TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb32c…fe05

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
33
Categories scored
2
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NBA, grading 48 out of 100 (-0.02 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category NBA at 48 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT2420.8%5 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Pacers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Wizards vs. Pelicansbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Knicks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Warriors vs. Thunderbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10.22
Jazz vs. Bucksbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10.08
Nets vs. Pistonsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+809.1%+$83.66
Mavericks vs. Celticsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.27
Bulls vs. Sunsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+400%+$40
Nets vs. Heatbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.22
Mavericks vs. Magicbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Hawks vs. Bucksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+88.7%+$11.75
Jazz vs. 76ersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15.2
Thunder vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$14.8
Suns vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15.2
Spurs vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolvesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15.34
Mavericks vs. Hornetsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15.13
Thunder vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15.2
Wizards vs. Magicbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15.51
Nets vs. Heatbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15.3
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14.62
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+127.3%+$19.04
All 24 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT90%0 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Maryland Terrapinsbacked Maryland Terrapins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.41
Utah Valley Wolverines vs. Utah Tech Trailblazersbacked Utah Tech Trailblazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.06
North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.73
Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Virginia Tech Hokies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.18
Stetson Hatters vs. Austin Peay Governorsbacked Stetson Hatters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.02
Bucknell Bison vs. Navy Midshipmenbacked Bucknell Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.53
Georgetown Hoyas vs. St. John's Red Stormbacked Georgetown Hoyas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15.95
Dayton Flyers vs. Richmond Spidersbacked Richmond Spiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14.74
UMBC Retrievers vs. NJIT Highlandersbacked NJIT Highlanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14.93
All 9 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.