TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf3e7…d01a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
44
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NHL, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 58 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT2356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
Blake Snell: Strikeouts O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+82.3%+$16.45
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.78
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)backed Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athleticsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.27
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
New York Mets vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.86
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.43
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)backed Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)backed Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$16.25
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.41
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
All 23 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Norway leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)backed Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)backed Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)backed Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+150%+$22.5
All 13 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.3
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+139.1%+$20.87
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$11.94
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$15.74
All 4 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stagebacked KOLESIE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.