TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Jacksonville State vs. Middle Tennessee

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jacksonville Stateof Jacksonville State, Middle Tennessee
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$630,681
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$622,992

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $630,681 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 477 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83b9…6124backed Jacksonville State64c157,097$100,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,937.3834250.3%172 W · 170 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe42e…8d89backed Jacksonville State64c71,504$45,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,056.491643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c57…c94dbacked Middle Tennessee37c70,000$25,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,899.992759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Middle Tennessee36c43,448$15,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,594.5993548.4%453 W · 482 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Middle Tennessee37c43,170$16,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,112.1185947.7%410 W · 449 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Middle Tennessee38c39,215$14,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,783.5481847.9%392 W · 426 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda47…f40abacked Jacksonville State64c34,000$21,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,240771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick45cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Middle Tennessee35c31,538$11,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,088.418948.3%43 W · 46 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Jacksonville State61c26,204$16,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,204.1519362.2%120 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83f1…a818backed Jacksonville State65c25,000$16,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,7501100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebcd…2729backed Middle Tennessee35c25,000$8,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,75010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Middle Tennessee36c21,285$7,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,662.614743.5%64 W · 83 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Middle Tennessee37c19,793$7,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,309.877126.8%19 W · 52 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b9…cdaabacked Middle Tennessee36c15,000$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,399.9915745.2%71 W · 86 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Middle Tennessee36c13,326$4,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,732.4875651.9%392 W · 364 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Jacksonville State61c11,284$6,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,415.1668440.8%279 W · 405 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x331b…944ebacked Middle Tennessee36c11,200$4,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,03210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Middle Tennessee37c11,111$4,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,111.037853.8%42 W · 36 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Middle Tennessee30c10,288$3,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,134.0163243.7%276 W · 356 L+34.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+138.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Middle Tennessee46c10,164$4,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,678.9517443.7%76 W · 98 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2a3…c3a6backed Jacksonville State64c9,000$5,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,24011653.4%62 W · 54 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Middle Tennessee36c8,531$3,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,056.7813450.7%68 W · 66 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xafd0…00c1backed Jacksonville State64c8,000$5,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8801100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Middle Tennessee36c7,000$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,52052641.8%220 W · 306 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe97f…d5b1backed Jacksonville State64c6,800$4,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4481100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Middle Tennessee35c6,294$2,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,186.722,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Middle Tennessee34c5,324$1,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,810.2330949.5%153 W · 156 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Middle Tennessee36c5,116$1,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,844.778040%32 W · 48 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Jacksonville State69c5,042$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,541.897146.5%33 W · 38 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Middle Tennessee35c5,000$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,749.9938142.5%162 W · 219 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8185…aa29backed Middle Tennessee36c4,800$1,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,72810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f5b…d411backed Jacksonville State67c4,184$2,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,398.57366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Middle Tennessee37c3,950$1,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,461.64922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-49.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Middle Tennessee34c3,663$1,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,245.5249443.7%216 W · 278 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Middle Tennessee47c3,450$1,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,605.1840244.8%180 W · 222 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Middle Tennessee38c3,264$1,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,230.9424348.1%117 W · 126 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dc2…b145backed Jacksonville State64c3,125$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,125366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Middle Tennessee35c2,926$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020.9338546%177 W · 208 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Jacksonville State59c2,741$1,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,136.9440541.2%167 W · 238 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5422…a780backed Jacksonville State64c2,600$1,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+82.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Jacksonville State55c2,464$1,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,110.7262843.6%274 W · 354 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Middle Tennessee36c2,249$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.5834529.9%103 W · 242 L-21.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Middle Tennessee53c2,132$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1304042.5%17 W · 23 L-6.7wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-30.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Middle Tennessee49c2,044$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.7886243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Middle Tennessee38c2,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76017837.6%67 W · 111 L-12.