MLB · resolved market
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b1658705dec96819c980b86502db3cb611c04f469b45a40ce3cc34f87ca3080
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $259,299
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $264,449
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $259,299 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 45c | 200,775$90,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110,434.05 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 55c | 94,651$52,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,058.11 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Under | 55c | 37,207$20,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,408.35 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 55c | 20,000$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 55c | 15,777$8,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,676.8 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Over | 45c | 14,560$6,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,016.28 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…e76abacked Under | 55c | 10,417$5,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,729.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 57c | 9,272$5,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,284.95 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…0b1bbacked Under | 55c | 6,364$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500.1 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 55c | 6,034$3,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,322.5 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Under | 55c | 5,995$3,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,297.25 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 43c | 5,141$2,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,929.88 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 55c | 4,496$2,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,472.99 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 54c | 4,393$2,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,372.23 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…6373backed Over | 52c | 3,779$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,814.05 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 56c | 3,617$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025.36 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 49c | 2,814$1,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,427.4 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 45c | 2,600$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433.23 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 56c | 1,820$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.2 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 44c | 1,749$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.62 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 57c | 1,519$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.95 | 271 | 46.9%127 W · 144 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 46c | 1,304$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.35 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 55c | 1,111$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.29 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 56c | 1,111$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.22 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 1,104$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.19 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Under | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 46c | 1,082$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.49 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 47c | 1,043$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.54 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a91…0776backed Under | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Under | 56c | 994$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.64 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 55c | 955$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.25 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 56c | 799.97$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.98 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe36…5ceabacked Under | 57c | 737.28$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.25 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Under | 55c | 664$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.2 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 44c | 650$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef6…9b93backed Under | 57c | 616.25$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.26 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 40c | 594.71$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.4 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Under | 56c | 559$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.04 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95c5…d5d3backed Under | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 45c | 539.4$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.25 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…2640backed Under | 55c | 506.84$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 56c | 506.46$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.62 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Over | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 57c | 461.63$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.13 | 294 | 50.7%149 W · 145 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 55c | 439.28$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.6 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under | 55c | 396$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.8 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 55c | 380$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Under | 55c | 343.82$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.1 | 328 | 57.9%190 W · 138 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 56c | 298.32$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.98 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 55c | 297.85$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.14 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Under | 55c | 290.91$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 44c | 284.1$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.1 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed Under | 55c | 277$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.35 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -10.5wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 32c | 197$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.04 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Over | 46c | 195.65$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.65 | 120 | 61.7%74 W · 46 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 55c | 181.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.05 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 249 | 50.6%126 W · 123 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 55c | 150.82$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.95 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 54c | 124$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.96 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Under | 55c | 119.2$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.56 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 45c | 111$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.05 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a1…5a4fbacked Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 55c | 97.23$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.47 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53db…480ebacked Under | 57c | 91$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.87 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 478 | 50.4%241 W · 237 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 314 | 46.8%147 W · 167 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 47c | 85.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.18 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a80…2dadbacked Under | 56c | 81.82$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.82 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 45c | 79.8$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.89 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba17…5c67backed Under | 55c | 78.4$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.12 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa20d…eadebacked Under | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e24…b31fbacked Over | 46c | 63.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f97…6aafbacked Under | 55c | 58.18$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Over | 46c | 56.93$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Under | 55c | 55.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 63c | 48.07$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Under | 31c | 47.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 268 | 53.4%143 W · 125 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Over | 67c | 44.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x500b…b1a1backed Over | 46c | 43.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.91 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf52…9cc4backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7f…bb6dbacked Over | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 50c | 37.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 28c | 36.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f59…bd2dbacked Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbf…388ebacked Under | 54c | 31.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Under | 55c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddc…7b90backed Under | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 75c | 26.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Under | 55c | 23.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 252 | 56.7%143 W · 109 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde63…e0ddbacked Under | 55c | 23.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked Over | 48c | 21.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | -23.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c78…bf00backed Under | 56c | 19.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.45per pick | 59cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5this page
- Atlanta Braves vs. Miami MarlinsAtlanta Braves won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 10.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 4.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 5.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-4.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Miami MarlinsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.