TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Navy vs. Cincinnati

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Navyof Navy, Cincinnati
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,265,702
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,452,611

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,265,702 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 373 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Cincinnati7c81,446$5,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,573.8693548.4%453 W · 482 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5350…2fdabacked Cincinnati28c77,001$21,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,455.843345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd38b…5029backed Cincinnati28c66,768$18,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,695.0732745.6%149 W · 178 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Navy72c64,897$46,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,320.229750.5%49 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Navy71c55,959$40,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,959.142763%17 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Navy72c55,166$39,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,421.9911849.2%58 W · 60 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Navy72c54,750$39,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,389.8121055.2%116 W · 94 L+13.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b9c…57b3backed Navy74c50,300$37,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,873.171172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+46.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Navy72c50,000$36,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,0005064%32 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb889…a430backed Cincinnati28c50,000$14,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,999.993857.9%22 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+18%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d26…be09backed Cincinnati5c47,619$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-52.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Navy71c44,025$31,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,745.2416234%55 W · 107 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Cincinnati16c36,609$5,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,694.1819842.9%85 W · 113 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe73e…74febacked Cincinnati28c33,734$9,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,3503951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Cincinnati23c25,975$5,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,921.2913933.1%46 W · 93 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-45%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Cincinnati29c20,000$5,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,8002040%8 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Cincinnati24c19,448$4,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,614.5658850.2%295 W · 293 L+23.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Cincinnati17c16,580$2,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,891.231330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-51.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Cincinnati28c15,035$4,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,209.363658.3%21 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Cincinnati28c14,299$4,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,003.6938450.5%194 W · 190 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Cincinnati25c13,522$3,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,377.0110047%47 W · 53 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Navy73c13,346$9,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,647.4348546.8%227 W · 258 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Cincinnati28c12,856$3,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,578.482536%9 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Cincinnati1c11,066$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.3324229.3%71 W · 171 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-24.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Cincinnati23c10,554$2,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,472.3162843.6%274 W · 354 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cincinnati8c10,342$878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877.6240244.8%180 W · 222 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Cincinnati28c10,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8003158.1%18 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+22.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Cincinnati28c9,874$2,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,740.652528%7 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-44.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Cincinnati18c9,243$1,689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,689.1986243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Navy72c8,889$6,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,451.175137.3%19 W · 32 L-7.4wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-37.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cincinnati19c8,358$1,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,547.7821538.6%83 W · 132 L-0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Cincinnati25c7,742$1,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,927.71520%3 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-58.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3158…d469backed Navy72c7,561$5,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,117.151861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d1c…f13cbacked Navy73c6,849$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,849.321546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa2b0…e7e9backed Cincinnati21c6,315$1,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,326.85425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-61.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Cincinnati8c6,052$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.49124.2%22 W · 69 L-5.6wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-48.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf3ae…7b92backed Cincinnati28c6,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,68010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8f2…22a3backed Navy78c5,540$4,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef2b…5b9cbacked Cincinnati9c5,335$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick14cpaid+155.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Cincinnati29c5,172$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5003855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf0e…1f6cbacked Cincinnati19c5,090$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Cincinnati25c5,067$1,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,255.642548%12 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf410…ca73backed Cincinnati27c5,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.992650%13 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Navy71c4,746$3,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,378.692,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd95c…f1d7backed Navy75c4,587$3,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,167.08475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+44.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Navy73c4,500$3,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,201.715751%80 W · 77 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ff9…a08fbacked Cincinnati20c4,344$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.73250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94d9…870ebacked Navy73c4,110$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,109.59757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Navy79c4,063$3,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.1540541.2%167 W · 238 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef45…1905backed Navy73c4,000$2,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,080366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x842e…d9f5backed Cincinnati28c3,878$1,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,093.23250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x910d…cfc0backed Navy72c3,869$2,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,087.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdddc…ced2backed Cincinnati27c3,539$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.521926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-34.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00ff…f7adbacked Cincinnati29c3,452$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.62055%11 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4762…ba70backed Navy73c3,425$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.652458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Cincinnati0c3,250$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16490%0 W · 49 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc60…997cbacked Cincinnati15c3,225$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67e3…e5b3backed Cincinnati7c3,108$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.995127.5%14 W · 37 L0.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x128a…f49ebacked Navy78c2,827$2,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.891650%8 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Navy72c2,778$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.785038%19 W · 31 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cc1…fdc6backed Cincinnati26c2,500$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6501741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70db…05c8backed Cincinnati29c2,460$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.51250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Cincinnati27c2,400$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65825629.3%75 W · 181 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0b8…87c1backed Navy76c2,212$1,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.28887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.16per pick72cpaid+21.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Cincinnati26c2,049$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.622259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Navy71c2,027$1,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.7226147.9%125 W · 136 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Cincinnati1c2,022$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.332370.8%2 W · 235 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-98.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ed4…4547backed Cincinnati28c2,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5607254.2%39 W · 33 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Navy76c1,908$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.894042.5%17 W · 23 L-6.7wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-30.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe103…59fdbacked Navy70c1,900$1,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Navy72c1,865$1,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.5365945.2%298 W · 361 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb3…d38ebacked Navy71c1,863$1,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.811883.3%15 W · 3 L+4.4wins+0.25per pick59cpaid+57.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Cincinnati19c1,844$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.7742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed Cincinnati29c1,725$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-49.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c47…8015backed Cincinnati29c1,644$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81f0…cbb1backed Navy72c1,604$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.17250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4bc…963cbacked Cincinnati30c1,577$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.46333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Cincinnati30c1,535$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4546434.4%22 W · 42 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cb…db0dbacked Navy71c1,532$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.28250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Navy71c1,522$1,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.3815252.6%80 W · 72 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x50ec…c1f5backed Navy73c1,500$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4053100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Cincinnati27c1,500$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40513417.2%23 W · 111 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Navy72c1,500$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4204551.1%23 W · 22 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Navy71c1,500$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.942564%16 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x19ff…d0d0backed Cincinnati17c1,451$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Navy72c1,394$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.3950358.1%292 W · 211 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80c7…e50ebacked Cincinnati29c1,384$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.36250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Cincinnati9c1,374$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.8654243.2%234 W · 308 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Navy73c1,370$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.86988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick67cpaid+36.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x40ff…7a53backed Cincinnati13c1,365$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick14cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fe6…2f03backed Cincinnati29c1,359$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3941457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Navy72c1,326$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.391752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71e7…3e92backed Navy71c1,253$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.372100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Cincinnati29c1,229$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.522552%13 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f11…837cbacked Navy69c1,198$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.742100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3214…63d6backed Cincinnati26c1,176$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013920.5%8 W · 31 L-6.4wins-0.16per pick37cpaid-59.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x20ae…f107backed Cincinnati21c1,143$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Cincinnati28c1,137$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.313138.7%12 W · 19 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf967…8cd4backed Cincinnati27c1,100$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+89.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4385…dbc4backed Cincinnati9c1,100$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-47.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.