TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Illinois Fighting Illiniof Illinois Fighting Illini, Iowa Hawkeyes
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,599,690
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,126,301

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,599,690 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 929 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9032…8717backed Iowa Hawkeyes1c1,067,731$10,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,316.623053.3%16 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+43.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfa41…a7a1backed Illinois Fighting Illini75c408,507$307,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100,690.91771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+24.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x535c…96babacked Iowa Hawkeyes26c363,400$94,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94,582.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-53%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe734…8f6abacked Iowa Hawkeyes27c315,894$85,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85,291.38650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Iowa Hawkeyes24c299,360$71,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71,846.298644.2%38 W · 48 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-26.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Iowa Hawkeyes31c286,596$89,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89,835.031926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.7wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-44.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5ecd…0787backed Iowa Hawkeyes27c250,000$67,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67,5002213.6%3 W · 19 L-4.1wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-65.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9f2a…3706backed Iowa Hawkeyes27c234,204$63,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63,435.0330%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Iowa Hawkeyes23c200,000$47,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,999.9914854.1%80 W · 68 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Iowa Hawkeyes24c200,000$48,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,999.9989645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacae…6798backed Illinois Fighting Illini70c184,677$129,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,609.9410749.5%53 W · 54 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Illinois Fighting Illini75c159,227$119,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,865.081,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Iowa Hawkeyes37c154,139$57,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57,616.2125145.8%115 W · 136 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x938f…f13fbacked Iowa Hawkeyes27c138,267$37,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,332.15520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-71.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xedc8…cca9backed Iowa Hawkeyes27c125,213$33,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,807.46540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-39.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8904…80a3backed Iowa Hawkeyes27c125,000$33,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,750425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Illinois Fighting Illini69c119,118$82,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,525.658148.1%39 W · 42 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe61…4665backed Iowa Hawkeyes27c118,220$31,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,919.371040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc4a…a3a3backed Iowa Hawkeyes27c110,949$29,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,956.1940%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x241f…ef50backed Iowa Hawkeyes27c100,000$27,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,00060%0 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d5c…4302backed Illinois Fighting Illini69c85,162$58,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,400.354551.1%23 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Iowa Hawkeyes24c80,000$19,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,3003745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca6…73e3backed Iowa Hawkeyes25c78,242$19,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,204.58946.1%41 W · 48 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Iowa Hawkeyes24c73,622$17,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,785.784147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Illinois Fighting Illini73c71,902$52,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,430.542646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x088e…bc56backed Iowa Hawkeyes24c67,767$16,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,264.0230%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Iowa Hawkeyes24c64,787$15,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,694.894548.9%22 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Iowa Hawkeyes26c61,966$16,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,232.1646246.5%215 W · 247 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f78…bbe8backed Iowa Hawkeyes27c60,500$16,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,33550%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x47e4…0287backed Iowa Hawkeyes27c57,900$15,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,633250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58f8…dc70backed Illinois Fighting Illini72c53,980$38,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,321.541050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdcba…7d6ebacked Iowa Hawkeyes27c52,878$14,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,276.98250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Iowa Hawkeyes23c51,553$11,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,863.492,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Illinois Fighting Illini62c49,588$30,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,843.33475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcada…f2a3backed Iowa Hawkeyes25c44,799$11,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,154.8530%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb91…b665backed Iowa Hawkeyes30c44,758$13,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,594.372123.8%5 W · 16 L-4.3wins-0.20per pick44cpaid-59.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Iowa Hawkeyes26c43,761$11,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,193.7431837.7%120 W · 198 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a13…4593backed Iowa Hawkeyes27c43,500$11,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,6503641.7%15 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8980…d4f4backed Iowa Hawkeyes23c42,059$9,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,694.2730%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Iowa Hawkeyes24c41,036$9,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,848.7219950.3%100 W · 99 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc953…01bfbacked Iowa Hawkeyes27c40,000$10,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,80010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Iowa Hawkeyes23c37,965$8,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,731.9117643.8%77 W · 99 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Illinois Fighting Illini73c36,200$26,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,773.8860548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc996…f526backed Iowa Hawkeyes27c35,273$9,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,523.66250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3d2…f38bbacked Iowa Hawkeyes27c32,109$8,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,669.451020%2 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-57.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x31b5…6128backed Illinois Fighting Illini71c31,542$22,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,021.28683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick64cpaid+31.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Iowa Hawkeyes23c31,349$7,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,332.422,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Illinois Fighting Illini69c31,085$21,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,637.5534343.4%149 W · 194 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa0c…9dbabacked Iowa Hawkeyes27c30,000$8,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,100250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe193…cc85backed Illinois Fighting Illini76c29,853$22,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,212.721154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf9e…a250backed Illinois Fighting Illini76c29,358$22,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,045.89955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-16.