NBA · resolved market

Wizards vs. Magic

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd2713f03fedb14b6f44bd2237b655cf1dda883c676fdcc57728a5633fe72ee8

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Magicof Wizards, Magic
Resolved: Mar 4, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,853,610
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,577,913

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,853,610 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 236 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Wizards	10c	295,469$29,547 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29,546.91	435	42.8%186 W · 249 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4eef…3fcbbacked Wizards	10c	124,999$12,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,499.86	119	55.5%66 W · 53 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Wizards	11c	122,007$13,421 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,420.77	199	54.8%109 W · 90 L	+12.2wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Wizards	9c	87,488$8,208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,208.16	400	35.5%142 W · 258 L	+5.8wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Wizards	12c	69,565$8,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,000	168	48.2%81 W · 87 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Wizards	10c	61,704$6,051 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,050.92	274	24.5%67 W · 207 L	-10.0wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Wizards	10c	60,000$6,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,000	126	39.7%50 W · 76 L	-6.4wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Wizards	0c	48,824$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.96	266	37.2%99 W · 167 L	-10.5wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Wizards	10c	38,631$3,913 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,913.13	470	28.1%132 W · 338 L	+27.2wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Wizards	0c	25,958$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.32	721	1%7 W · 714 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Wizards	10c	25,000$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Wizards	1c	23,032$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.73	645	17.1%110 W · 535 L	-11.9wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe29e…fa35backed Wizards	0c	20,200$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	341	36.1%123 W · 218 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ff3…1aa9backed Wizards	11c	20,000$2,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,200	196	45.9%90 W · 106 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7432…c16abacked Wizards	6c	19,563$1,171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,170.67	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.10per pick	10cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Wizards	10c	18,000$1,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,799.99	214	46.7%100 W · 114 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Wizards	9c	12,387$1,115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,114.85	596	53.4%318 W · 278 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Wizards	8c	10,791$863 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$863.28	308	45.8%141 W · 167 L	-12.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards	11c	10,100$1,111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,111	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Wizards	10c	10,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	773	48.5%375 W · 398 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Wizards	10c	10,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	1,269	44.5%565 W · 704 L	+32.4wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Wizards	10c	10,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.99	470	43.8%206 W · 264 L	-22.2wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b0d…90c0backed Wizards	10c	9,732$973 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$973.2	88	34.1%30 W · 58 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Wizards	10c	9,606$961 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$960.63	649	44.7%290 W · 359 L	-9.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Wizards	10c	9,401$940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$940.11	320	39.4%126 W · 194 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcd97…776cbacked Wizards	11c	9,144$1,006 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,005.81	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	+34.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Wizards	4c	9,032$329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$328.86	1,190	32%381 W · 809 L	-58.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Wizards	10c	8,000$770 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$770	1,390	26%361 W · 1,029 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Wizards	10c	7,253$742 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$741.87	613	36.1%221 W · 392 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Wizards	0c	6,840$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.65	882	0%0 W · 882 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Wizards	10c	6,666$667 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$666.6	418	32.8%137 W · 281 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Wizards	5c	5,000$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	1,602	11.8%189 W · 1,413 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Wizards	10c	5,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	866	41.5%359 W · 507 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3280…ea74backed Wizards	10c	5,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	95	31.6%30 W · 65 L	-11.6wins	-0.12per pick	44cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Wizards	12c	4,830$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560.47	282	41.1%116 W · 166 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Wizards	9c	4,548$409 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$409.3	871	44.7%389 W · 482 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31a6…0dcfbacked Wizards	12c	3,889$457 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$457.04	170	28.8%49 W · 121 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Wizards	8c	3,792$319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$319.46	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Wizards	0c	3,593$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.19	317	9.5%30 W · 287 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-59.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Wizards	11c	3,433$378 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$377.63	216	49.1%106 W · 110 L	+18.8wins	+0.09per pick	40cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Wizards	6c	3,196$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.85	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Wizards	10c	3,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	659	39.5%260 W · 399 L	-13.1wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Wizards	10c	3,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	434	38.5%167 W · 267 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Wizards	10c	2,991$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.25	469	40.3%189 W · 280 L	-7.0wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2209…9175backed Wizards	9c	2,539$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.65	128	18.8%24 W · 104 L	-6.6wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa18…9869backed Wizards	10c	2,500$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Wizards	10c	2,500$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	96	28.1%27 W · 69 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc32f…31a0backed Wizards	10c	2,130$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.12per pick	13cpaid	+92.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Wizards	10c	2,000$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	807	37.7%304 W · 503 L	-33.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Wizards	9c	1,939$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.9	308	40.9%126 W · 182 L	-5.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Wizards	12c	1,822$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.65	542	46.7%253 W · 289 L	-7.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Wizards	3c	1,598$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.95	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbd10…32e8backed Wizards	9c	1,586$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.16	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-1.6wins	-0.14per pick	23cpaid	-78.