NBA · resolved market
Spread: Magic (-16.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7cb170e8684613057ee4782e28b24ec555827037c409cbb84f5c779f6a4d9cca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Magic, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,236
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,157
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,236 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Magic | 48c | 50,589$24,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,306.13 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Wizards | 52c | 42,000$21,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,840 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Magic | 49c | 23,000$11,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,739.59 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Wizards | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,200 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wizards | 51c | 6,932$3,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,569.83 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x669c…7c68backed Wizards | 52c | 5,049$2,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,625.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Magic | 47c | 4,500$2,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,384.98 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Wizards | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3290…1135backed Magic | 50c | 3,744$1,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,878.63 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Wizards | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.99 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Wizards | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.97 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Magic | 50c | 1,894$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.72 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Wizards | 44c | 1,838$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.87 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Magic | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Magic | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 211 | 39.8%84 W · 127 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Magic | 6c | 961.61$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.91 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Wizards | 52c | 942.56$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.13 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Wizards | 52c | 919.75$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.18 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Magic | 50c | 898.9$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.96 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Wizards | 51c | 852$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.52 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Magic | 60c | 850$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Wizards | 49c | 841.65$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.42 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Wizards | 51c | 667.16$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.25 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Wizards | 50c | 568.33$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.18 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Magic | 48c | 550$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.75 | 194 | 34.5%67 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Magic | 49c | 504$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.04 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9385…2484backed Magic | 48c | 480.08$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.64 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Magic | 48c | 438.53$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.57 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Magic | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Magic | 20c | 381.76$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.22 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Wizards | 45c | 362.5$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.05 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Wizards | 52c | 299.99$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd506…4f0ebacked Wizards | 59c | 298.53$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.49 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…b07abacked Magic | 48c | 293.52$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.63 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Wizards | 51c | 257.35$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.25 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd85…04cdbacked Wizards | 54c | 245.91$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.79 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Magic | 42c | 216.46$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.39 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Magic | 49c | 196.57$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.25 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Magic | 45c | 175.64$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.44 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Wizards | 52c | 136.67$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.07 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe975…9d22backed Magic | 47c | 126.87$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.87 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2886…9bb2backed Wizards | 35c | 119.72$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.9 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Wizards | 41c | 118.68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Magic | 48c | 116.4$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.53 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf498…3d66backed Magic | 52c | 114.32$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.32 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x666f…9860backed Magic | 49c | 107$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.57 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Wizards | 36c | 104.96$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.21 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…87eabacked Magic | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 478 | 52.9%253 W · 225 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…4bbfbacked Wizards | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 405 | 41%166 W · 239 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Wizards | 52c | 99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.48 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7af9…b408backed Wizards | 52c | 95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8f…8bbabacked Wizards | 14c | 92.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…815bbacked Magic | 47c | 92.05$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.05 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…00b3backed Magic | 49c | 91.66$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.75 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68d8…4cc6backed Magic | 48c | 89.97$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.97 | 144 | 55.6%80 W · 64 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…691bbacked Magic | 47c | 87.58$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.58 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Wizards | 55c | 87.11$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.91 | 280 | 56.8%159 W · 121 L | +22.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Magic | 49c | 84$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…df3cbacked Wizards | 53c | 82.9$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…5667backed Magic | 47c | 80.02$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.02 | 152 | 53.3%81 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86d9…b214backed Wizards | 53c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wizards | 52c | 79.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…65babacked Magic | 47c | 77$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.49 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Magic | 49c | 76.72$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.13 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…c578backed Magic | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd11a…09eebacked Magic | 53c | 65.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.47 | 106 | 56.6%60 W · 46 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3319…ba79backed Magic | 49c | 64.2$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.74 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Wizards | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba69…b2debacked Magic | 49c | 57.69$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.42 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc6…31d3backed Magic | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…f9e3backed Magic | 49c | 50.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Magic | 49c | 50.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8901…e16bbacked Magic | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…451cbacked Magic | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Magic | 49c | 49.53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 217 | 53%115 W · 102 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Magic | 49c | 49.53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Magic | 47c | 49.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985e…6894backed Magic | 49c | 48.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.82 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Wizards | 54c | 48.48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Magic | 47c | 48.34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.62 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a4…65c3backed Magic | 49c | 47.96$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Wizards | 42c | 45.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe44e…c6b8backed Magic | 55c | 43.22$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.66 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc5…4bb7backed Magic | 48c | 41.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Magic | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…9b64backed Wizards | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Wizards | 53c | 37.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Wizards | 57c | 34.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7911…85a6backed Magic | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…4b8cbacked Magic | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Magic | 49c | 29.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 251 | 44.2%111 W · 140 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Magic | 48c | 28.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x864e…9619backed Magic | 49c | 26.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a67…0b8abacked Magic | 49c | 26.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 239 | 50.6%121 W · 118 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13b3…e83abacked Magic | 49c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Wizards | 51c | 25.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Magic | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fae…d503backed Magic | 49c | 24.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf29…6870backed Magic | 49c | 24.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed95…889cbacked Magic | 46c | 23.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 197 | 50.3%99 W · 98 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Magic (-16.5)this page
- Anthony Black: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Anthony Black: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Anthony Black: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Spread: Magic (-15.5)Magic won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Wizards vs. MagicMagic won
- Wizards vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Wizards vs. Magic: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 226.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 227.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 228.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 229.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.