TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x75b5…a1f2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
207
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NHL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 56 out of 100; worst NFL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT7647.4%36 W · 40 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 76 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.91
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16.8
Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangersbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+150%+$75
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$28.09
Texas Rangers vs. Athleticsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.6
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$22.09
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$29.93
Kansas City Royals vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.08
Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.32
New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)backed Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.54
Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$28.09
Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.01
Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.92
Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.03
Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+96.3%+$82.89
Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.91
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)backed Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$20.25
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$23.13
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$92.16
Showing 25 of 76 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT3661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.18
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.78
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.01
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.2
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.96
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.68
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.8
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+150%+$37.2
Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.38
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$40.5
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.47
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$58.86
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$14.35
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.89
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$52.64
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.75
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$157.68
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$19.28
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.54
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)backed Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$10.85
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT3148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.18
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.18
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.16
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.6
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.91
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.2
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.91
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$18.06
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$31.92
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$22.09
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$15.51
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$89.3
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$42.7
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$20.7
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$61
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Celtics (-4.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.25
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$29.5
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$12
Bulls vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.49
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT2944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-21.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raiders vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.84
Vikings vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$100.1
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$719Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$719.1
Bills vs. Texansbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$427Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$427.2
Ravens vs. Brownsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+92.3%+$235.2
Bengals vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+51.5%+$64.5
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,715Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+38.2%+$1,037.55
Jaguars vs. Texans: O/U 37.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$294
Bills vs. Dolphinsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$990Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$990
Colts vs. Steelersbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,494Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$1,494.12
Buccaneers vs. Saintsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$956Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$318.75
Commanders vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+37%+$240.41
Spread: Steelers (-4.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Commanders (-4.5)backed Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$84.61
Bills vs. Falcons: O/U 49.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$26.9
Spread: Chiefs (-2.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.2
Lions vs. Chiefs: O/U 51.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.6
Spread: Steelers (-5.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$30.13
Spread: Eagles (-7.5)backed Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$115.38
Spread: Rams (-6.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.18
Spread: Broncos (-7.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$21.16
Jets vs. Dolphins: O/U 44.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.34
Spread: Packers (-6.5)backed Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.15
Ravens vs. Chiefs: O/U 48.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$19.52
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$30.42
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$97
Baylor Bears vs. Minnesota Golden Gophersbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.61
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.17
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.87
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-6.5)backed St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$24.78
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$55.16
Spread: Kentucky Wildcats (-3.5)backed Santa Clara Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.17
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Santa Clara Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.87
Spread: Utah State Aggies (-6.5)backed Nevada Wolf Pack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.55
Spread: San Diego State Aztecs (-5.5)backed San Diego State Aztecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$21.81
Spread: Utah State Aggies (-8.5)backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.99
Wyoming Cowboys vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebelsbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$40.37
All 13 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-21.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boise State vs. San Diego Statebacked Boise State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$10.8
South Carolina vs. Texas A&Mbacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$810Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+56.3%+$455.65
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Akronbacked Akron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$235.55
Auburn vs. Vanderbiltbacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$4,824Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+48.7%+$2,351.66
Miami (OH) vs. Ohiobacked Miami (OH) · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$722Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$722.15
Miami vs. SMU Mustangsbacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,401Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,400.83
Michigan State vs. Minnesotabacked Minnesota · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,066Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+42.2%+$449.32
Jacksonville State vs. Middle Tennesseebacked Jacksonville State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$538.65
Spread: Texas (-12.5)backed Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Vanderbilt (-1.5)backed Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$24.02
BYU vs. Coloradobacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$12.69
Oregon vs. Penn Statebacked Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 12 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick32cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Ian Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.07
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Charles Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$117.12
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick36cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden State Valkyries vs. New York Liberty: O/U 168.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Portland Fire vs. Indiana Feverbacked Portland Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.