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Wizards	9c	1,556$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	174	36.2%63 W · 111 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b1b…afcfbacked Wizards	6c	1,545$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.7	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6aac…ecd6backed Wizards	9c	1,506$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136	158	38.6%61 W · 97 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d3b…63b7backed Wizards	10c	1,500$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	64	56.3%36 W · 28 L	+3.9wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked Wizards	11c	1,500$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.16	295	47.5%140 W · 155 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22e6…409fbacked Wizards	10c	1,500$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	194	41.2%80 W · 114 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wizards	11c	1,459$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.5	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2445…b993backed Wizards	9c	1,225$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.66	151	17.9%27 W · 124 L	-9.6wins	-0.06per pick	24cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0531…3770backed Wizards	11c	1,200$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.7wins	-0.11per pick	45cpaid	-56.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbda…6e2cbacked Wizards	11c	1,182$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	128	55.5%71 W · 57 L	+11.1wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+31.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Wizards	10c	1,153$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.47	194	34.5%67 W · 127 L	-10.2wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-20%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Wizards	11c	1,127$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.6	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7693…ba75backed Wizards	10c	1,028$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.79	21	9.5%2 W · 19 L	-1.6wins	-0.08per pick	17cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Wizards	10c	1,000$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97	853	44%375 W · 478 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Wizards	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	491	42.6%209 W · 282 L	+12.1wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f10…c927backed Wizards	11c	1,000$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a10…8b30backed Wizards	11c	999.98$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	502	39%196 W · 306 L	-8.9wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6643…0109backed Wizards	10c	997.54$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.75	280	42.5%119 W · 161 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda51…ef7fbacked Wizards	9c	976.44$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.88	45	31.1%14 W · 31 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e3d…bf10backed Wizards	11c	963.64$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106	89	43.8%39 W · 50 L	+4.1wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf352…9708backed Wizards	11c	909.09$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	57	61.4%35 W · 22 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb088…2257backed Wizards	11c	909.09$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	29	58.6%17 W · 12 L	+3.5wins	+0.12per pick	46cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc8bd…1454backed Wizards	11c	909.09$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-3.3wins	-0.22per pick	28cpaid	-87.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Wizards	10c	889.92$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.04	269	34.9%94 W · 175 L	-9.1wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3e7…a536backed Wizards	11c	880.91$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	59	33.9%20 W · 39 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed Wizards	12c	870.8$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.5	374	48.7%182 W · 192 L	+11.8wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4a4…3117backed Wizards	12c	845.88$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	286	16.4%47 W · 239 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7a…be5dbacked Wizards	11c	830$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.85	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+1.4wins	+0.13per pick	42cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Wizards	12c	826.83$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	90	18.9%17 W · 73 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae35…5dd3backed Wizards	5c	800$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	138	37%51 W · 87 L	-8.2wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8867…518cbacked Wizards	10c	792$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.2	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b39…c1aabacked Wizards	11c	710$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.1	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+1.9wins	+0.11per pick	48cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbed5…b661backed Wizards	12c	697$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.64	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Wizards	9c	680.79$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	685	42.6%292 W · 393 L	-6.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed Wizards	9c	653.14$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.16	336	32.4%109 W · 227 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x958a…c897backed Wizards	6c	641.9$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	177	23.7%42 W · 135 L	-7.1wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60bb…97a1backed Wizards	11c	604$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.44	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf531…b062backed Wizards	12c	600$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69	548	38%208 W · 340 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked Wizards	11c	560$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.6	225	44.4%100 W · 125 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2090…7584backed Wizards	11c	550$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.5	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03d9…e693backed Wizards	2c	550$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.65	169	0%0 W · 169 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6848…b7ecbacked Wizards	11c	527.27$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+1.8wins	+0.22per pick	28cpaid	+47.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe25…df0abacked Wizards	10c	522.5$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.25	71	28.2%20 W · 51 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac01…2d77backed Wizards	10c	500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	100	30%30 W · 70 L	+7.7wins	+0.08per pick	22cpaid	+41.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2bab…af65backed Wizards	4c	500$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	25	24%6 W · 19 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	17cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ae5…53c8backed Wizards	11c	500$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	171	41.5%71 W · 100 L	-6.1wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xccf3…8f27backed Wizards	11c	500$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	407	26%106 W · 301 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Wizards vs. Magicthis page
Anthony Black: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Anthony Black: Points O/U 15.5No won
Anthony Black: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 11.5No won
Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Desmond Bane: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 14.5No won
Spread: Magic (-15.5)Magic won
Spread: Magic (-16.5)Magic won
Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 11.5No won
Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
Wizards vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineMagic won
Wizards vs. Magic: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 226.5Over won
Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 227.5Over won
Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 228.5Over won
Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 229.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Wizards vs. Magic

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event