TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x958a…c897

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
639
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Champions League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 55 out of 100; worst UFC at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT23331.3%73 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 233 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Auburn Tigersbacked Nevada Wolf Pack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.7
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. New Mexico Lobosbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.81
VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.78
High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.78
Dayton Flyers vs. UNCW Seahawksbacked UNCW Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.56
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.89
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.9
Furman Paladins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Furman Paladins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.96
California Baptist Lancers vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked California Baptist Lancers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.91
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Tennessee Volunteersbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.48
Wright State Raiders vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Wright State Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.97
Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Hofstra Pride · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.89
SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+257.5%+$767.15
South Alabama Jaguars vs. Auburn Tigersbacked South Alabama Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.81
South Carolina State Bulldogs vs. Howard Bisonbacked South Carolina State Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.96
Seton Hall Pirates vs. St. John's Red Stormbacked Seton Hall Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.85
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Santa Clara Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.89
NJIT Highlanders vs. Vermont Catamountsbacked NJIT Highlanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.92
Michigan State Spartans vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.44
Charlotte 49ers vs. South Florida Bullsbacked Charlotte 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.93
East Carolina Pirates vs. UAB Blazersbacked East Carolina Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.92
Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knightsbacked Penn State Nittany Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.87
Fresno State Bulldogs vs. Grand Canyon Antelopesbacked Fresno State Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$19.93
North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$24.94
Utah Utes vs. Baylor Bearsbacked Utah Utes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$55.76
Showing 25 of 233 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT17723.7%42 W · 135 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 177 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$27.62
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+56.4%+$27.64
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$15
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$152
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.86
Grizzlies vs. Nuggetsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.61
Pelicans vs. Knicksbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Bucks vs. Clippersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Celtics vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Warriors vs. Knicksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$216
Trail Blazers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+300%+$189
Jazz vs. Trail Blazersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Grizzlies vs. Pistonsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Celtics vs. Thunderbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Mavericks vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Celtics vs. Spursbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Showing 25 of 177 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT14047.9%67 W · 73 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 140 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.59
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.38
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Kraken vs. Avalanchebacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Sharks vs. Jetsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+135.9%+$39.5
Sharks vs. Blackhawksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Stars vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Kings vs. Canucksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Ducks vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$163.16
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Wild vs. Lightningbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Kraken vs. Panthersbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Kings vs. Utahbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
Lightning vs. Flamesbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Hurricanes vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Bruins vs. Devilsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Utah vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
Ducks vs. Canadiensbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
Sharks vs. Senatorsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Penguins vs. Utahbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$26.44
Blue Jackets vs. Flyersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+83.8%+$100.59
Showing 25 of 140 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT5028%14 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Berlin International Gaming vs Frites Esports Club (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Fbacked Frites Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: The Otter Side vs S2G Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Fbacked The Otter Side · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 (BO5) - Americas Cup Playoffsbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
LoL: Misa Esports vs S2G Esports (BO5) - TCL Playoffsbacked S2G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$46
LoL: Cloud9 vs RED Canids (BO5) - Americas Cup Playoffsbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+143.9%+$143.9
LoL: RED Canids vs Sentinels (BO3) - Americas Cup Playoffsbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$353Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$353
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
LoL: T1 Academy vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+188.1%+$106.5
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$86
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$25
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+284.6%+$42.69
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.51
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$36.2
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+112.8%+$59.77
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$113
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$100
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Ground Zero Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$100
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+170.3%+$34.05
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs DRX Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$41.31
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$50
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Oh My God (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-45.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Sean Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$183.17
UFC Fight Night: Mario Bautista vs. Vinicius Oliveira (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Bautista · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+81.8%+$67.91
UFC Fight Night: Michal Oleksiejczuk vs. Marc-Andre Barriault (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Barriault · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$50
UFC Fight Night: Farid Basharat vs. Jean Matsumoto (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Matsumoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$21
UFC Fight Night: Alex Morono vs. Daniil Donchenko (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Morono · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$26
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
UFC 325: Dan Hooker vs. Benoit Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Hooker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
UFC 325: Tuivasa vs. Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Tuivasa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
UFC 325: Brundage vs. Rowston (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Brundage · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$258.79
UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Yadong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
UFC 324: Figueiredo vs. Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Figueiredo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dallas Open: Marin Cilic vs Learner Tienbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Argentina Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Laslo Djerebacked Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+72.4%+$14.48
Argentina Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Adelaide International: Ugo Humbert vs Tomas Machacbacked Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+300%+$60
ASB Classic: Eliot Spizzirri vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Spizzirri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Hobart International: Tatjana Maria vs Anna Bondarbacked Maria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Hobart International: Emma Raducanu vs Camila Osoriobacked Osorio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Adelaide International: Victoria Mboko vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$434Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+79%+$342.84
ASB Classic: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Adelaide International: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Aleksandar Vukicbacked Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Adelaide International: Andrea Vavassori vs Gabriel Diallobacked Vavassori · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+90.3%+$180.66
All 11 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-63%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,270Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$1,270
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$668Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$668.34
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+85.2%+$85.19
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$1,400
All 5 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick22cpaid+244.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+669.2%+$669.23
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+163.2%+$163.16
Will Qairat FK win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+85.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+270.4%+$54.07
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Aldosivi vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wellington Phoenix FC win on 2026-01-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Voca vs Wildcard (BO5) - PGL Bucharest: North American Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.