TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb9e6…2f0f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
93
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NFL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 56 out of 100; worst Tweets at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST4148.8%20 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Hailey Baptiste vs Emma Navarrobacked Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$4,239Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$4,238.79
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+39.8%+$3,982.25
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$6,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$6,000
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open, Qualification: Sonay Kartal vs Yulia Starodubtsevabacked Starodubtseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+104.3%+$11,471.32
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$4,008Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+25%+$1,003
Australian Open Women's: Elina Svitolina vs Mirra Andreevabacked Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$4,941Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+170%+$8,397.42
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Bublik vs Alex de Minaurbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$2,575Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$2,575.11
Australian Open Men's: Daniil Medvedev vs Learner Tienbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$6,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$6,000
Australian Open Women's: Elena Rybakina vs Tereza Valentovabacked Valentova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$1,500
Australian Open Women's: Anna Kalinskaya vs Iga Swiatekbacked Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$2,260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$2,260
Australian Open Men's: Stan Wawrinka vs Taylor Fritzbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+35%+$1,399.41
Australian Open Women's: Zeynep Sonmez vs Yulia Putintsevabacked Sonmez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Australian Open Women's: Nikola Bartunkova vs Belinda Bencicbacked Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,978Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$1,978.05
Australian Open Women's: Naomi Osaka vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$6,320Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+43.5%+$2,750.26
Australian Open Men's: Emilio Nava vs Cameron Norriebacked Nava · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,027Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$1,027.22
Australian Open Women's: Anastasia Potapova vs Emma Raducanubacked Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$4,109Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+199.9%+$8,213.78
Australian Open Women's: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Emma Raducanubacked Sawangkaew · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,916Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,915.52
Australian Open Men's: Benjamin Bonzi vs Cameron Norriebacked Bonzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,600
Australian Open Women's: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Zeynep Sonmezbacked Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$4,171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$4,170.8
Adelaide International: Mirra Andreeva vs Victoria Mbokobacked Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$4,381Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$4,381
ASB Classic: Sebastian Baez vs Jakub Mensikbacked Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Adelaide International: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Ugo Humbertbacked Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$5,005Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$5,005.2
ASB Classic: Ben Shelton vs Sebastian Baezbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$5,004Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$5,003.52
ASB Classic: Luciano Darderi vs Marcos Gironbacked Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$2,000
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST1546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+152.7%+$4,580.58
Suns vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$2,000
Rockets vs. Pacersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$7,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+45.8%+$3,207.17
Magic vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$4,600Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+75.3%+$3,464.81
Bulls vs. Heatbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Spurs vs. Hornetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$5,418Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$5,417.59
Spurs vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$2,000
Trail Blazers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+37%+$739.73
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+69.9%+$2,794.47
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,037Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$2,036.54
Pacers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,416Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+27.8%+$393.98
Suns vs. Pistonsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$4,000
Lakers vs. Pelicansbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+47.1%+$1,411.76
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,100
Jazz vs. Clippersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 15 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick27cpaid+22.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
California Baptist Lancers vs. Utah Valley Wolverinesbacked California Baptist Lancers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$913Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+159.9%+$1,460.47
UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Fresno State Bulldogsbacked Fresno State Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+465.6%+$9,311.04
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Buffalo Bullsbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$6,848Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+45.9%+$3,145.48
San Francisco Dons vs. Santa Clara Broncosbacked Santa Clara Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,244Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+34.6%+$430.9
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Marshall Thundering Herdbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$200
DePaul Blue Demons vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked DePaul Blue Demons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Boston College Eagles vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked Boston College Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick38cpaid-73.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tweets — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST6100%6 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+43%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+55.8%+$2,788.01
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+34.2%+$684.53
Broncos vs. Commandersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,248Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+28.1%+$913.93
Texans vs. Coltsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$8,159Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+38.7%+$3,154.89
49ers vs. Brownsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+31.6%+$315.79
Cardinals vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+69.5%+$347.46
All 6 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick66cpaid+30.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+100.4%+$4,014.7
Sabres vs. Maple Leafsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+37.9%+$379.29
Avalanche vs. Maple Leafsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+63.9%+$1,918.03
Capitals vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,847Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+42.2%+$1,201.93
Maple Leafs vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$3,500
Blue Jackets vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+37%+$1,849.32
All 6 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick75cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick74cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bangladesh T20 Series: Bangladesh vs Ireland (Game 2)backed Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,312Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+56.3%+$738
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$9,835Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$9,835.11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.