College Football · resolved market
Spread: Navy (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3c8d845a114d941c597dab9a533a111ce22f156786d698fc7894b90526d33d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Navyof Navy, Cincinnati
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,067,015
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,124,164
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,067,015 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 232 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Cincinnati | 53c | 400,000$212,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211,999.98 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Navy | 47c | 300,000$141,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158,999.98 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…544cbacked Cincinnati | 52c | 216,195$113,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113,421.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Cincinnati | 52c | 171,267$88,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88,351.28 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Navy | 47c | 87,670$41,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,464.89 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Navy | 48c | 85,000$40,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,289.98 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Navy | 47c | 74,990$35,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,657.79 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Navy | 48c | 60,000$28,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,200 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb889…a430backed Cincinnati | 52c | 50,000$26,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,999.96 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Navy | 47c | 41,800$19,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,154 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Navy | 48c | 40,924$19,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,280.39 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Navy | 48c | 34,212$16,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,795.63 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Navy | 49c | 26,995$13,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,857.42 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Navy | 48c | 20,900$10,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,868 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Navy | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,200 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Navy | 47c | 18,888$8,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,010.64 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Navy | 48c | 18,795$9,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,773.4 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Navy | 48c | 16,840$8,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,756.8 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Cincinnati | 52c | 16,835$8,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,685.66 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3f…3446backed Navy | 53c | 16,097$8,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,503.77 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Cincinnati | 53c | 15,094$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Navy | 48c | 12,500$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,500 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Cincinnati | 52c | 11,063$5,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,752.76 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Navy | 48c | 10,991$5,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,714.74 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Cincinnati | 52c | 10,139$5,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,272.14 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Navy | 47c | 9,863$4,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,227.6 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Cincinnati | 53c | 9,552$5,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,062.56 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Navy | 48c | 8,868$4,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,637.27 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Cincinnati | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Cincinnati | 45c | 5,815$2,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,636.3 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Navy | 48c | 5,583$2,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,877.64 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +40%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Cincinnati | 45c | 5,279$2,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,375.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Navy | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Navy | 49c | 4,959$2,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,529.3 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Cincinnati | 52c | 4,715$2,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,451.87 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3158…d469backed Navy | 47c | 4,400$2,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,332 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cincinnati | 52c | 4,047$2,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,095.58 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…3d56backed Cincinnati | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079.99 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Navy | 55c | 3,927$2,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,761.17 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf569…36a6backed Cincinnati | 52c | 3,118$1,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Cincinnati | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Navy | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x266b…8da2backed Cincinnati | 48c | 2,088$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed Navy | 50c | 2,001$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf410…ca73backed Navy | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Navy | 49c | 1,891$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.37 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed Navy | 48c | 1,504$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.87 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Navy | 48c | 1,490$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.8 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Cincinnati | 53c | 1,469$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.71 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Navy | 51c | 1,432$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.17 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc9…6786backed Navy | 49c | 1,429$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b6…31e9backed Navy | 64c | 1,299$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.71 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Navy | 48c | 1,238$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.2 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Cincinnati | 48c | 1,235$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.42 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Cincinnati | 53c | 1,137$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.64 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cincinnati | 6c | 1,135$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.13 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf642…0c19backed Navy | 48c | 1,131$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.21 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Navy | 48c | 1,113$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.5 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Cincinnati | 29c | 1,092$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea89…0b5fbacked Navy | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8886…3913backed Navy | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 31cpaid | +121.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Cincinnati | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Navy | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed Navy | 47c | 948.7$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.36 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Cincinnati | 53c | 938.04$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Navy | 47c | 900$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Navy | 75c | 843.21$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.28 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Navy | 47c | 843$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.79 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Navy | 49c | 800$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf48c…e4dabacked Cincinnati | 21c | 777.59$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.83 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Navy | 60c | 742.62$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Cincinnati | 55c | 675.02$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.88 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Navy | 56c | 652.99$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.4 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Cincinnati | 53c | 641.33$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Navy | 48c | 640$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.8 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Cincinnati | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21a…88edbacked Cincinnati | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Cincinnati | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.32per pick | 54cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Navy | 48c | 563.85$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.2 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…efeebacked Navy | 48c | 555$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16bf…cd13backed Cincinnati | 39c | 520$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cincinnati | 48c | 502.5$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.71 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…3721backed Cincinnati | 43c | 501.89$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Navy | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Cincinnati | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2f…b226backed Cincinnati | 52c | 499.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 51cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Navy | 47c | 499.77$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.88 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Navy | 47c | 491.8$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.31 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Navy | 49c | 490.79$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.07 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Navy | 48c | 479.16$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.16 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Cincinnati | 50c | 441.27$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.64 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Navy | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Navy | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…d16cbacked Navy | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 174 | 50%87 W · 87 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c4…01bdbacked Navy | 40c | 413.25$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Navy | 48c | 410.71$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.57 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Navy | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked Cincinnati | 52c | 399.98$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.99 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…05c8backed Navy | 64c | 398.41$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.7 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe14f…3ab9backed Navy | 57c | 390.94$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Navy (-7.5)this page
- Navy vs. CincinnatiNavy won
- Navy vs. Cincinnati: 1H MoneylineNavy won
- Navy vs. Cincinnati: O/U 55.5Under won
- Navy vs. Cincinnati: O/U 56.5Under won
- Navy vs. Cincinnati: O/U 57.5Under won
- Navy vs. Cincinnati: O/U 58.5Under won
- O/U 54.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.