MLB · resolved market
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb19f77723d238e44d23dfdf6468290d35f43af894c76b4c77028f66e4d73fb74
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansas City Royalsof Tampa Bay Rays, Kansas City Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $111,713
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $144,713
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,713 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Kansas City Royals | 57c | 35,281$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,281.12 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 9,062$3,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,587.68 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 6,162$2,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,637.15 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 4,605$1,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,978.85 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 3,912$1,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,721.46 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tampa Bay Rays | 35c | 3,730$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.39 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Kansas City Royals | 56c | 2,999$1,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.92 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 2,710$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.25 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a8…ff67backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 2,552$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.42 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Kansas City Royals | 59c | 2,209$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.43 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 1,949$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.01 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…bc89backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.95 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 1,100$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 204 | 55.9%114 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 186 | 58.6%109 W · 77 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Kansas City Royals | 55c | 892.96$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.83 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 881.85$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.19 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Kansas City Royals | 57c | 867.06$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.34 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…712dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 690$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.9 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 620$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 201 | 38.8%78 W · 123 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Kansas City Royals | 55c | 560.36$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.16 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 450$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea39…9d34backed Tampa Bay Rays | 36c | 400$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Kansas City Royals | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 384.93$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.77 | 289 | 43.3%125 W · 164 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…5004backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 305.03$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.26 | 188 | 55.3%104 W · 84 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b9…d898backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 299.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 299.98$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.99 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 277.78$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 263$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.01 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Kansas City Royals | 56c | 258.17$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.84 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 233.31$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…fd79backed Tampa Bay Rays | 28c | 191.11$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 185 | 56.2%104 W · 81 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Kansas City Royals | 55c | 184.98$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.24 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Kansas City Royals | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a8…4287backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 155.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 153$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.79 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0925…dda4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 131$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.95 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 128$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 123$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.47 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3e…d412backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 111.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 478 | 49%234 W · 244 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad8…8a2cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce6…f60abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc38…bb0ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 109.24$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.16 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e60…536bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 102.22$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 145 | 35.9%52 W · 93 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Kansas City Royals | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.38 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x920b…fcfbbacked Kansas City Royals | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 166 | 48.8%81 W · 85 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Kansas City Royals | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 79.38$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdb…b241backed Tampa Bay Rays | 37c | 76.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 33c | 75.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Kansas City Royals | 56c | 67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ff…ec82backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 215 | 54.9%118 W · 97 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…b949backed Kansas City Royals | 56c | 60.98$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.83 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Tampa Bay Rays | 34c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5b…3b06backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 59.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 55.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57af…81cebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee8a…69acbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…2c65backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 219 | 54.8%120 W · 99 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 51.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 48.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7d…695fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e7…d01abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a48…9e7bbacked Kansas City Royals | 56c | 43.18$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 188 | 48.9%92 W · 96 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d60…4a57backed Tampa Bay Rays | 37c | 40.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Kansas City Royals | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 32c | 39.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 420 | 47.9%201 W · 219 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…5639backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 38.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 206 | 54.4%112 W · 94 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e53…922dbacked Kansas City Royals | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa422…d210backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 125 | 55.2%69 W · 56 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea5…26e3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…a3f6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 32.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Kansas City Royals | 75c | 31.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…f940backed Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 816 | 51.8%423 W · 393 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Kansas City Royals | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c9…9aaebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 28.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…a97ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 26.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e00…d2bfbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 26.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Kansas City Royals | 56c | 25.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…49c1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 183 | 47%86 W · 97 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Kansas City Royals | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6266…19fcbacked Kansas City Royals | 58c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Kansas City Royals | 60c | 18.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 292 | 56.5%165 W · 127 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc2…d7c0backed Kansas City Royals | 58c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Kansas City Royals | 74c | 13.68$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.49 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)this page
- Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay RaysKansas City Royals won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 10.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 4.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 5.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay RaysNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.