Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Fresno State Bulldogs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0471eb1bfbb542b9277115033eedc6bfe4b754140606d615c099f88e14cc66c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fresno State Bulldogsof UNLV Runnin' Rebels, Fresno State Bulldogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $267,794
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $296,737
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $267,794 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 70c | 54,913$38,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,461.95 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec1…057cbacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 53c | 28,419$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,419.41 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 50c | 12,942$6,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,503.44 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e6…2f0fbacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 18c | 11,311$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,311.04 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 27cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 1c | 10,445$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,315.91 | 343 | 43.4%149 W · 194 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 2c | 8,764$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,625.82 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 14c | 8,411$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,192.08 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 62c | 7,700$4,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,763.31 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 0c | 7,641$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,629.23 | 241 | 21.2%51 W · 190 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +299%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 12c | 7,480$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,571.06 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 54c | 5,702$3,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,623.51 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 12c | 4,978$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,374.55 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 24c | 4,843$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,682.55 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 65c | 4,287$2,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,768.76 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 30c | 2,630$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,849.88 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 8c | 2,594$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.36 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 61c | 2,303$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 53c | 1,888$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 31c | 1,812$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.06 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0735…4d2cbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 4c | 1,800$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +574.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 43c | 1,639$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.39 | 124 | 35.5%44 W · 80 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 22c | 1,628$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.46 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 49c | 1,364$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.53 | 316 | 46.8%148 W · 168 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…2c24backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 4c | 1,300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 33c | 1,239$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.12 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd607…6ddcbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 2c | 1,200$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 49 | 6.1%3 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52de…e0f6backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 3c | 1,200$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 27c | 1,198$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.2 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…e38abacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 44c | 1,143$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 9c | 1,114$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +1,072.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 63c | 1,110$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.03 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc04a…af81backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf50c…83edbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae5…910abacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 0%0 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b2…e009backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 4c | 1,000$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91b8…51cfbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 6c | 990.65$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.69 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 44c | 924$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.64 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc847…262fbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 7c | 900$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e5…9401backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 54c | 870.59$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.13 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 45c | 853.08$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.3 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 53c | 799.99$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 28c | 785.62$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.03 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 77c | 784.14$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 181 | 67.4%122 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 30c | 714.49$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.12 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 55c | 636.36$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 62c | 558.41$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.21 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 31c | 512$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.8 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d59…e0edbacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 28c | 433.09$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.85 | 143 | 54.5%78 W · 65 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 270 | 45.2%122 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0354…2913backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 6c | 409.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +831%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…6b57backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 60c | 389.48$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.98 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 51c | 329.47$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.03 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 12c | 320.53$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.63 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x154a…86b0backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 38c | 306.74$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 45c | 299.99$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 51c | 299.99$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.49 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 13c | 298.51$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.03 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6760…3ad4backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 16c | 289.44$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.94 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5219…7b72backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b91…ae77backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 27c | 276.44$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.44 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f9…3f4fbacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 10c | 272.32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.03 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +247.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 32c | 259.27$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.31 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c7…943fbacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 36c | 247.53$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 30cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 45c | 245.14$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.14 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 50c | 243$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.5 | 453 | 51.4%233 W · 220 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 27c | 237$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.06 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14b9…b6a9backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 43c | 232.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.23 | 56 | 19.6%11 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 44c | 230.71$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.47 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 27c | 209.82$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.86 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 46c | 209.22$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.24 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 41c | 205.38$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.76 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…191bbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…849ebacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 78c | 200$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 74cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc876…5b66backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…c897backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 74c | 188.47$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.04 | 233 | 31.3%73 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 51c | 187.45$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.6 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce9…9c2dbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 49c | 185.33$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 54c | 180$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 67c | 155.1$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.41 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf312…eee8backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 66c | 149.97$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.97 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd84a…126abacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 27c | 149.27$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d1…a379backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 68c | 145.94$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa96b…7d92backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 14c | 138.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.6 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3422…cd99backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 49c | 132.58$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.26 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab8…b5a6backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 73c | 126.6$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.42 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 29c | 122.22$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.27 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 48c | 121$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.92 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 23c | 119.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.83 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 53c | 113.94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c44…e531backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 29c | 108.84$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 17c | 107.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.28 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…e4ccbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 55cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24de…53e7backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e14…8d33backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Fresno State Bulldogsthis page
- Spread: Fresno State Bulldogs (-1.5)Fresno State Bulldogs won
- UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Fresno State Bulldogs: O/U 150.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.