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe9b1…2c46backed Middle Tennessee36c2,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7780…f218backed Jacksonville State64c2,000$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-52%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed Jacksonville State63c2,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7401947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c51…af7ebacked Jacksonville State42c2,000$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,169.9911844.1%52 W · 66 L-0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed Middle Tennessee36c1,874$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.642119%4 W · 17 L-4.6wins-0.22per pick41cpaid-63.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3ff9…bb89backed Jacksonville State65c1,750$1,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.54257.1%24 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Middle Tennessee36c1,603$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.3550358.1%292 W · 211 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24b1…5163backed Jacksonville State64c1,550$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+31%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca40…6deabacked Middle Tennessee35c1,550$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75b5…a1f2backed Jacksonville State65c1,539$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.651250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-21.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc869…8a6ebacked Middle Tennessee42c1,455$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.4317946.9%84 W · 95 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Middle Tennessee36c1,440$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.5249253.5%263 W · 229 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked Jacksonville State66c1,400$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-69.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0944…6771backed Middle Tennessee42c1,380$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.542714.8%4 W · 23 L-5.0wins-0.19per pick33cpaid-46.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7292…6bd3backed Middle Tennessee39c1,289$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002842.9%12 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+35%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfca…68fcbacked Middle Tennessee35c1,200$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.8147131.4%148 W · 323 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0dae…b2e1backed Jacksonville State64c1,200$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4321100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed Middle Tennessee36c1,111$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005345.3%24 W · 29 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd642…c499backed Middle Tennessee35c1,050$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-57.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Jacksonville State50c1,008$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.186855.9%38 W · 30 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10b3…40d4backed Jacksonville State64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3603148.4%15 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x00d6…aa44backed Middle Tennessee35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35012718.9%24 W · 103 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1bc…9dc9backed Jacksonville State50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5005437%20 W · 34 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2c5…90dfbacked Middle Tennessee36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-26.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Middle Tennessee50c975$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.55334%18 W · 35 L-6.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Middle Tennessee36c855.03$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.2955350.3%278 W · 275 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Jacksonville State52c814$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.6821538.6%83 W · 132 L-0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Jacksonville State60c801.99$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.557144.7%255 W · 316 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Middle Tennessee37c800$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2961650%8 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcb9…4734backed Jacksonville State61c789.24$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.24139%16 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Middle Tennessee37c762$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.944045%18 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b42…e233backed Jacksonville State57c739.53$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Jacksonville State63c706.38$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.3611248.2%54 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ce0…819cbacked Jacksonville State59c700$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.131782.4%14 W · 3 L+4.7wins+0.28per pick55cpaid+61.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Middle Tennessee36c670.14$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.153537.1%13 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Middle Tennessee2c617$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.33790%0 W · 79 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f79…7ed4backed Middle Tennessee37c572.85$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.057335.6%26 W · 47 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…b1b1backed Jacksonville State63c555.56$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.564551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb05e…4fcebacked Middle Tennessee53c504.81$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.712352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Middle Tennessee35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1754639.1%18 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Middle Tennessee35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17511436%41 W · 73 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b6d…88f2backed Jacksonville State63c500$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f84…7650backed Jacksonville State61c473.4$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.41258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Middle Tennessee35c450$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.517634.7%61 W · 115 L+11.6wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa965…24c0backed Middle Tennessee35c430$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Middle Tennessee34c410.22$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.351,09041.7%455 W · 635 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3505…f7a3backed Jacksonville State64c390.63$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.63875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86a9…a074backed Jacksonville State63c350$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.51471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+36.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x370e…ad0fbacked Jacksonville State65c346.15$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.152065%13 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+30.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Middle Tennessee41c341.46$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14013845.7%63 W · 75 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Jacksonville State46c336$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.579341.9%39 W · 54 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Middle Tennessee37c335.86$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.9222030.5%67 W · 153 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7656…9bbdbacked Jacksonville State64c330$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Middle Tennessee28c325.15$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.045345.3%24 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x086d…fe29backed Jacksonville State64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.5475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+31.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.