TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 137.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$201,934
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$208,539

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $201,934 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Over36c57,524$20,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,778.1825145.8%115 W · 136 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over51c29,738$15,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,166.1824451.2%125 W · 119 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Under75c26,635$19,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,658.7314940.3%60 W · 89 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under48c20,000$9,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,399.988148.1%39 W · 42 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under48c17,234$8,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,908.072,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under47c16,362$7,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,671.633141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over52c11,176$5,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,790.761,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Over51c10,111$5,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,156.510648.1%51 W · 55 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1632…cb68backed Under49c8,914$4,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,546.35650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under48c6,000$2,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,12090645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0705…1175backed Under49c5,600$2,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,856450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under63c5,205$3,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,925.574,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e4f…81a1backed Under49c5,100$2,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,601650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under63c4,959$3,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,834.9123149.8%115 W · 116 L+14.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+38.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Over52c4,205$2,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,186.573855.3%21 W · 17 L+5.3wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+41.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under47c4,163$1,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,206.5984147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc405…4affbacked Under49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0403548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80a4…22ccbacked Under49c3,575$1,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,823.24450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under45c3,357$1,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,846.575,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbca6…73e3backed Under49c3,300$1,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6838946.1%41 W · 48 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Over15c3,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45012251.6%63 W · 59 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b6e…8b97backed Under76c2,754$2,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.022100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick70cpaid+45.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe248…f293backed Under46c2,650$1,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,431.0678155.6%434 W · 347 L+38.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0bfc…6762backed Under47c2,507$1,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,328.683100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4a2…6fc8backed Under49c2,251$1,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,159.155060%30 W · 20 L+5.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x67d3…96cbbacked Under49c2,251$1,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,159.154360.5%26 W · 17 L+4.8wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3464…8112backed Under49c2,251$1,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,159.154656.5%26 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbaa9…4baabacked Under49c2,234$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.23366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+40.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Under49c2,147$1,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,095.066336.5%23 W · 40 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e4c…c962backed Over52c2,021$1,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,051.192360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5669…e058backed Under49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0204854.2%26 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d3…080fbacked Over51c1,883$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.241145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Over32c1,849$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.8910437.5%39 W · 65 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c1,754$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.665,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Under63c1,369$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.5119147.6%91 W · 100 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a96…0d7cbacked Over52c1,325$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.815149%25 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over50c1,288$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.171,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe182…b624backed Under49c1,052$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.475552.7%29 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce70…0be2backed Under49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5103956.4%22 W · 17 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+23.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbbd1…4244backed Under49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5101450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad87…6a86backed Under65c995.2$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.751266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+31.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fbb…3f66backed Under63c991.84$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.981855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Over54c805.56$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4358845.5%40 W · 48 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-14.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under49c764.43$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.863650%18 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under46c699.99$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37816147.2%76 W · 85 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over52c681.99$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.6360548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Under63c629.79$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.029352.7%49 W · 44 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under46c555.68$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.073,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over53c499.99$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2654944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Under47c497.81$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.8437246.2%172 W · 200 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c9b…a556backed Over51c485.91$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.8116248.1%78 W · 84 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b01…dee1backed Under48c413.03$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.771338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb752…cabcbacked Over33c396.9$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.984454.5%24 W · 20 L+5.1wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+18.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under63c393.59$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.631,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfba…80ebbacked Over54c367.15$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.265639.3%22 W · 34 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-27%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9386…cfe5backed Under50c297.38$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.694050%20 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Over54c277.09$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.633253.1%17 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over8c263.73$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.29254.3%50 W · 42 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under45c250.72$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.916650%83 W · 83 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Over52c249.8$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.93860.5%23 W · 15 L+4.6wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+27.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2442…0c2bbacked Over54c229.47$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.9114051.4%72 W · 68 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Over53c213.13$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.9625544.3%113 W · 142 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Under47c210.91$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.781,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Under47c210.91$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.7883350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa10e…4ea1backed Under47c210.91$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.782433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under64c201.21$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.264,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Over52c198.25$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.0912254.1%66 W · 56 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Over51c194.36$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.131118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.3wins-0.30per pick48cpaid-65.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x00e0…8a94backed Over54c185.81$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3423028.3%65 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Over54c183.58$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1311844.1%52 W · 66 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x670d…0825backed Over54c183.58$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.132626.9%7 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-43.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32f0…965dbacked Over61c162.57$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Over53c160$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.88535.3%30 W · 55 L-8.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-25.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked Under63c157.44$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.255048%24 W · 26 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Over52c152.5$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.350745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe44c…f15cbacked Over52c147.51$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.72147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0a2…3c41backed Over51c132.32$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.484463.6%28 W · 16 L+5.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+30.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Under63c120.76$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5333445.5%152 W · 182 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under55c114.76$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.419958.3%116 W · 83 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd3b2…2171backed Under49c112.36$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.33545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over51c106.9$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.52475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+35.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed Over54c102.1$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.141656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba00…747cbacked Under48c99.13$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.551741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38ab…4e8dbacked Over51c97.18$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.56425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ab7…0409backed Over51c96.89$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.411163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Over52c86.16$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.858652.9%310 W · 276 L+23.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68c…1497backed Under47c85.99$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.351080%8 W · 2 L+4.0wins+0.40per pick40cpaid+121.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x8dcd…74c6backed Over27c79.45$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.451838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Over51c74.34$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9240849.8%203 W · 205 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b95…07e5backed Under63c72.9$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.974748.9%23 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x166f…1826backed Over54c69.76$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.67366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe363…c894backed Under45c64.83$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.661643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Over49c59.62$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4418048.9%88 W · 92 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c5e…e00abacked Under47c58.79$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f16…b5b9backed Under76c58.5$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.041735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a34…56cfbacked Over51c52.87$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.97166.3%1 W · 15 L-7.1wins-0.44per pick51cpaid-88%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Under51c52.37$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.667460.8%45 W · 29 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xad0b…9eb1backed Under49c51.27$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.151080%8 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+61.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1b9e…eb82backed Under63c47.03$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.43554.3%19 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x810d…6080backed Under58c45.66$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.283447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.