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Iowa Hawkeyes24c28,527$6,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,806.4418954.5%103 W · 86 L+0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Iowa Hawkeyes28c28,522$8,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,092.8634943.3%151 W · 198 L-15.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6368…6dc8backed Illinois Fighting Illini75c26,559$19,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,690.086056.7%34 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8bb…f9c0backed Iowa Hawkeyes27c25,496$6,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,883.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81db…48f0backed Iowa Hawkeyes27c25,000$6,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,75010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Iowa Hawkeyes24c25,000$6,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0701546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb752…cabcbacked Illinois Fighting Illini65c24,917$16,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,767.534454.5%24 W · 20 L+5.1wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+18.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe393…f016backed Iowa Hawkeyes25c24,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0003531.4%11 W · 24 L-4.5wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-39.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2fe0…6e30backed Iowa Hawkeyes28c23,371$6,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,569.32333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-32%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Illinois Fighting Illini69c23,230$16,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,162.635,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7202…e51abacked Iowa Hawkeyes25c20,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0001040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc405…4affbacked Iowa Hawkeyes26c20,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,2003548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18dc…5e90backed Iowa Hawkeyes23c19,000$4,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,370911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick27cpaid-75.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Illinois Fighting Illini76c18,929$14,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,633.73638.9%14 W · 22 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Iowa Hawkeyes27c18,468$4,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,971.5133438.9%130 W · 204 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Iowa Hawkeyes25c18,020$4,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,438.61,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe832…4867backed Iowa Hawkeyes25c17,800$4,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,45020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x871f…5ac9backed Illinois Fighting Illini75c17,271$12,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,356.42475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick74cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Iowa Hawkeyes29c17,060$4,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,941.031060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+34.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbab8…050bbacked Illinois Fighting Illini73c16,801$12,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,536.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-54.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f92…1862backed Illinois Fighting Illini73c16,745$12,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,521.08966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb546…802cbacked Illinois Fighting Illini76c16,549$12,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,971.861258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick67cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e77…2757backed Illinois Fighting Illini75c16,501$12,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,184.682450%12 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb70…6c66backed Iowa Hawkeyes27c16,000$4,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,32030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fcb…f91abacked Iowa Hawkeyes25c15,000$3,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7501225%3 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-37.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Illinois Fighting Illini62c14,876$9,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,65341752.5%219 W · 198 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Iowa Hawkeyes32c14,527$4,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,616.513040%12 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd604…ee57backed Iowa Hawkeyes38c13,333$5,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,066.5616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Iowa Hawkeyes29c13,216$3,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,767.8525246.4%117 W · 135 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe726…052cbacked Iowa Hawkeyes25c13,201$3,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,294.19922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-52.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8210…aa2cbacked Iowa Hawkeyes27c13,000$3,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,510837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9aa8…1f7bbacked Iowa Hawkeyes27c12,900$3,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4831729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-35.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Illinois Fighting Illini62c12,397$7,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,710.832231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-38.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Illinois Fighting Illini62c12,397$7,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,710.8330139.2%118 W · 183 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbbd…d6f0backed Iowa Hawkeyes24c12,320$2,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,956.82661.5%16 W · 10 L+4.9wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+33.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x622e…07abbacked Iowa Hawkeyes24c11,477$2,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,754.474040%16 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c08…d516backed Iowa Hawkeyes27c11,064$2,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,997.88450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+107.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Illinois Fighting Illini76c10,433$7,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,503.916127.9%17 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7aca…ef71backed Iowa Hawkeyes25c10,403$2,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,600.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Iowa Hawkeyes28c10,155$2,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,888.237346.6%34 W · 39 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Iowa Hawkeyes38c10,000$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8001450%7 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fd8…1de3backed Iowa Hawkeyes25c9,994$2,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,498.41435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x819f…70bcbacked Illinois Fighting Illini76c9,936$7,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,384.68250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Iowa Hawkeyes25c9,837$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,450.042,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Illinois Fighting Illini76c9,630$7,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,311.3136944.2%163 W · 206 L-19.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Illinois Fighting Illini70c9,364$6,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,763.668246.3%38 W · 44 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Iowa Hawkeyes27c9,051$2,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,443.745541.8%23 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked Iowa Hawkeyes27c9,000$2,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4302917.2%5 W · 24 L-5.5wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-69.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc64e…fd52backed Iowa Hawkeyes32c8,992$2,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,858.963237.5%12 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-28.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.