampa Bay Rays | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 288 | 51%147 W · 141 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 759$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.17 | 286 | 47.2%135 W · 151 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Tampa Bay Rays | 64c | 725.6$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.25 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Kansas City Royals | 37c | 675.68$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.68 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 642.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 296 | 56.1%166 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 606$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.78 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b8…8712backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 580.06$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.03 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Kansas City Royals | 37c | 570.36$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.33 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0af1…1901backed Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 550$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.5 | 69 | 66.7%46 W · 23 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Tampa Bay Rays | 31c | 526.97$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.36 | 1,139 | 42.7%486 W · 653 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdef…7f98backed Tampa Bay Rays | 29c | 517.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2b…2cd8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 129 | 57.4%74 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5729…b054backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 34c | 499.98$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.99 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Kansas City Royals | 36c | 492.47$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.18 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 64c | 489.7$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.21 | 469 | 46.3%217 W · 252 L | -25.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce6…f60abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 64c | 480.01$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…470fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 460.66$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.48 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x63f3…458bbacked Kansas City Royals | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Kansas City Royals | 53c | 429.73$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.97 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 18c | 413.56$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.39 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Kansas City Royals | 37c | 409.99$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.3 | 1,326 | 44%583 W · 743 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed Kansas City Royals | 37c | 405.41$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.41 | 529 | 47.4%251 W · 278 L | -24.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Kansas City Royals | 37c | 405.39$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.4 | 520 | 45.2%235 W · 285 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Kansas City Royals | 37c | 404.98$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.14 | 1,293 | 43.5%562 W · 731 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 397$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.11 | 710 | 44.5%316 W · 394 L | -23.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…7d1dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 64c | 390.63$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 182 | 52.2%95 W · 87 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Kansas City Royals | 58c | 380.96$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.46 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 325$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…e9dcbacked Kansas City Royals | 66c | 322.79$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.75 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Kansas City Royals | 37c | 320$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.6 | 516 | 46.9%242 W · 274 L | -21.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10bd…d00dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 312.87$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.11 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3e…d412backed Tampa Bay Rays | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Kansas City Royals | 37c | 304.99$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.15 | 1,221 | 43.4%530 W · 691 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Tampa Bay Rays | 15c | 304.79$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.72 | 573 | 46.9%269 W · 304 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed Kansas City Royals | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Kansas City Royals | 38c | 299.63$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.77 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Raysthis page
- Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 10.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 4.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 5.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay RaysNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.