TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Illinois Fighting Illiniof Illinois Fighting Illini, Iowa Hawkeyes
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$523,905
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$627,785

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $523,905 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 234 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Iowa Hawkeyes49c158,247$77,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77,566.6525145.8%115 W · 136 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd38a…8d26backed Illinois Fighting Illini53c99,889$52,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,947.931172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+50.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2b3f…3446backed Illinois Fighting Illini54c66,707$36,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,685.125367.9%36 W · 17 L+9.6wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+32.7%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Iowa Hawkeyes46c61,424$28,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,431.0919950.3%100 W · 99 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf40…87debacked Illinois Fighting Illini54c32,713$17,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,160.463850%19 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Iowa Hawkeyes46c19,606$9,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,019.189144%40 W · 51 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Illinois Fighting Illini54c18,313$9,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,503.728148.1%39 W · 42 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Iowa Hawkeyes46c13,663$6,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,284.922,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Illinois Fighting Illini53c12,591$6,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,948.7936944.2%163 W · 206 L-19.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb142…2a4ebacked Iowa Hawkeyes46c12,449$5,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,706.98560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1e6…1dc1backed Illinois Fighting Illini54c10,706$5,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,924.815341.5%22 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ec1…057cbacked Illinois Fighting Illini53c9,352$4,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,395.38957.3%51 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Illinois Fighting Illini53c7,973$4,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,747.429250%46 W · 46 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Iowa Hawkeyes47c6,000$2,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,82090645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Illinois Fighting Illini54c5,948$3,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,73627851.1%142 W · 136 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01ae…4385backed Iowa Hawkeyes48c5,778$2,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,773.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb74…997cbacked Illinois Fighting Illini54c5,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,299.991838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Iowa Hawkeyes53c4,796$2,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,527.745,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xac4d…8e7ebacked Iowa Hawkeyes47c4,362$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,049.975947.5%28 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Illinois Fighting Illini42c4,055$1,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,337.294,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Iowa Hawkeyes46c3,977$1,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,829.41,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Illinois Fighting Illini29c3,303$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,345.1532751.7%169 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x561e…2093backed Illinois Fighting Illini54c3,197$1,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,470.493333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-16.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Iowa Hawkeyes46c3,000$1,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3908350.6%42 W · 41 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9aa8…1f7bbacked Iowa Hawkeyes47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4101729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-35.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Iowa Hawkeyes47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,409.982,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca6…73e3backed Illinois Fighting Illini53c2,907$1,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,373.098946.1%41 W · 48 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc405…4affbacked Illinois Fighting Illini54c2,886$1,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,327.753548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c6d…8371backed Illinois Fighting Illini54c2,873$1,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,321.73250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Illinois Fighting Illini29c2,610$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,853.143855.3%21 W · 17 L+5.3wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+41.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Illinois Fighting Illini52c2,500$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20061652.8%325 W · 291 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Illinois Fighting Illini48c2,442$1,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,274.244146.5%205 W · 236 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Illinois Fighting Illini29c2,325$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,650.845459.3%32 W · 22 L+7.9wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+59.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Iowa Hawkeyes48c2,266$1,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,087.723141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Illinois Fighting Illini53c2,182$1,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,025.462729.6%8 W · 19 L-5.6wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-40.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Iowa Hawkeyes48c2,115$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.273650%18 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Iowa Hawkeyes45c2,007$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903.3718048.9%88 W · 92 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e4f…81a1backed Illinois Fighting Illini54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Illinois Fighting Illini53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dbf…c4f4backed Illinois Fighting Illini54c1,997$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Illinois Fighting Illini29c1,993$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,414.8714728.6%42 W · 105 L-0.7wins0.00per pick29cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5672…5019backed Illinois Fighting Illini53c1,983$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3722…1f0abacked Iowa Hawkeyes50c1,983$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.2530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf8ad…c303backed Illinois Fighting Illini54c1,900$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8741258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0705…1175backed Illinois Fighting Illini54c1,800$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Illinois Fighting Illini54c1,732$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.662334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Iowa Hawkeyes47c1,704$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.693441.2%14 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Iowa Hawkeyes45c1,675$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.4816341.7%68 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4608…d049backed Illinois Fighting Illini51c1,615$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.331030%3 