Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Duke Blue Devils
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c822c423e8e58e358d7ee61a3a6254a3d9e2387d0cdc8872874a477c5170d08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Duke Blue Devilsof North Carolina Tar Heels, Duke Blue Devils
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $161,987
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,987 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 6c | 23,644$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348.54 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…4a65backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 6c | 10,384$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.06 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 25cpaid | -89.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 7c | 8,574$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.35 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa588…dad8backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 6c | 6,553$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.18 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d19…84ddbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 6c | 4,990$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b00…03a9backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 7c | 4,438$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.34 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 8c | 4,075$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.55 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 7c | 4,074$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.84 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 6c | 3,997$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.2 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 7c | 2,635$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.95 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e6…d075backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 7c | 2,025$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.68 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe1…8677backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 6c | 1,826$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 4c | 1,510$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.39 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 5c | 1,410$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.81 | 136 | 3.7%5 W · 131 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 7c | 1,380$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.63 | 58 | 20.7%12 W · 46 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 5c | 1,342$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.27 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8932…eb14backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 7c | 1,197$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.81 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d89…36f5backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 6c | 1,146$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.77 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 6c | 1,115$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.9 | 258 | 29.5%76 W · 182 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 8c | 1,060$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.78 | 140 | 27.1%38 W · 102 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52fc…6c84backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 6c | 1,048$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.88 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27bf…fa14backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 5c | 1,035$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.55 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 7cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 6c | 1,009$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.59 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 7c | 959.75$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.27 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4691…ee6ebacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 6c | 635.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 7c | 625$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.56 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 7c | 614.6$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.02 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee28…8266backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 5c | 606.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 164 | 36%59 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 6c | 543.18$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 5c | 499.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 61 | 9.8%6 W · 55 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bea…c4b2backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 6c | 499.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x497a…650fbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 10c | 498.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x492d…2f04backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 6c | 457.51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f69…23cbbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 7c | 444$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e3…e5b3backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 6c | 399.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 6c | 399.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 5c | 380.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…c897backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 7c | 356.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 233 | 31.3%73 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 5c | 350.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35f9…e09dbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 6c | 349.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbba…4b8ebacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 6c | 332.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5e…f95cbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 6c | 332.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 6c | 285.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 6c | 257.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6212…4eb3backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 8c | 249.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe516…14ffbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 7c | 213.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 6c | 192.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 8c | 191.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 309 | 45.6%141 W · 168 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb32c…fe05backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 6c | 178.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 7c | 177.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc37f…333bbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 9c | 153.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 9c | 132.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Duke Blue Devilsthis page
- North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 146.5Under won
- North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 147.5Under won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-17.5)North Carolina Tar Heels won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-18.5)North Carolina Tar Heels won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.