MLB · resolved market
Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e30518fe626e4cef2e0555fa78bdce118cbbb06a6573176d008fbefa60d78e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boston Red Soxof Boston Red Sox, Miami Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,171,538
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,183,774
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,171,538 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 386 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 461,426$249,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212,256.01 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x408f…b2f4backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 197,186$90,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90,705.49 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…a165backed Boston Red Sox | 45c | 105,707$47,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,344.02 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 90,707$41,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,725.22 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 65,047$29,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,656.6 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 40,000$20,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,400 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 39,184$17,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,980.8 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 33,333$16,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,594.53 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 30,065$14,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,310.38 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 30,000$13,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,799.97 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 25,185$11,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,459.14 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Miami Marlins | 43c | 22,997$9,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,796.89 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b22…cf22backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 18,972$10,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,537.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Miami Marlins | 60c | 16,340$9,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,803.79 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Miami Marlins | 63c | 15,807$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 15,744$7,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,277.98 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e38…fd47backed Miami Marlins | 79c | 12,600$9,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,954 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 12,199$5,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,611.31 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…ab5abacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 10,750$4,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,839.84 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0e…7397backed Miami Marlins | 63c | 10,575$6,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,640.59 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 9,542$4,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,737.73 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Boston Red Sox | 50c | 8,998$4,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,498.96 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Miami Marlins | 34c | 7,865$2,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,669.09 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 7,500$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,750 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5911…a5a8backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 6,522$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 6,211$3,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,048.18 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…4ee4backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 5,745$3,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,684.3 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4e…e5b7backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 5,700$3,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,680.62 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +5.9wins | +0.39per pick | 47cpaid | +87.8%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc638…43b4backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 5,700$2,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,621.93 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 5,562$2,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,662.43 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Boston Red Sox | 48c | 5,271$2,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,744.66 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.96 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Boston Red Sox | 52c | 4,801$2,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,293.6 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Boston Red Sox | 36c | 4,520$1,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,888.88 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 4,016$1,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,827.26 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc05e…24aebacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.99 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Miami Marlins | 35c | 3,850$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.5 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 3,700$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Boston Red Sox | 43c | 3,438$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,976.85 | 369 | 32.8%121 W · 248 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 3,075$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.28 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Boston Red Sox | 37c | 2,700$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,701 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Miami Marlins | 49c | 2,439$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.11 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 2,246$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.68 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 2,211$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.05 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 2,188$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.42 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 2,175$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.22 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 2,125$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.71 | 148 | 41.2%61 W · 87 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Boston Red Sox | 48c | 2,100$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.99 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac6…a8cebacked Miami Marlins | 4c | 2,083$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.14 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 1,980$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.41 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98e1…3241backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 1,867$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.06 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98fc…a4a2backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b9…c40bbacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 1,817$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 1,812$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.92 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Boston Red Sox | 36c | 1,751$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.96 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 1,646$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.71 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 1,593$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.78 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7c…c933backed Boston Red Sox | 36c | 1,560$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 1,495$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.16 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1d…e511backed Miami Marlins | 73c | 1,404$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Miami Marlins | 5c | 1,200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.07 | 305 | 29.8%91 W · 214 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 1,200$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9707…e3bcbacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Miami Marlins | 73c | 1,199$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.27 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 1,170$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.41 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Miami Marlins | 13c | 1,129$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.14 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…3e2bbacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 1,110$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 1,074$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.87 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8172…abeabacked Boston Red Sox | 32c | 1,038$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.5 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…dd26backed Boston Red Sox | 42c | 1,030$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.32 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Boston Red Sox | 59c | 1,004$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.66 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dae…72febacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 1,003$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.45 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad1…b4c5backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dfe…b081backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 999.99$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x689f…259cbacked Boston Red Sox | 39c | 999.83$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.49 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 972$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.12 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7f…824bbacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 910$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.5 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +10.6wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…a484backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 904.59$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Miami Marlins | 36c | 900.31$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.11 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…0fdfbacked Boston Red Sox | 52c | 900$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 865.3$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.74 | 434 | 59%256 W · 178 L | +19.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 839.61$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.92 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 739.76$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.7 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd759…6d1abacked Boston Red Sox | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.71 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.27 | 143 | 58%83 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 720$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed Miami Marlins | 66c | 714.28$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.42 | 63 | 71.4%45 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Boston Red Sox | 48c | 710.75$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.19 | 242 | 52.9%128 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 681.91$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 628.01$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.88 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…814cbacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 573.18$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.66 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +7.7wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…6bc3backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 573.17$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.66 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +5.1wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 553.59$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.19 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlinsthis page
- Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 4.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 5.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Will the game go to extra innings?: Boston Red Sox vs. Miami MarlinsNo won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Miami MarlinsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.