MLB · resolved market
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x167280c1aeecda15a5689ebd71146efc9659a3eaf6e62b645d29d55d42c1796b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Marinersof Philadelphia Phillies, Seattle Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $242,301
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $242,204
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $242,301 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 106,435$52,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,741.17 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 84,582$42,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,649.54 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 45,918$22,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,500 | 241 | 46.1%111 W · 130 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 23,438$11,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,518.77 | 272 | 53.7%146 W · 126 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 18,475$9,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,791.74 | 238 | 54.6%130 W · 108 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 11,258$5,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,516.31 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 10,072$5,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,734.02 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 8,110$4,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,453 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 1,078 | 48.1%518 W · 560 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a7…dc87backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 4,800$2,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,112 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 3,532$2,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,513.31 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 3,204$1,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,656.79 | 620 | 43.1%267 W · 353 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 3,101$1,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.95 | 1,797 | 50.4%906 W · 891 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Philadelphia Phillies | 36c | 2,781$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.54 | 970 | 44.9%436 W · 534 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Seattle Mariners | 52c | 2,521$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.89 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 2,250$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.49 | 324 | 51.9%168 W · 156 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8172…abeabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 26c | 1,989$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.21 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 1,964$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.48 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 1,343$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.83 | 820 | 42.6%349 W · 471 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 1,283$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.85 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 1,207$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.6 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…ac97backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Seattle Mariners | 78c | 1,057$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.09 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 278 | 51.8%144 W · 134 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…9324backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 960.26$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.05 | 508 | 56.9%289 W · 219 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ff…3535backed Philadelphia Phillies | 3c | 942.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…3e2bbacked Seattle Mariners | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 924.18$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.23 | 577 | 53.2%307 W · 270 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc146…10d7backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 913.52$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.49 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 907.95$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.82 | 475 | 52%247 W · 228 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb88…0e4cbacked Seattle Mariners | 56c | 888.69$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.69 | 110 | 64.5%71 W · 39 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafef…f50ebacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 866$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.38 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 827.73$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.42 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 811.53$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.09 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 750$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.5 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 700$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 682$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.36 | 1,848 | 49.6%917 W · 931 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 677.71$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.89 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab7…6978backed Philadelphia Phillies | 40c | 587$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.8 | 154 | 42.2%65 W · 89 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf44…3a7ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 517.88$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.76 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 231 | 55%127 W · 104 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…34e7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 485.73$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Seattle Mariners | 67c | 444.07$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.91 | 2,093 | 51.1%1,070 W · 1,023 L | +44.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…2b75backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Seattle Mariners | 50c | 395.18$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.28 | 1,026 | 58.1%596 W · 430 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Seattle Mariners | 51c | 391.76$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.71 | 1,240 | 58.1%721 W · 519 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 352.21$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.59 | 1,358 | 50.8%690 W · 668 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 339.97$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.82 | 274 | 46.7%128 W · 146 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x816a…5bebbacked Seattle Mariners | 51c | 297.08$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0313…a2c7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 292$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 276$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 712 | 53.4%380 W · 332 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Seattle Mariners | 59c | 271.96$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.55 | 1,947 | 53.1%1,033 W · 914 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b3…33efbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 261.22$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 84 | 60.7%51 W · 33 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 8c | 260.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 249.97$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 280 | 31.1%87 W · 193 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 246.66$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.49 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…2c20backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 232.94$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.47 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f42…6fcbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 1,445 | 50%723 W · 722 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 1,219 | 53.9%657 W · 562 L | +32.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a21…4aa9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Seattle Mariners | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 667 | 48.7%325 W · 342 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8499…950dbacked Seattle Mariners | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Seattle Mariners | 51c | 195.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.63 | 437 | 57%249 W · 188 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 195.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.64 | 583 | 58.5%341 W · 242 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea62…3fe2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 194.86$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.43 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 133 | 33.8%45 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48dd…98cebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 190$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.7 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…2cb8backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 183.57$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.44 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 164.3$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.69 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x951a…6866backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 162$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 142.32$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.13 | 1,003 | 44.6%447 W · 556 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc011…0a62backed Seattle Mariners | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c16…e71abacked Seattle Mariners | 51c | 139.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.6 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 136.51$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.84 | 616 | 46.4%286 W · 330 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 125.95$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.04 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98d8…20f6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 122.22$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41cf…8268backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70e9…836abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 110$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 218 | 22.9%50 W · 168 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 102.66$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 623 | 46.2%288 W · 335 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0460…7137backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 133 | 54.1%72 W · 61 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94eb…fcdfbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 785 | 50.2%394 W · 391 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 207 | 48.3%100 W · 107 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f6…b051backed Philadelphia Phillies | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 177 | 46.3%82 W · 95 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…de15backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 99.33$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 201 | 61.2%123 W · 78 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 99.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…228ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 194 | 35.6%69 W · 125 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e53…922dbacked Seattle Mariners | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 308 | 48.1%148 W · 160 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde4e…d6e9backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +9.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf8…27cfbacked Seattle Mariners | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 94.13$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.97 | 390 | 49%191 W · 199 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f5…f087backed Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 92.73$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -8.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -23%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Marinersthis page
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 5.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle MarinersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.