TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kansas City Royalsof Tampa Bay Rays, Kansas City Royals
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$111,713
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$144,713

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,713 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a26…937ebacked Kansas City Royals57c35,281$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,281.1261351.5%316 W · 297 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Tampa Bay Rays40c9,062$3,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,587.6811,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Tampa Bay Rays43c6,162$2,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,637.158,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Tampa Bay Rays43c4,605$1,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,978.8510,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab96…989fbacked Tampa Bay Rays44c3,912$1,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,721.462839.3%11 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Tampa Bay Rays35c3,730$1,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,301.3912,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Kansas City Royals56c2,999$1,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,333.922,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Tampa Bay Rays43c2,710$1,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,165.253,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41a8…ff67backed Tampa Bay Rays45c2,552$1,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,148.421241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-35.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0df…5974backed Tampa Bay Rays45c2,222$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00022257.2%127 W · 95 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Kansas City Royals59c2,209$1,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.434,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Tampa Bay Rays43c1,949$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.015,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Tampa Bay Rays45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50023357.9%135 W · 98 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1a…bc89backed Tampa Bay Rays45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.953551.4%18 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Tampa Bay Rays45c1,100$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49520455.9%114 W · 90 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9621…0a73backed Tampa Bay Rays53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50018658.6%109 W · 77 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Kansas City Royals55c892.96$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.836,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Tampa Bay Rays43c881.85$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.191,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc365…2e53backed Kansas City Royals57c867.06$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.341,60753.2%855 W · 752 L+74.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf6d0…712dbacked Tampa Bay Rays44c690$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.99950.5%50 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Tampa Bay Rays45c620$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27920138.8%78 W · 123 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-6.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Kansas City Royals55c560.36$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.164,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad88…3c1ebacked Tampa Bay Rays45c450$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.548354.7%264 W · 219 L+20.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea39…9d34backed Tampa Bay Rays36c400$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14413453%71 W · 63 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b1…e904backed Kansas City Royals55c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18069351.9%360 W · 333 L+26.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Tampa Bay Rays42c384.93$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.7728943.3%125 W · 164 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ad8…5004backed Tampa Bay Rays45c305.03$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.2618855.3%104 W · 84 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0b9…d898backed Tampa Bay Rays40c299.99$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Tampa Bay Rays44c299.98$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.9958652.7%309 W · 277 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd52…aa25backed Tampa Bay Rays45c277.78$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12528152%146 W · 135 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Tampa Bay Rays19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019540%78 W · 117 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Tampa Bay Rays44c263$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.012,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Kansas City Royals56c258.17$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.8465549.3%323 W · 332 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Tampa Bay Rays45c233.31$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9940348.4%195 W · 208 L-18.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x09b5…fd79backed Tampa Bay Rays28c191.11$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5418556.2%104 W · 81 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Kansas City Royals55c184.98$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.241,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Kansas City Royals56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5765248.3%315 W · 337 L+1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93a8…4287backed Tampa Bay Rays45c155.56$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Tampa Bay Rays43c153$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.792,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0925…dda4backed Tampa Bay Rays45c131$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.955459.3%32 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Tampa Bay Rays45c128$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.61,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Tampa Bay Rays43c123$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.472,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c3e…d412backed Tampa Bay Rays45c111.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017557.1%100 W · 75 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec14…7fafbacked Tampa Bay Rays45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5047849%234 W · 244 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ad8…8a2cbacked Tampa Bay Rays45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503948.7%19 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ce6…f60abacked Tampa Bay Rays45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507955.7%44 W · 35 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc38…bb0ebacked Tampa Bay Rays45c109.24$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.169341.9%39 W · 54 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e60…536bbacked Tampa Bay Rays45c102.22$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4614535.9%52 W · 93 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Kansas City Royals56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.382,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x920b…fcfbbacked Kansas City Royals56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4416648.8%81 W · 85 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Kansas City Royals56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.291,19753.9%645 W · 552 L+42.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bb4…4551backed Tampa Bay Rays45c79.38$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7221152.6%111 W · 100 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdb…b241backed Tampa Bay Rays37c76.67$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.224065%26 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick62cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Tampa Bay Rays33c75.77$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.054,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x522f…1164backed Kansas City Royals56c67$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4839250.3%197 W · 195 L+18.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3ff…ec82backed Tampa Bay Rays45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3021554.9%118 W · 97 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8c8…b949backed Kansas City Royals56c60.98$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8311949.6%59 W · 60 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Tampa Bay Rays34c60$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.521,92717.2%331 W · 1,596 L-320.3wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0xcd5b…3b06backed Tampa Bay Rays45c59.7$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.788556.5%48 W · 37 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Tampa Bay Rays43c55.64$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.931,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57af…81cebacked Tampa Bay Rays45c55.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255855.2%32 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee8a…69acbacked Tampa Bay Rays45c55.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2514655.5%81 W · 65 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x256b…97bbbacked Tampa Bay Rays45c55.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2539149.1%192 W · 199 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1607…2c65backed Tampa Bay Rays45c55.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2521954.8%120 W · 99 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x36f4…0eb2backed Tampa Bay Rays44c51.56$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5185949.1%422 W · 437 L-3.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Tampa Bay Rays45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.51,27951.2%655 W · 624 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Tampa Bay Rays44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.752,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tampa Bay Rays44c48.13$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.948,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a7d…695fbacked Tampa Bay Rays45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012753.5%68 W · 59 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3e7…d01abacked Tampa Bay Rays45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a48…9e7bbacked Kansas City Royals56c43.18$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1918848.9%92 W · 96 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d60…4a57backed Tampa Bay Rays37c40.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.17757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Kansas City Royals55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1873849.3%364 W · 374 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e62…79f1backed Tampa Bay Rays32c39.32$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.642047.9%201 W · 219 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4d3…5639backed Tampa Bay Rays45c38.84$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4820654.4%112 W · 94 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e53…922dbacked Kansas City Royals56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7129747.1%140 W · 157 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa422…d210backed Tampa Bay Rays45c33.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1512555.2%69 W · 56 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaea5…26e3backed Tampa Bay Rays45c33.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1519454.6%106 W · 88 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ce…a3f6backed Tampa Bay Rays45c32.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.75837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe134…f6dabacked Kansas City Royals75c31.46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8674657.8%431 W · 315 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfae5…f940backed Tampa Bay Rays44c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.281651.8%423 W · 393 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Kansas City Royals56c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.22,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8c9…9aaebacked Tampa Bay Rays45c28.89$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1311257.1%64 W · 48 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0157…a97ebacked Tampa Bay Rays45c26.67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210950.5%55 W · 54 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e00…d2bfbacked Tampa Bay Rays41c26.45$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.85560%33 W · 22 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Kansas City Royals56c25.75$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3359749.9%298 W · 299 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Tampa Bay Rays43c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.759,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bbf…49c1backed Tampa Bay Rays48c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1218347%86 W · 97 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Kansas City Royals55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6266…19fcbacked Kansas City Royals58c19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.98650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65ec…a2f9backed Kansas City Royals60c18.33$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.3329256.5%165 W · 127 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfc2…d7c0backed Kansas City Royals58c18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.56633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick64cpaid-48.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Kansas City Royals74c13.68$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.4970546.8%330 W · 375 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.