MLB · resolved market
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x066762c1dc37f549c97123656635d0236d2a13fb9c22c41729a6a2ddfdaec414
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Bravesof Atlanta Braves, Miami Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $649,462
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $745,813
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $649,462 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 373 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Miami Marlins | 37c | 204,058$76,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,466.1 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Atlanta Braves | 62c | 100,000$62,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,000 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Atlanta Braves | 64c | 41,834$26,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,897.99 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Miami Marlins | 39c | 38,462$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…31f1backed Miami Marlins | 13c | 31,331$4,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,059.01 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…8697backed Atlanta Braves | 59c | 30,317$17,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,398.04 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf00c…f4febacked Atlanta Braves | 55c | 21,944$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,943.79 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Miami Marlins | 37c | 21,111$7,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,811 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Atlanta Braves | 62c | 18,707$11,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,024.83 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Atlanta Braves | 63c | 18,431$11,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,825.58 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Miami Marlins | 37c | 18,340$6,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,744.91 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Atlanta Braves | 64c | 11,434$7,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,116.23 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Atlanta Braves | 63c | 10,719$6,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,966.02 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Atlanta Braves | 62c | 10,500$6,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,985 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6853…5846backed Atlanta Braves | 64c | 10,200$6,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,672 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Atlanta Braves | 68c | 7,252$4,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,305.98 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked Atlanta Braves | 63c | 6,470$4,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,393.84 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Atlanta Braves | 63c | 5,706$3,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,111.27 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Atlanta Braves | 62c | 5,454$3,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,059.25 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Atlanta Braves | 64c | 5,246$3,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,888.45 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Miami Marlins | 0c | 5,211$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Braves | 80c | 5,161$4,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.44 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99aa…6c5abacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Atlanta Braves | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Miami Marlins | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Atlanta Braves | 63c | 4,818$3,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,802.1 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…6daabacked Miami Marlins | 1c | 4,014$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Miami Marlins | 36c | 3,868$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.2 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Miami Marlins | 37c | 3,243$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Atlanta Braves | 64c | 3,110$1,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.6 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 3,075$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.74 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Miami Marlins | 32c | 3,016$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.82 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Atlanta Braves | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Atlanta Braves | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…1c08backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…79bebacked Miami Marlins | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 2,762$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.74 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Atlanta Braves | 64c | 2,744$1,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.73 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Atlanta Braves | 73c | 2,685$1,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.15 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…26dcbacked Atlanta Braves | 65c | 2,626$1,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.9 | 231 | 52.8%122 W · 109 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04cf…9f77backed Atlanta Braves | 63c | 2,500$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Atlanta Braves | 62c | 2,500$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Miami Marlins | 36c | 2,420$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.3 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Miami Marlins | 38c | 2,306$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.45 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x326b…33ebbacked Miami Marlins | 1c | 2,143$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Miami Marlins | 36c | 2,102$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.83 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Miami Marlins | 1c | 2,100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Atlanta Braves | 62c | 2,029$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.05 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Atlanta Braves | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Miami Marlins | 40c | 1,962$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.24 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Miami Marlins | 36c | 1,945$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.2 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Atlanta Braves | 63c | 1,800$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Miami Marlins | 3c | 1,743$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.31 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Atlanta Braves | 75c | 1,729$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.89 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Miami Marlins | 28c | 1,619$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.02 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Miami Marlins | 1c | 1,571$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2a…1fcabacked Miami Marlins | 36c | 1,346$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.56 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Atlanta Braves | 64c | 1,326$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.48 | 204 | 55.9%114 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Miami Marlins | 34c | 1,297$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.42 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d57…18ddbacked Atlanta Braves | 62c | 1,286$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.58 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Miami Marlins | 36c | 1,200$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Atlanta Braves | 66c | 1,188$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.84 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Miami Marlins | 17c | 1,180$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.85 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…0d19backed Miami Marlins | 39c | 1,019$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.27 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Atlanta Braves | 64c | 1,005$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.8 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Atlanta Braves | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Miami Marlins | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…b16ebacked Atlanta Braves | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…1a84backed Atlanta Braves | 61c | 981.66$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.85 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Atlanta Braves | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…5616backed Miami Marlins | 39c | 923.62$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Atlanta Braves | 65c | 923.08$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.08 | 186 | 58.6%109 W · 77 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 848.35$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.25 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Atlanta Braves | 62c | 800$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.44 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed Atlanta Braves | 63c | 769$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.53 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Atlanta Braves | 64c | 749.99$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Miami Marlins | 37c | 675.68$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Miami Marlins | 36c | 659.78$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.52 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5999…bdbebacked Miami Marlins | 38c | 651.71$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.65 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9548…655fbacked Atlanta Braves | 51c | 645.51$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.3 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.28per pick | 29cpaid | +103.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…d002backed Miami Marlins | 37c | 602.63$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 381 | 45.4%173 W · 208 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Atlanta Braves | 62c | 601.12$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.7 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Atlanta Braves | 64c | 600$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17d…2134backed Atlanta Braves | 64c | 595.97$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.55 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Atlanta Braves | 71c | 593.77$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.36 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0735…2f71backed Miami Marlins | 23c | 588.67$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.56 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…920fbacked Atlanta Braves | 63c | 555.56$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.56 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Miami Marlins | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e56…8243backed Miami Marlins | 36c | 547.22$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Atlanta Braves | 64c | 545.79$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.79 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Atlanta Braves | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 500$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Miami Marlins | 18c | 491.76$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.8 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Miami Marlins | 36c | 480.56$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf709…7697backed Miami Marlins | 17c | 470.88$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…af6fbacked Atlanta Braves | 46c | 470$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.8 | 124 | 46%57 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9905…add3backed Atlanta Braves | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.75 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…1dafbacked Atlanta Braves | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.75 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Atlanta Braves | 64c | 465.88$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.88 | 120 | 61.7%74 W · 46 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Miami Marlins | 36c | 424.99$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlinsthis page
- Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 10.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 4.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 5.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-4.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Miami MarlinsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.