NBA · resolved market
Spread: Magic (-15.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x030f5c359555c923594d55661aece03722faf4d118cccfa62b137ec0a1613df6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Magic, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $492,012
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $501,295
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $492,012 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 302 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Magic | 52c | 184,207$95,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88,419.16 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Wizards | 48c | 100,000$48,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,000 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Wizards | 48c | 100,000$48,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,000 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Wizards | 48c | 70,000$33,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,599.96 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Wizards | 48c | 52,028$24,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,868.22 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Magic | 52c | 38,705$20,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,578.71 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Magic | 52c | 36,170$18,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,361.42 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Wizards | 48c | 27,119$13,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,017.31 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Magic | 52c | 18,888$9,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,066.21 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Wizards | 48c | 14,644$7,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,029.13 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Magic | 52c | 13,389$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,388.96 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Wizards | 48c | 10,417$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Magic | 52c | 9,000$4,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,320 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wizards | 47c | 7,521$3,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,567.18 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Magic | 52c | 7,515$3,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,607.08 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Magic | 52c | 7,251$3,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,480.48 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Magic | 53c | 7,000$3,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,290 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Magic | 52c | 7,000$3,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,369.98 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Wizards | 47c | 6,662$3,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,131.17 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Magic | 53c | 6,604$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,103.77 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Magic | 52c | 6,490$3,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,115.3 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Wizards | 48c | 6,437$3,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,072.46 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Magic | 52c | 5,859$3,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,812.43 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Magic | 52c | 5,859$3,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,812.43 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfecf…8cc0backed Magic | 52c | 5,769$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,769.23 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa368…d116backed Magic | 52c | 5,653$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,713.42 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wizards | 47c | 5,607$2,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,644.39 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Magic | 51c | 4,303$2,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,114.92 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Wizards | 48c | 4,200$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,016 | 209 | 45.5%95 W · 114 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Magic | 51c | 4,150$2,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,032.84 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…4c8abacked Magic | 52c | 4,046$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,946.15 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -51%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Magic | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Magic | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Magic | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.15 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Magic | 52c | 3,740$1,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,795.29 | 135 | 63%85 W · 50 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Magic | 52c | 3,500$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.98 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Wizards | 48c | 2,668$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.49 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Wizards | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba23…d43dbacked Wizards | 49c | 2,330$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.7 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Magic | 52c | 2,328$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.42 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Magic | 52c | 2,071$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.15 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2d…a88dbacked Wizards | 50c | 1,760$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -7.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Magic | 52c | 1,700$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Magic | 53c | 1,698$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.06 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Wizards | 47c | 1,689$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.71 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Magic | 52c | 1,667$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.16 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Magic | 53c | 1,500$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710 | 331 | 46.2%153 W · 178 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…172fbacked Magic | 52c | 1,496$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.08 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed Wizards | 49c | 1,436$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.97 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb73…4182backed Magic | 50c | 1,366$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe19a…0f77backed Wizards | 50c | 1,320$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa46a…c13abacked Wizards | 50c | 1,278$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…ea04backed Magic | 52c | 1,260$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.62 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcf…2c7cbacked Magic | 50c | 1,250$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf8…dff5backed Wizards | 50c | 1,170$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0891…1847backed Wizards | 50c | 1,164$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde08…cd6dbacked Magic | 50c | 1,134$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6602…dd20backed Wizards | 50c | 1,132$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2420…1328backed Magic | 50c | 1,120$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc56e…0081backed Magic | 50c | 1,102$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13d3…6df9backed Wizards | 50c | 1,096$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc023…5353backed Magic | 50c | 1,085$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7549…15d0backed Wizards | 50c | 1,080$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b5…d691backed Magic | 50c | 1,078$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0722…2a49backed Magic | 50c | 1,072$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6221…9ad9backed Magic | 50c | 1,052$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Wizards | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 184 | 48.9%90 W · 94 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29ab…b49cbacked Wizards | 50c | 1,022$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3280…ea74backed Wizards | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 95 | 31.6%30 W · 65 L | -11.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Wizards | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Magic | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Magic | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9fe…7431backed Wizards | 50c | 996$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…171abacked Wizards | 50c | 990$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.07 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Magic | 53c | 989$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.83 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Magic | 52c | 978.44$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.5 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…5a91backed Magic | 50c | 978$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56e8…156dbacked Wizards | 50c | 972$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4369…38abbacked Wizards | 50c | 972$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cab…5d7ebacked Magic | 50c | 972$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9da7…a88abacked Magic | 50c | 970$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd25f…7810backed Magic | 50c | 944$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9bb…f8f8backed Magic | 50c | 924$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe05…ed77backed Magic | 50c | 912$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe17b…42b8backed Wizards | 50c | 908$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bb…75aebacked Wizards | 50c | 908$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b79…41e6backed Wizards | 50c | 876$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb90d…be7cbacked Wizards | 50c | 876$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a4…70debacked Wizards | 50c | 875$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43a9…9d48backed Magic | 50c | 868$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3721…0356backed Wizards | 50c | 852$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…91bfbacked Wizards | 50c | 850$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x951e…891fbacked Magic | 50c | 832$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b8…1c66backed Wizards | 50c | 828$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…52d2backed Magic | 50c | 816$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1296…be84backed Magic | 50c | 804$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0c…6392backed Wizards | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd6…8ecfbacked Wizards | 50c | 796$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Magic | 52c | 772.59$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.8 | 323 | 46.4%150 W · 173 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8665…6dd9backed Wizards | 50c | 764$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Magic (-15.5)this page
- Anthony Black: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Anthony Black: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Anthony Black: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Spread: Magic (-16.5)Magic won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Wizards vs. MagicMagic won
- Wizards vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Wizards vs. Magic: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 226.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 227.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 228.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 229.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.