TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd95c…f1d7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
54
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst Lol at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST1872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+56.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ostrava Open: Rebecca Sramkova vs Linda Fruhvirtovabacked Fruhvirtova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$613Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+134.7%+$825.92
Transylvania Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Anastasia Zakharovabacked Zakharova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$872Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$871.94
Ostrava Open: Alycia Parks vs Elina Avanesyanbacked Parks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14,792Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+29.2%+$4,317.63
Open Sud de France: Valentin Royer vs Arthur Filsbacked Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$600
Ostrava Open: Caty McNally vs Tereza Martincovabacked McNally · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,950Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+26.6%+$1,050
Ostrava Open: Tatjana Maria vs Katie Volynetsbacked Volynets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$8,280Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+61.7%+$5,112.48
Transylvania Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Rebeka Masarovabacked Masarova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,144Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+100%+$4,144.17
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Hailey Baptiste vs Emma Navarrobacked Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13,395Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$13,395.33
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: McCartney Kessler vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Kessler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$8,793Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+28.4%+$2,494.25
Transylvania Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Lucia Bronzettibacked Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12,540Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+29.4%+$3,684.61
Transylvania Open: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Anna Bondarbacked Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10,519Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10,519.44
Open Sud de France: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Christopher O'Connellbacked Agut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+42.9%+$1,500
Open Sud de France, Qualification: Andrea Vavassori vs Hugo Grenierbacked Vavassori · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$5,100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+29.5%+$1,503.6
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$6,463Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$6,463.09
Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+809.1%+$544.77
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Djokovic (+2.5)backed Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+150%+$1,800
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12,608Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+41%+$5,170.57
Hong Kong Tennis Open, Qualification: Alejandro Tabilo vs Luca Van Asschebacked Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,098Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+33.3%+$366.02
All 18 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST1172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+27.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana Hoosiers vs. USC Trojansbacked USC Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$18,404Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+25.1%+$4,613.59
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs. North Carolina Central Eaglesbacked North Carolina Central Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12,192Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+25.5%+$3,107.99
Kansas Jayhawks vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$21,084Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$21,084.23
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25,068Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$25,068.43
Harvard Crimson vs. Yale Bulldogsbacked Harvard Crimson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$864Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+104.2%+$901.05
BYU Cougars vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14,556Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+72.4%+$10,537.09
Texas Longhorns vs. Oklahoma Soonersbacked Oklahoma Sooners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14,519Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$14,519.03
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. UCF Knightsbacked UCF Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$4,796Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+203%+$9,737.49
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. UC Irvine Anteatersbacked UC Irvine Anteaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,394Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+66.7%+$1,596.03
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-13.5)backed Washington Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,650Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+81.8%+$1,350
San Francisco Dons vs. Santa Clara Broncosbacked Santa Clara Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$4,106Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+25.1%+$1,030.36
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pelicans vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17,642Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+42.9%+$7,561.01
Hawks vs. Pacersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,550Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,550.44
Pistons vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$5,301Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+39.8%+$2,112.21
Spurs vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$959Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$959.27
Lakers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,899Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+88.6%+$2,567.68
Celtics vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,984Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$2,984.38
Rockets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+38.9%+$311.11
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,081Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+36.2%+$390.97
All 8 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+24.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Falcons (-3.5)backed Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+100%+$499.98
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,425Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+190.8%+$4,626.27
Spread: Bears (-3.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$472Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+69.7%+$328.87
Lions vs. Bearsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$999Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+112.8%+$1,126.48
Cowboys vs. Giantsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$668Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$668.47
Saints vs. Falconsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$838Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$838
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$3,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$3,649.99
All 7 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+44.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wake Forest vs. Mississippi Statebacked Wake Forest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,108Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+49%+$1,521.77
Arizona vs. SMU Mustangsbacked Arizona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$950Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$950
Navy vs. Cincinnatibacked Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,420Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+34.1%+$1,167.08
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,499Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+194.1%+$4,851.5
All 4 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+100%+$281.35
Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)backed Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$9,530Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$9,530.12
Red Wings vs. Avalanchebacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$7,621Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+25.1%+$1,912.85
Bruins vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$945Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$944.63
All 4 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,645Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+51.2%+$1,355
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,495Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$2,495.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.