TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2b3f…3446

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
104
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 64 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 64 out of 100; worst NFL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT5367.9%36 W · 17 L+9.6wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+32.7%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$980,163Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$344,381.63
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-1.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$72,224Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$81,443.73
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$48,502Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$48,501.94
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$47,930Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$47,930
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-5.5)backed Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$69,388Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$69,388.48
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-8.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$64,227Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+108.7%+$69,843.94
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-5.5)backed Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$58,208Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$58,208.02
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-6.5)backed Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26,291Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$26,290.82
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$21,593Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$21,593.26
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-7.5)backed Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$47,717Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$51,693.03
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-6.5)backed Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$36,022Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$30,685.12
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-6.5)backed Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49,676Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$49,676.13
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-11.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$94,441Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$90,737
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 165.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$863Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$863.49
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$230,194Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$230,194.25
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$65,523Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+109.6%+$71,842.86
Spread: Florida Gators (-10.5)backed Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$128,546Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$128,546.14
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$79,340Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$48,627.94
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-3.5)backed St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$43,484Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$43,483.58
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$44,648Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$44,647.73
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-7.5)backed Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$69,454Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+89.3%+$62,010.66
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$77,488Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$39,917.85
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-11.5)backed Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$63,490Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$56,305.77
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23,192Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$12,487.86
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-12.5)backed Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$179,929Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+103.8%+$186,825.45
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$243,669Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+48.6%+$118,301.48
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$24,769Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+168.9%+$41,823.48
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$68,312Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$138,694.95
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.28
Spread: Hornets (-15.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$116,257Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+101%+$117,380.66
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$74,197Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$68,489.61
Pistons vs. Timberwolvesbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$55,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+78.9%+$43,382.68
Bucks vs. Clippersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$8,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,000
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35,202Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$35,201.75
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$26,380Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$26,379.96
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$49,950Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$58,636.9
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,999Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$1,999.2
Wizards vs. Hornets: O/U 239.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$1,249.61
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,341Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+95.4%+$1,279.12
All 14 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-36.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$357,885Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$357,884.72
Athletics vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$99,999Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$99,999.42
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$61,398Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$61,397.81
Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$95,710Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$95,710.11
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$159,654Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+61.6%+$98,335.81
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$285,661Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+37.7%+$107,587.08
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$59,751Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$26,844.6
All 7 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick42cpaid-42.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Lions (-7.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$5,949Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$5,948.65
Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$6,297Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$6,296.57
Lions vs. Ramsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$3,535Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$3,535.21
Panthers vs. Saintsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$416Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$416.26
Colts vs. Seahawksbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,457Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$1,456.54
Chargers vs. Chiefsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$3,341Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+244.8%+$8,178.88
All 6 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)backed Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$102,957Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$102,956.7
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$322,025Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$322,025.04
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$377,211Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+167%+$629,935.65
Spread: Mexico (-2.5)backed Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30,065Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30,065.03
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)backed Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$66,991Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+117.8%+$78,945.39
All 5 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona vs. SMU Mustangsbacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15,960Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+78.6%+$12,540
Arizona vs. SMU Mustangs: 1H Moneylinebacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+81.8%+$99.12
Spread: Navy (-7.5)backed Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$8,593Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+87.3%+$7,503.77
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+79.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$38,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11,499.99
Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14,615Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14,041.79
FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24,990Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$28,180.05
All 3 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$35,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$34,999.97
Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,739Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,739.02
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$4,679Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$2,519.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18,800
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Devilsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,024Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$3,023.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Sebastian Korda vs Martin Landalucebacked Sebastian Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$47,399Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$47,398.75
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.