TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Hailey Baptiste vs Emma Navarro

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Baptisteof Baptiste, Navarro
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$191,014
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$191,053

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $191,014 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3b5c…126ebacked Baptiste37c23,933$8,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,108.0780938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd95c…f1d7backed Navarro75c17,889$13,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,395.331872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+56.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Navarro43c17,131$7,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,385.118,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Baptiste43c15,320$6,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,721.9911,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Navarro67c8,674$5,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,793.8548851.6%252 W · 236 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Navarro70c8,086$5,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,672.1565558.9%386 W · 269 L-32.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Baptiste36c7,349$2,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,685.121,19348.9%583 W · 610 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Baptiste28c6,937$1,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,011.382,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9e6…2f0fbacked Navarro64c6,646$4,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,238.794148.8%20 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Baptiste30c4,668$1,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,280.422,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6125…1b5fbacked Navarro68c4,293$2,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,923.03757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0283…e7d3backed Navarro75c2,968$2,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,223.2620257.4%116 W · 86 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe2e9…1c08backed Navarro69c2,923$2,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,016.6314250.7%72 W · 70 L-14.6wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-21%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Navarro53c2,871$1,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,509.544754.4%243 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b5b…6e14backed Navarro0c2,839$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.41526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-42.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf33d…2a72backed Navarro55c2,536$1,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,402.21973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Baptiste35c2,477$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,598.832,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Navarro47c2,411$1,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,132.7622641.6%94 W · 132 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3ac…5018backed Baptiste36c2,219$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,425.820844.2%92 W · 116 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b31…2064backed Navarro77c1,921$1,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,479.04250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-35.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Baptiste26c1,695$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,257.5224448.8%119 W · 125 L+17.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked Baptiste28c1,619$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,165.732634.6%9 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid+20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc3…9d67backed Navarro69c1,449$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00039431%122 W · 272 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b03…71babacked Navarro71c1,415$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.5628552.3%149 W · 136 L-0.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a23…f4ffbacked Baptiste34c1,291$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.072142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Baptiste31c1,171$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.199949.5%49 W · 50 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Navarro43c1,152$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50044163.7%281 W · 160 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Navarro24c1,116$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.254,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Navarro61c1,098$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.383,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Baptiste36c1,067$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.987,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57c3…3201backed Navarro62c1,058$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.7718957.7%109 W · 80 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc583…e29dbacked Baptiste35c940.77$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.51546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+59.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Baptiste36c896.94$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.277533.3%25 W · 50 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-32.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c2e…9e01backed Navarro73c827.95$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.28040%32 W · 48 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Navarro73c810.62$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.2563247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93c8…adffbacked Navarro62c779.93$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.5626847%126 W · 142 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Navarro18c764.72$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.6528726.8%77 W · 210 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Navarro54c740.74$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40019846%91 W · 107 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc44…e036backed Navarro75c723.02$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.9911560%69 W · 46 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x83e1…cf79backed Baptiste39c719.92$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.92728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Baptiste31c708$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.838931.4%122 W · 267 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0e3…dd00backed Baptiste44c706.8$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.8110547.6%50 W · 55 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Navarro72c701.14$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.711,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ae3…3c15backed Navarro54c648.15$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35068350.1%342 W · 341 L-25.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Baptiste39c604.05$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.982,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1df4…0540backed Navarro75c558.13$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.86043.3%26 W · 34 L-9.5wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-31.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x241a…a9c8backed Navarro62c539.99$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.797248.6%35 W · 37 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Navarro60c500$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.1546553.8%250 W · 215 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Baptiste31c485$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.651,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Navarro66c447.81$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.2536968%251 W · 118 L-1.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Navarro55c433.44$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23838739.3%152 W · 235 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed Navarro43c419.99$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.627644.7%34 W · 42 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Navarro69c408$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.4797046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x741a…4dbebacked Navarro74c403.33$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-46.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Navarro74c393.65$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.1775748.6%368 W · 389 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Navarro69c387$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.621,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Navarro43c374.42$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.791,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Navarro55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed Navarro56c331.33$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.9210551.4%54 W · 51 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cde…6040backed Navarro76c328.95$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25016665.7%109 W · 57 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e18…8187backed Navarro74c326.73$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.781136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x34f9…12ebbacked Baptiste36c317.11$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.9518430.4%56 W · 128 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Navarro68c294.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20051243%220 W · 292 L+14.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69f2…49b3backed Navarro70c288$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.66250%31 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95ba…51ebbacked Navarro72c279.21$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.011872.2%13 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Navarro64c274.83$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.1838348%184 W · 199 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x903b…2475backed Navarro70c274.2$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.94650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Baptiste30c250$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1754,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Navarro66c250$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1651,48932.6%486 W · 1,003 L+22.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Navarro66c245$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.5569249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d3d…7a79backed Navarro70c241.43$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1696762.7%42 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bc5…908abacked Navarro70c240$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16858753.7%315 W · 272 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Baptiste63c231.99$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.091,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd552…5ebebacked Navarro44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036038.9%140 W · 220 L-0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Navarro48c222.71$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.91,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82c0…02fdbacked Navarro18c222.22$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4014613.7%20 W · 126 L-10.0wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Navarro70c221.87$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.319833.7%33 W · 65 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Baptiste48c220.93$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.546,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Baptiste34c214.01$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.8452037.7%196 W · 324 L-30.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Baptiste26c200$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14925542%107 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xafb8…505cbacked Navarro65c197.11$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.452050%10 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Baptiste43c192.84$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.981,15844.4%514 W · 644 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc226…497dbacked Navarro47c185.11$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872030%6 W · 14 L-3.7wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-40.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Navarro54c184.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10073350.9%373 W · 360 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0097…f101backed Baptiste29c178$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.9321843.1%94 W · 124 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Baptiste31c177$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.1320043.5%87 W · 113 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Navarro60c172.77$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.9749143%211 W · 280 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe12…93aebacked Baptiste39c171.77$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.534341.9%18 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Navarro46c169$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.8149632.3%160 W · 336 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Navarro64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019452.1%101 W · 93 L-13.6wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-11.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Baptiste38c146.86$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.256,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe47c…c1bdbacked Navarro70c142.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.011442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.20per pick63cpaid-33%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Baptiste33c136.03$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.0319129.8%57 W · 134 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd785…0d7ebacked Navarro75c133.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10042558.8%250 W · 175 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x83b0…6d5bbacked Baptiste77c131.34$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.76742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x07fe…0a16backed Navarro63c130$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.327058.1%157 W · 113 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52f2…5a5dbacked Baptiste34c119.2$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.158757.5%50 W · 37 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x850a…e5dbbacked Navarro70c114.29$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808767.8%59 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9da2…ed3abacked Navarro70c107.14$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7510668.9%73 W · 33 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3080…f041backed Navarro57c101.26$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.723756.8%21 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.