College Football · resolved market
O/U 54.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x694a45dcdfaf5d0cb40dd2b853c2b68580acc64da86d14e1127ff60bf4b6f25e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,562
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,431
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,562 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Over | 53c | 40,000$21,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,141.41 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 18,282$8,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,689.4 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e2…ab89backed Over | 51c | 5,900$3,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,009 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf17b…d0a7backed Over | 51c | 5,900$3,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,009 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85c…54b5backed Under | 49c | 5,900$2,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,009 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac81…3fd2backed Under | 49c | 5,900$2,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,009 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 5,817$2,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,051.25 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Under | 46c | 5,064$2,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,734.56 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Under | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…a00abacked Over | 53c | 3,205$1,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,698.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 46c | 1,777$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.38 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Under | 47c | 1,596$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.74 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 47c | 1,198$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.88 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 54c | 1,186$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.44 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Under | 55c | 965.5$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.51 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 47c | 950$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.5 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 46c | 745.79$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.28 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Under | 48c | 704.99$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.6 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…6dddbacked Under | 50c | 560$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Over | 54c | 557$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.78 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Under | 58c | 350$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Under | 43c | 299.54$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.17 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 47c | 273.02$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.7 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 47c | 250$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 47c | 240$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb781…9ba9backed Under | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 57c | 228$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.96 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 47c | 120$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 46c | 112.5$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.75 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 46c | 103.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.74 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Under | 46c | 101.24$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.34 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 47c | 90$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 47c | 90$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 47c | 90$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 43c | 74.81$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 47c | 72$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 47c | 72$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x754d…893bbacked Under | 43c | 62.02$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.35 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 47c | 54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 47c | 54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 47c | 54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 47c | 54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Over | 62c | 45.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.29per pick | 48cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 47c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Under | 47c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 47c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 47c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 47c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 47c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 47c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 47c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Under | 47c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 47c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 47c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Under | 47c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 47c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 47c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ad…5a42backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Over | 62c | 32.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Over | 42c | 29.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bb…d0d6backed Over | 52c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Under | 47c | 25.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -5.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Under | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…3bc3backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- O/U 54.5this page
- Navy vs. CincinnatiNavy won
- Navy vs. Cincinnati: 1H MoneylineNavy won
- Navy vs. Cincinnati: O/U 55.5Under won
- Navy vs. Cincinnati: O/U 56.5Under won
- Navy vs. Cincinnati: O/U 57.5Under won
- Navy vs. Cincinnati: O/U 58.5Under won
- Spread: Navy (-7.5)Navy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.