Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f2d4e412376307efe3be0cc87ae22b24e5774733e8e6e57db6c4d71f9f03a0a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Illinois Fighting Illiniof Illinois Fighting Illini, Iowa Hawkeyes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $328,802
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $330,635
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $328,802 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2b3f…3446backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 48c | 99,410$47,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,693.03 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +9.6wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 52c | 95,314$49,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,563.2 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…4388backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 54c | 54,542$29,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,452.85 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 48c | 42,110$20,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,069.84 | 211 | 49.3%104 W · 107 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 59c | 19,473$11,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,490.09 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 52c | 19,064$9,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,913.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 46c | 15,177$6,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,195.58 | 462 | 46.5%215 W · 247 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 48c | 11,930$5,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,203.66 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 46c | 10,704$4,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,780.08 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 46c | 10,673$4,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,763.42 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 38c | 10,033$3,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,268.75 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…1943backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 52c | 9,913$5,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,154.57 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -7.2wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 69c | 9,869$6,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,822.52 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 52c | 8,365$4,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,349.72 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 52c | 7,217$3,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,752.96 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…c193backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 42c | 4,611$1,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,674.38 | 231 | 49.8%115 W · 116 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 57c | 4,275$2,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,441.83 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 52c | 4,269$2,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,219.06 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 39c | 3,941$1,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,419.1 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 26c | 3,034$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,232.4 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 48c | 2,655$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.01 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 39c | 2,489$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.75 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 47c | 2,266$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.03 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2364…d6a9backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 48c | 2,100$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c51…645dbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 48c | 2,100$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f1…fa71backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 48c | 2,100$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecc…a05bbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 48c | 2,100$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +79.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb732…dbfebacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 48c | 2,100$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +79.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f84…18ecbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 48c | 2,100$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +79.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…c2c9backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 48c | 2,100$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +79.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 32c | 2,005$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.73 | 147 | 28.6%42 W · 105 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5669…e058backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 48c | 1,900$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 61c | 1,685$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.05 | 316 | 46.8%148 W · 168 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4964…a330backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 38c | 1,498$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.85 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 71c | 1,445$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.94 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 38c | 1,409$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.15 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 38c | 1,337$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.25 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa027…a456backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 48c | 1,205$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +79.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe393…f016backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c83…cf0abacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 70c | 1,086$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.63 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 46c | 999.96$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.98 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 40c | 992.73$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.65 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d3…080fbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 54c | 832.21$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.49 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 61c | 802.35$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.33 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56eb…076abacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 47c | 649.99$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.5 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…bb2abacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 53c | 635.89$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.04 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 47c | 599.91$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.95 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b54…d382backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 62c | 575.12$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.19 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9712…0c47backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 53c | 500.39$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.4 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63a7…3bb2backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 53c | 467.59$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.82 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 60c | 455.89$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.79 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 40c | 455.85$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.01 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 64c | 439.95$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.57 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e3…a9eebacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 53c | 396.51$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.15 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 48c | 396.51$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.18 | 170 | 51.2%87 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbd…d6f0backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 49c | 377.89$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.72 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x096a…0074backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 53c | 374.07$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.26 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x524b…73a2backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 53c | 324.71$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 47c | 305.31$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.81 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 62c | 299.96$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.98 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 38c | 260.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.81 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 31c | 252.63$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.23 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 48c | 245.73$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 32c | 227.62$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.99 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a7…374abacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 67c | 222.15$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 37c | 218.13$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.71 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1c…f13cbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 54c | 218.09$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.77 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb225…d86bbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 54c | 214.78$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.98 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec45…6ba6backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 62c | 213.94$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.9 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 48c | 209.98$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.19 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 37c | 203.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.51 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 49c | 202.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.38 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497a…650fbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 54c | 198.26$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.06 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f9…84e6backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 52c | 196.27$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.06 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 62c | 187.47$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.23 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ff…9d91backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 53c | 187.03$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 54c | 183.58$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 34c | 176.87$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.97 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 67c | 175.38$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.55 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 62c | 169.68$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.2 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8de4…67a8backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 67c | 153.78$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.78 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 62c | 151.22$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.76 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 47c | 146.14$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.74 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92dc…7916backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 49c | 141.61$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.22 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 63c | 132.63$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.49 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea8…077dbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 68c | 128.95$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.79 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 68c | 128.45$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.75 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b6…d7cebacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 68c | 128.45$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.75 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 68c | 128.45$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.75 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 47c | 127.88$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.77 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 41c | 117.09$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.02 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 40c | 116.78$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.54 | 334 | 45.5%152 W · 182 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2273…7e01backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 57c | 109.75$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.56 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc7…7f02backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 53c | 109.04$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.79 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd479…be37backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 65c | 107.49$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.44 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa78a…aba5backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 53c | 105.67$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.01 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-7.5)this page
- Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa HawkeyesIllinois Fighting Illini won
- Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 131.5Under won
- Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 133.5Under won
- Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 134.5Under won
- Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 135.5Under won
- Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 136.5Under won
- Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 137.5Under won
- Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 138.5Under won
- Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 139.5Under won
- Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 140.5Under won
- Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 141.5Under won
- Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-2.5)Illinois Fighting Illini won
- Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-3.5)Illinois Fighting Illini won
- Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-4.5)Illinois Fighting Illini won
- Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-5.5)Illinois Fighting Illini won
- Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-6.5)Illinois Fighting Illini won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.