MLB · resolved market

Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61ceaeb06cc12ad4528791164cb56f1b8dbaa80f9b154216e9755687af027a0e

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Aug 24, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $50,996
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $51,945

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,996 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x16bb…8492backed Under	53c	9,226$4,855 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,370.18	865	48.7%421 W · 444 L	-8.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over	47c	6,499$3,039 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,038.84	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over	48c	5,551$2,664 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,664.36	716	50.7%363 W · 353 L	+9.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under	54c	5,000$2,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,299.99	1,063	48.2%512 W · 551 L	-11.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	46c	4,413$2,032 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,031.51	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under	53c	4,220$2,254 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,965.74	1,291	51%658 W · 633 L	-15.5wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bff…fc26backed Over	46c	3,000$1,380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,380	436	47%205 W · 231 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ee0…d6a6backed Under	54c	3,000$1,620 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,380	114	64%73 W · 41 L	+12.6wins	+0.11per pick	53cpaid	+23.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over	25c	1,922$481 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480.79	2,969	48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L	-5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb2ab…3bb3backed Under	55c	1,885$1,037 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$848.13	40	65%26 W · 14 L	+6.9wins	+0.17per pick	48cpaid	+35.1%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over	46c	1,815$836 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$836.28	1,555	48.9%761 W · 794 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Over	47c	1,696$802 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$801.71	655	49.3%323 W · 332 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed Under	54c	1,650$891 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$759	210	52.9%111 W · 99 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc279…6465backed Under	52c	1,196$621 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$575.29	42	50%21 W · 21 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb68…4ef3backed Over	50c	963.06$482 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$481.53	55	43.6%24 W · 31 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over	48c	914$439 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$438.72	3,453	51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L	+58.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under	50c	700$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$350	491	58.9%289 W · 202 L	+30.8wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under	51c	687.38$351 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$336.81	680	53.2%362 W · 318 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Over	4c	600$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	40	22.5%9 W · 31 L	-2.4wins	-0.06per pick	29cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Over	45c	582.21$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264.87	1,777	49.5%880 W · 897 L	+25.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2470…dc4dbacked Under	54c	559.16$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$259.17	37	51.4%19 W · 18 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8efa…894cbacked Over	46c	516.16$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.72	454	45.2%205 W · 249 L	-8.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eee…9b2bbacked Under	55c	469.99$258 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$211.5	28	50%14 W · 14 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	3c	412.97$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.38	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over	26c	361.67$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.7	8,470	52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L	+510.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	60c	357.4$214 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.36	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bb8…7017backed Over	48c	312.5$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	133	44.4%59 W · 74 L	-5.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Under	57c	286.45$163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.74	1,056	44.3%468 W · 588 L	-25.9wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9fe…db0dbacked Over	47c	270.27$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.31	583	52.1%304 W · 279 L	+13.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed Under	54c	249.99$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115	449	49.2%221 W · 228 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd04…c5e1backed Under	79c	248.08$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.1	5	100%5 W · 0 L	+1.3wins	+0.26per pick	74cpaid	+37.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1262…056fbacked Over	48c	247$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.11	274	48.2%132 W · 142 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Over	49c	237$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.42	794	42.4%337 W · 457 L	-13.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Over	46c	210.07$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.97	287	51.9%149 W · 138 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	66c	206.07$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.04	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over	49c	200$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	1,206	53.7%648 W · 558 L	+29.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xddfc…cd9ebacked Over	50c	197.88$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.94	162	50.6%82 W · 80 L	+5.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Over	23c	195.78$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.15	799	55.9%447 W · 352 L	+21.7wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14a9…0f04backed Under	55c	181.82$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.82	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+1.5wins	+0.09per pick	53cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Under	59c	118$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.2	2,147	50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L	+27.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x080e…78a5backed Under	67c	117.09$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.18	91	29.7%27 W · 64 L	-4.6wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	52c	114.5$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.96	2,296	49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L	+37.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over	49c	112.25$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	3,832	42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over	29c	110.34$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	1,173	29%340 W · 833 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ca2…1798backed Under	55c	109$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.05	99	60.6%60 W · 39 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	76c	104.82$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.2	5,786	43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L	-192.2wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Over	26c	104$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.28	564	35.1%198 W · 366 L	-21.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b75…409ebacked Over	46c	100$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	315	49.2%155 W · 160 L	-9.0wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Over	48c	100$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	541	46.8%253 W · 288 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaf1…0db6backed Under	54c	100$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58ad…be98backed Under	55c	95.45$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.95	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Over	45c	80$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	96	42.7%41 W · 55 L	-5.4wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-12%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9a9…68b6backed Over	45c	80$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	47	46.8%22 W · 25 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x885f…8ed9backed Under	50c	69.79$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.9	326	52.5%171 W · 155 L	+15.0wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over	46c	63$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.98	1,385	49.5%685 W · 700 L	-4.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over	47c	62.57$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.45	2,945	47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L	+3.8wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2bea…c4b2backed Under	80c	62.5$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.5	5	60%3 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Over	43c	58.26$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	102	46.1%47 W · 55 L	-8.3wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Over	49c	55.98$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.43	434	59%256 W · 178 L	+19.9wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e72…c55fbacked Over	48c	55.1$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.45	64	50%32 W · 32 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3003…30f5backed Over	48c	52.08$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	62	61.3%38 W · 24 L	+8.1wins	+0.13per pick	48cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbbdf…b8a0backed Under	63c	49.99$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.5	92	59.8%55 W · 37 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Under	54c	45.4$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.88	412	49.5%204 W · 208 L	+6.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked Over	27c	44.59$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	121	28.9%35 W · 86 L	-6.0wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over	46c	44.49$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.47	4,478	48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L	-47.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Over	48c	44.4$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.31	385	51.4%198 W · 187 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x369e…d016backed Under	61c	41.11$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.11	115	60.9%70 W · 45 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	59cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88fb…db3abacked Over	49c	40.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	732	43.4%318 W · 414 L	-14.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde36…f41cbacked Over	49c	40.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	158	41.8%66 W · 92 L	-12.7wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbaf3…2286backed Under	56c	38.13$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.78	6	100%6 W · 0 L	+2.5wins	+0.42per pick	58cpaid	+80%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe598…661dbacked Over	48c	37.39$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bb3…4a24backed Under	54c	36$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.56	100	52%52 W · 48 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over	45c	35.83$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.12	450	45.8%206 W · 244 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x23df…640abacked Over	33c	34.4$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.21	400	48.5%194 W · 206 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Over	45c	34$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.3	840	49.4%415 W · 425 L	+8.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba5e…153bbacked Over	48c	33.34$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	115	50.4%58 W · 57 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over	49c	28.33$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.88	2,021	39.5%798 W · 1,223 L	-25.7wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x698b…f3aabacked Under	53c	28.16$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.16	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49c5…3de7backed Over	45c	25$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.29	341	49.3%168 W · 173 L	-8.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under	60c	25$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	4,035	57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L	+72.2wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3000…1e84backed Over	48c	24.93$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe134…f6dabacked Under	55c	21.81$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.71	746	57.8%431 W · 315 L	-9.0wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under	60c	20.2$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.08	424	51.9%220 W · 204 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under	76c	19.05$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.61	2,012	51.2%1,031 W · 981 L	+43.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5this page
Boston Red Sox vs. Miami MarlinsBoston Red Sox won
Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 4.5Over won
Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 5.5Over won
Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5Under won
Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5Under won
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
Will the game go to extra innings?: Boston Red Sox vs. Miami MarlinsNo won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Miami MarlinsNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event