MLB · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4b7ee40705aaaee85a4cf467d9965cfd452aa23c4fc9deef2d27e2773a7c9c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Bravesof Atlanta Braves, Miami Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,005
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,792
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,005 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Atlanta Braves | 51c | 19,004$9,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,365.35 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 7,427$3,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,713.29 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Miami Marlins | 65c | 6,257$4,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,064.87 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Braves | 35c | 4,469$1,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,882.38 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Miami Marlins | 49c | 4,079$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.44 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.97 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 2,801$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.78 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 2,363$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.33 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 2,245$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.89 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…1c08backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 2,000$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.99 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Miami Marlins | 49c | 1,560$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.99 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 1,307$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.4 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 1,172$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.28 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Atlanta Braves | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 999.98$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Atlanta Braves | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 866.37$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.19 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Atlanta Braves | 52c | 818.79$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.02 | 204 | 55.9%114 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Atlanta Braves | 51c | 590$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.1 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 435.71$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.5 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Atlanta Braves | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 120 | 61.7%74 W · 46 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4f…3216backed Atlanta Braves | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d14…ff3ebacked Atlanta Braves | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 343.1$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.12 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 300.1$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.05 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Atlanta Braves | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Atlanta Braves | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Atlanta Braves | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Atlanta Braves | 35c | 277.1$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.12 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Atlanta Braves | 44c | 262.46$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.82 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Atlanta Braves | 51c | 246.2$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.6 | 267 | 59.2%158 W · 109 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c25…6bbcbacked Atlanta Braves | 35c | 230.11$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.56 | 197 | 59.9%118 W · 79 L | +21.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…228ebacked Atlanta Braves | 45c | 214.93$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.21 | 193 | 35.8%69 W · 124 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Atlanta Braves | 35c | 210$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.5 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Atlanta Braves | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Atlanta Braves | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0b…4e72backed Atlanta Braves | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x63f2…e0c9backed Atlanta Braves | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…5ba6backed Atlanta Braves | 34c | 170$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.2 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 167.56$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.1 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Miami Marlins | 64c | 160.92$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.99 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 159.8$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 137$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.13 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.66 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Atlanta Braves | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…fd79backed Atlanta Braves | 51c | 107$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.43 | 185 | 56.2%104 W · 81 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 104$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 104$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Atlanta Braves | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Miami Marlins | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Atlanta Braves | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 267 | 47.9%128 W · 139 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Miami Marlins | 49c | 98.04$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.04 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Atlanta Braves | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Atlanta Braves | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 407 | 53.6%218 W · 189 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Atlanta Braves | 35c | 88.34$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.42 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 88$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 312 | 50%156 W · 156 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 87.85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.05 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 478 | 48.5%232 W · 246 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91bc…28d6backed Atlanta Braves | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 197 | 54.8%108 W · 89 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 75.17$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.59 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 73.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Miami Marlins | 49c | 72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…5004backed Atlanta Braves | 52c | 71.02$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.09 | 188 | 55.3%104 W · 84 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…e8c8backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 326 | 47.9%156 W · 170 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3255…ffb9backed Atlanta Braves | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 180 | 53.9%97 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8319…96f4backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2b…51debacked Atlanta Braves | 52c | 54.15$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.15 | 222 | 57.7%128 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 49.97$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.48 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75b5…a1f2backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…d825backed Atlanta Braves | 35c | 46.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.43 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…3e98backed Atlanta Braves | 43c | 46.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.23 | 257 | 48.2%124 W · 133 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59b4…73e0backed Atlanta Braves | 51c | 46.1$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 40.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Atlanta Braves | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 353 | 41.1%145 W · 208 L | -16.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Atlanta Braves | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57af…81cebacked Atlanta Braves | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff68…8379backed Atlanta Braves | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4436…cf98backed Atlanta Braves | 35c | 33.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -37%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Atlanta Braves | 35c | 29.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7d…695fbacked Atlanta Braves | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Miami Marlins | 49c | 28.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Atlanta Braves | 51c | 28.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 653 | 59.6%389 W · 264 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Atlanta Braves | 51c | 20.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6a…cbfbbacked Atlanta Braves | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +7.1wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Atlanta Braves | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3056…2b09backed Atlanta Braves | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)this page
- Atlanta Braves vs. Miami MarlinsAtlanta Braves won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 10.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 4.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 5.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-4.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Miami MarlinsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.