TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 138.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$95,529
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$101,592

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,529 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa080…234fbacked Under50c17,836$8,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,918.218148.1%39 W · 42 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over50c14,468$7,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,183.6546246.5%215 W · 247 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Over50c8,290$4,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,1482646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Under51c6,863$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,362.9421149.3%104 W · 107 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc38…1e98backed Under50c5,576$2,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,787.924654.3%25 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under55c4,247$2,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,892.331,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Over49c4,208$2,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,062.152334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Over50c3,052$1,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,526.243141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over32c2,611$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.925,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over49c2,436$1,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,193.412,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9802,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbbd…d6f0backed Under51c1,993$1,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$976.922661.5%16 W · 10 L+4.9wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+33.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under51c1,538$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.681,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Over49c1,487$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.5742948.5%208 W · 221 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Under51c1,458$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.31926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.7wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-44.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under49c1,413$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.4715858.2%92 W · 66 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over48c1,370$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.511,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under74c1,274$947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.772,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Over48c1,002$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.2518048.9%88 W · 92 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f1…2d5fbacked Under51c999.99$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4903154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaaa2…c75fbacked Under51c999.99$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4901952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b2…2171backed Over48c997.54$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.823545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked Over48c996.51$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.325942.4%25 W · 34 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf7f…8a2dbacked Under51c991.26$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.72475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+51.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3722…1f0abacked Over49c991.25$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.7130%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over50c771.39$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3833,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Over37c759.63$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.7710437.5%39 W · 65 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over50c741.94$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.9717643.8%77 W · 99 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under51c738.06$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.653650%18 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under69c712.85$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.569254.3%50 W · 42 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under50c513.81$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.5625145.8%115 W · 136 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Over49c500.76$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.373855.3%21 W · 17 L+5.3wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+41.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x46ec…3db5backed Over49c499.63$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.822722.2%6 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-50.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b02…f3d9backed Under52c381.26$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1835959.3%35 W · 24 L+7.9wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdfba…80ebbacked Over51c340.14$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.475639.3%22 W · 34 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-27%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf69b…a6ddbacked Over54c305.87$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.122445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a47…fcf3backed Over50c297.38$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.697445.9%34 W · 40 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Under68c291.88$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.43372.7%24 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Over50c265.66$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.8310448.1%50 W · 54 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over46c240.22$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.654,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Over49c215.23$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.4916650%83 W · 83 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under60c213.93$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.2719958.3%116 W · 83 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x700a…58a5backed Over13c211.11$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.368640.7%35 W · 51 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41f9…84e6backed Under51c199.98$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.9920642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Over50c199.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.623860.5%23 W · 15 L+4.6wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+27.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under51c198.25$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.178052.2%407 W · 373 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0643…d46bbacked Under51c194.36$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.249348.4%45 W · 48 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-16.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x85a7…d9f3backed Under52c190.63$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.57653.9%41 W · 35 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe878…e281backed Over52c189.03$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.72955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over49c161.97$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.018246.3%38 W · 44 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under66c156.17$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.394,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Under51c150$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.51540%6 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under67c148.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.5960551.4%311 W · 294 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x298c…3e58backed Under50c148.69$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.344151.2%21 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under64c145.57$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.041942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x01dc…183ebacked Over29c142.45$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.191030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Over20c136.65$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.988754%47 W · 40 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Under52c128.86$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.8521850.5%110 W · 108 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Over49c121.38$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.483953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6598…5f36backed Over58c119.66$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.42263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c29…ed84backed Under57c109.48$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.43785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.31per pick55cpaid+83.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa16f…3634backed Over49c109.24$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.53333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x199f…7e77backed Under72c103.43$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.961566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x313d…6f98backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506767.2%45 W · 22 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Over49c95.28$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1227650.7%140 W · 136 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Under59c75.7$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.841233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-45.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7aa1…bd9bbacked Over37c72.6$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.64650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc71a…f135backed Over52c71.05$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.942536%9 W · 16 L-4.3wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-34.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under65c69.56$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.430152.8%159 W · 142 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d12…cc43backed Over49c60.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.743554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Over47c58.72$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6919147.6%91 W · 100 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a34…56cfbacked Over49c55.67$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.28166.3%1 W · 15 L-7.1wins-0.44per pick51cpaid-88%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x3319…ba79backed Under58c52.01$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.883961.5%24 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00f7…4476backed Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked Over50c49.96$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.987657.9%44 W · 32 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfc7…7f02backed Under49c49.96$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.482365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+35.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over47c49.56$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.322756.4%128 W · 99 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Over50c49.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7849849.6%247 W · 251 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x699d…0501backed Over48c47.52$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.811353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Over48c47.51$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.86336.5%23 W · 40 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed Under55c46.11$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.577962%49 W · 30 L+7.7wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Under70c46.02$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.684443.2%19 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x860d…3c72backed Over50c45.6$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.83748.6%18 W · 19 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+28.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7fe1…e700backed Under66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.45683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick54cpaid+63%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under75c43.67$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.973,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacb…03b7backed Under53c41.3$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.311376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+21.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over31c40.33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.764647.5%307 W · 339 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Under63c39.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5914461.8%89 W · 55 L+0.7wins0.00per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Under69c39.88$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3610755.1%59 W · 48 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd479…be37backed Under51c38.87$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.054443.2%19 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a7e…1cc7backed Over48c38.46$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.464628.3%13 W · 33 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-44.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under50c38.29$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.151,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d63…1f72backed Under52c38.13$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd774…82cdbacked Under52c38.13$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.36747.8%32 W · 35 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Under55c35.35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.856765.7%44 W · 23 L+8.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+20.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Under71c33.84$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.941566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+67.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec45…6ba6backed Under56c33.31$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.542770.4%19 W · 8 L+3.8wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+28%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x97a8…078dbacked Under54c30.76$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.14862.5%30 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Over50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1533058.2%192 W · 138 L+24.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.