College Football · resolved market
Boise State vs. San Diego State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f2e96b067ca3950bc1ab9b5dcff1abc952e75173cf678705708bfea1de03a4d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Diego Stateof Boise State, San Diego State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $148,857
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $158,705
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,857 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Boise State | 46c | 17,940$8,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,252.44 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed San Diego State | 54c | 16,655$8,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,661.28 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked San Diego State | 54c | 14,560$7,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,695.31 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked San Diego State | 58c | 14,447$8,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,065.76 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Boise State | 20c | 8,471$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,714.89 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked San Diego State | 53c | 8,128$4,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,819.98 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeed2…e3bfbacked San Diego State | 54c | 7,662$4,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,524.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x459a…b511backed Boise State | 46c | 7,655$3,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,521.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Boise State | 47c | 7,500$3,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,525 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Boise State | 12c | 5,310$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Boise State | 50c | 5,006$2,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,482.77 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed Boise State | 54c | 4,879$2,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,616.75 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Boise State | 45c | 4,500$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Boise State | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed San Diego State | 53c | 2,647$1,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.31 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked San Diego State | 55c | 2,444$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.99 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked San Diego State | 69c | 2,337$1,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.17 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3fb…b8e1backed Boise State | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked San Diego State | 53c | 2,001$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.46 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed San Diego State | 54c | 1,800$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.16 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed San Diego State | 54c | 1,778$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.79 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed San Diego State | 78c | 1,631$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.16 | 139 | 33.1%46 W · 93 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Boise State | 4c | 1,621$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 80 | 6.3%5 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…98c9backed Boise State | 51c | 1,337$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.34 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked San Diego State | 54c | 1,221$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.59 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked San Diego State | 79c | 1,159$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.5 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked Boise State | 24c | 1,138$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 13cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x830d…3f0ebacked Boise State | 2c | 1,131$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27c5…6d61backed San Diego State | 57c | 1,050$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.02 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked San Diego State | 54c | 1,007$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.4 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Boise State | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9146…5f30backed San Diego State | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed San Diego State | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6b…943abacked San Diego State | 77c | 993.51$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5276…74ddbacked Boise State | 54c | 928.41$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked San Diego State | 55c | 872.56$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.56 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Boise State | 12c | 660.65$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.53 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Boise State | 46c | 512.5$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.75 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2d…05e4backed Boise State | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x226d…f49ebacked San Diego State | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Boise State | 46c | 499.99$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…1eedbacked Boise State | 11c | 465.24$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bd…463dbacked San Diego State | 77c | 464.91$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Boise State | 15c | 450$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.75 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked San Diego State | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Boise State | 31c | 380$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.95 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked San Diego State | 53c | 362$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.14 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc7…cf77backed Boise State | 26c | 358.61$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…0299backed San Diego State | 78c | 344.99$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed San Diego State | 53c | 303.44$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.58 | 213 | 48.8%104 W · 109 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Boise State | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…9f3fbacked San Diego State | 56c | 285.71$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.71 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9f…901bbacked Boise State | 12c | 282.76$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.68 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed San Diego State | 54c | 277.05$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.05 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Boise State | 46c | 271$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.31 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Boise State | 37c | 260$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.2 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked Boise State | 8c | 236.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Boise State | 46c | 234.78$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -6.7wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Boise State | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Boise State | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Boise State | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3e9fbacked Boise State | 46c | 200$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Boise State | 31c | 194.15$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.99 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed San Diego State | 54c | 190$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.4 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5916…8d4fbacked San Diego State | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbde…a050backed Boise State | 46c | 181.65$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.56 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf19e…8eaabacked San Diego State | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…b2ddbacked Boise State | 46c | 163.02$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed San Diego State | 54c | 132.33$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.27 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Boise State | 19c | 128.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 110 | 22.7%25 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75b5…a1f2backed Boise State | 9c | 120$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Boise State | 45c | 117$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.65 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf75…7623backed Boise State | 37c | 113.7$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.82 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98fc…ecf9backed San Diego State | 54c | 111$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Boise State | 35c | 110.83$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.92 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed San Diego State | 62c | 105.87$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Boise State | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 94 | 20.2%19 W · 75 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…0730backed Boise State | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Boise State | 47c | 99.79$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.85 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Boise State | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc994…833dbacked San Diego State | 76c | 90.67$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked San Diego State | 78c | 89.49$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…d549backed Boise State | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10d3…3d7abacked Boise State | 23c | 85.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…2f92backed Boise State | 48c | 82.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed San Diego State | 65c | 75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed San Diego State | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +4.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Boise State | 46c | 67.39$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Boise State | 33c | 61.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e74…d044backed San Diego State | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ed…3ae6backed San Diego State | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…c178backed Boise State | 47c | 58.13$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1b…5dfcbacked Boise State | 48c | 55.63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Boise State | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e3…2795backed Boise State | 48c | 50.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed San Diego State | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…f4f4backed Boise State | 22c | 49.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd7…3118backed San Diego State | 53c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7482…e151backed Boise State | 47c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…fdb5backed San Diego State | 69c | 44.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boise State vs. San Diego Statethis page
- Boise State vs. San Diego State: O/U 40.5Under won
- O/U 41.5Under won
- Spread: San Diego State (-2.5)San Diego State won
- Spread: San Diego State (-3.5)San Diego State won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.