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x08fe…aedfbacked Iowa Hawkeyes45c1,596$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.224946.9%23 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c3f…5012backed Illinois Fighting Illini54c1,594$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.41250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Iowa Hawkeyes46c1,522$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.1250548.9%247 W · 258 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72b8…684bbacked Illinois Fighting Illini54c1,367$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.69450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a61…1787backed Illinois Fighting Illini54c1,217$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.8316445.1%74 W · 90 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Iowa Hawkeyes52c1,131$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.3646246.5%215 W · 247 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c83…cf0abacked Illinois Fighting Illini54c1,100$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50613343.6%58 W · 75 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8cc…015bbacked Illinois Fighting Illini50c1,100$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5508254.9%45 W · 37 L+6.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Iowa Hawkeyes47c1,042$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.297938%30 W · 49 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e64…89c3backed Iowa Hawkeyes48c1,033$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.634551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d7c…51b6backed Illinois Fighting Illini54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4601233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70ae…e370backed Illinois Fighting Illini54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4601838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5669…e058backed Illinois Fighting Illini54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4604854.2%26 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e69…200ebacked Iowa Hawkeyes45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4a9…4d64backed Iowa Hawkeyes45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4507231.9%23 W · 49 L-7.6wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-29.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0437…30f4backed Illinois Fighting Illini54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4601361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+24.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7ed…4acdbacked Iowa Hawkeyes45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x714d…6e05backed Illinois Fighting Illini50c999.99$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5013043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbbd1…4244backed Illinois Fighting Illini53c995.42$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.851450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8d7…c17bbacked Illinois Fighting Illini50c991.84$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.222755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9712…0c47backed Illinois Fighting Illini53c991.28$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.93336.4%12 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x705d…3438backed Iowa Hawkeyes48c991.26$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.815154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Illinois Fighting Illini42c959.85$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.7519147.6%91 W · 100 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Iowa Hawkeyes47c944.04$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.71,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…dca3backed Illinois Fighting Illini53c935.17$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.533240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x454c…b413backed Illinois Fighting Illini50c900$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4503100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x950a…fca5backed Iowa Hawkeyes47c775.83$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.851442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x991d…419ebacked Illinois Fighting Illini52c768.55$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Iowa Hawkeyes47c757.02$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.840755.8%227 W · 180 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Iowa Hawkeyes46c699.99$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32216147.2%76 W · 85 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Illinois Fighting Illini44c696.71$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.079352.7%49 W · 44 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Illinois Fighting Illini53c693.9$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.1355749.2%274 W · 283 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Iowa Hawkeyes46c670.21$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.32748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Illinois Fighting Illini47c630.79$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.210437.5%39 W · 65 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Illinois Fighting Illini53c622.4$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.536336.5%23 W · 40 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x630c…3801backed Iowa Hawkeyes48c619.54$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.3820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e79…0658backed Iowa Hawkeyes47c569.46$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.652532%8 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Illinois Fighting Illini45c566.05$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.332,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Illinois Fighting Illini54c550.73$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.33560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x310a…d559backed Illinois Fighting Illini54c550.73$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.334100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+122.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Illinois Fighting Illini54c550.73$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.332330.4%7 W · 16 L-6.1wins-0.26per pick57cpaid-46.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xdc04…1c43backed Illinois Fighting Illini54c508.29$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.812532%8 W · 17 L-4.0wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-41.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdff8…3c8bbacked Illinois Fighting Illini54c495.65$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2282951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe878…e281backed Iowa Hawkeyes46c495.28$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.92955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Illinois Fighting Illini53c475.82$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.6313851.4%71 W · 67 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1c1…5e0cbacked Illinois Fighting Illini48c413.45$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.2955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Illinois Fighting Illini53c396.51$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.3617051.2%87 W · 83 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Illinois Fighting Illini51c388.73$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.481,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3464…8112backed Illinois Fighting Illini53c353.41$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.374656.5%26 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67d3…96cbbacked Illinois Fighting Illini53c344.72$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.224360.5%26 W · 17 L+4.8wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x56eb…076abacked Illinois Fighting Illini52c329.42$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.124957.1%28 W · 21 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.