NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 227.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f7aa6f68bb12666b3f27e21b7aa35431307437cf0ca240fb248f0daead1ae07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $176,693
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $177,335
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $176,693 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over | 52c | 91,110$47,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,732.76 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Under | 48c | 21,000$10,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,080 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Under | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,600 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 52c | 17,832$9,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,559.54 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Under | 48c | 15,025$7,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,212 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 10,188$4,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,965.07 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Over | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Under | 48c | 9,792$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Under | 48c | 9,560$4,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,589 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Over | 52c | 8,436$4,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,049.07 | 226 | 48.2%109 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Under | 48c | 8,333$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 48c | 7,262$3,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,485.88 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 49c | 6,968$3,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,428.99 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Under | 48c | 6,495$3,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,117.65 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Over | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Over | 51c | 4,665$2,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,287.31 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Under | 48c | 4,521$2,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,169.93 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Over | 51c | 3,825$1,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,874.49 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 49c | 3,416$1,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,673.84 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Under | 48c | 3,304$1,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,585.92 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Under | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 49c | 2,900$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,421 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 49c | 2,761$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.31 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bee…a369backed Under | 48c | 2,623$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.83 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 49c | 2,171$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.91 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Over | 51c | 1,919$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.55 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 1,777$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.03 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Over | 50c | 1,695$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.14 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 50c | 1,300$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 48c | 1,195$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.81 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed Under | 50c | 1,163$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.44 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec0…153bbacked Over | 49c | 1,052$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Under | 48c | 1,050$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Over | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 240 | 50.8%122 W · 118 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Over | 50c | 900$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 221 | 43%95 W · 126 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4275…c94cbacked Under | 51c | 845$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e7d…ff62backed Under | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1f…f6a8backed Over | 49c | 796$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9778…3ca7backed Over | 49c | 782$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 51cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9413…8cdfbacked Under | 51c | 770$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c49…90b3backed Over | 49c | 763.47$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 48c | 597.69$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.67 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 592.82$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.96 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 63c | 539.9$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.94 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Under | 50c | 430$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 49c | 400$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2271…8170backed Over | 51c | 392.15$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.15 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x669e…8559backed Under | 51c | 386$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37a5…46e8backed Under | 51c | 377$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Over | 51c | 366.41$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.54 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Under | 51c | 346.01$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.47 | 405 | 46.9%190 W · 215 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…df3cbacked Under | 51c | 304.26$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.57 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 49c | 283.6$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.94 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 241.13$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.74 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 51c | 235.31$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.01 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Over | 29c | 234.61$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.57 | 194 | 34.5%67 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Under | 48c | 228.3$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.3 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e36…69f5backed Under | 51c | 215$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…0272backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 182 | 33%60 W · 122 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df4…4eacbacked Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 151 | 54.3%82 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x819e…5b92backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 173.07$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.12 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Under | 72c | 130.96$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.8 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 50c | 118.81$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.41 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Under | 48c | 116.4$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.87 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52fe…effdbacked Under | 49c | 107.67$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.76 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3af5…caebbacked Over | 51c | 106.37$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.12 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Over | 52c | 102$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.47 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 49c | 101.02$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x565b…fa9bbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e9…6d8ebacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 154 | 46.1%71 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…872abacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 48c | 93.95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.47 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Over | 67c | 90.71$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.07 | 127 | 47.2%60 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 53c | 90.64$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Under | 25c | 84.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 106 | 37.7%40 W · 66 L | +9.3wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 54c | 83.85$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.81 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6912…2aabbacked Under | 52c | 80.77$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Under | 49c | 68.69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 49c | 68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…683dbacked Under | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 28c | 61.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.37 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a3…bce8backed Over | 52c | 61$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.28 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 596 | 50.3%300 W · 296 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 45c | 58.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4bf…c71ebacked Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Over | 40c | 57.3$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.23 | 106 | 23.6%25 W · 81 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 48c | 57.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Under | 51c | 55.82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Under | 32c | 51.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 156 | 62.8%98 W · 58 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 227.5this page
- Anthony Black: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Anthony Black: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Anthony Black: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Spread: Magic (-15.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-16.5)Magic won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Wizards vs. MagicMagic won
- Wizards vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Wizards vs. Magic: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 226.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 228.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 229.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.