TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb0a4…65c3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
211
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst UFC at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT11450%57 W · 57 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 114 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.08
Oilers vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+82.3%+$69.52
Blue Jackets vs. Red Wingsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+99.1%+$21.43
Lightning vs. Senators: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+103.8%+$60.34
Flyers vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.2
Blackhawks vs. Sharksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.3
Lightning vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+103.5%+$109.46
Capitals vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$13.95
Devils vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+117.1%+$19.03
Blackhawks vs. Krakenbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+129.2%+$15.39
Flames vs. Ducksbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+92.6%+$25.53
Blues vs. Ducksbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+118.2%+$61.47
Flyers vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.29
Penguins vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+65.4%+$54.18
Capitals vs. Devilsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Sharks vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$50.83
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.92
Blue Jackets vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.52
Predators vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.04
Hurricanes vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.08
Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)backed Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+150%+$92.25
Golden Knights vs. Predatorsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.95
Jets vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.74
Spread: Flames (-1.5)backed Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$41.29
Showing 25 of 114 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT7256.9%41 W · 31 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.2
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.4
Spread: Raptors (-14.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.45
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.65
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.84
Spread: Hornets (-6.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$20.53
Nets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.22
Nets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.15
Pacers vs. Magic: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.42
Pacers vs. Magic: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.38
Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$64.77
Spread: Rockets (-1.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.1
Pacers vs. Spurs: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.5
Spread: Thunder (-21.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+92.7%+$43.66
Knicks vs. Nets: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+106.8%+$44.5
Trail Blazers vs. Pacers: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.5
Spurs vs. Kings: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
Pacers vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.12
Spread: Pelicans (-8.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$97.21
Spread: Kings (-2.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+84.2%+$74.94
Spread: Knicks (-14.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.92
Spread: Bucks (-8.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$47.09
Spread: Bucks (-6.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$68.27
Spread: Bucks (-7.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$70.94
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick68cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$3.3
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$4.68
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.23
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+46%+$10.24
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.91
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+66%+$13.01
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+54.4%+$8.64
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$21.73
All 9 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+67.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$11.62
Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-5.5)backed Oregon Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+107.8%+$41.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-26.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bucaramanga: Franco Roncadelli vs Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguezbacked Franco Roncadelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+46.5%+$5.39
BNP Paribas Open: Elina Svitolina vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick67cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-03-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Will Torino FC win on 2026-03-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$11.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+55%+$8.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Group B - Finland vs. Swedenbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+29.9%+$3.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Drake Maye win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$33.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
The Ring - High Stakes: Ryan Garcia vs. Mario Barriosbacked Barrios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.98
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.