NBA · resolved market
Spread: Raptors (-14.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8e0f1062153687cb0019be0798c11e7d4260c733548b1fe03b24f325acdae5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Raptors, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,058,947
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,037,200
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,058,947 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Grizzlies | 48c | 447,666$216,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216,371.99 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Raptors | 51c | 430,305$217,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212,625.01 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe934…640bbacked Raptors | 52c | 416,791$216,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200,059.86 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Grizzlies | 49c | 300,068$147,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147,032.08 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Grizzlies | 49c | 98,039$48,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,039.11 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Raptors | 52c | 67,244$34,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,411.42 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Grizzlies | 48c | 64,752$31,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,080.84 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8293…ddf4backed Raptors | 52c | 20,395$10,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,789.7 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 19,000$9,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,430 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Grizzlies | 50c | 10,680$5,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,335.6 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Grizzlies | 50c | 7,466$3,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,732.88 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed Grizzlies | 48c | 7,407$3,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,555.55 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Raptors | 51c | 6,425$3,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,148.28 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Grizzlies | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Grizzlies | 48c | 5,444$2,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,598.69 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 5,100$2,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499 | 146 | 40.4%59 W · 87 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Grizzlies | 13c | 4,218$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.34 | 188 | 35.1%66 W · 122 L | +24.5wins | +0.13per pick | 22cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Raptors | 52c | 3,557$1,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.02 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Raptors | 52c | 3,556$1,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,718.17 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 3,059$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472.94 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Grizzlies | 50c | 2,846$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,423.15 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Raptors | 52c | 2,284$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.4 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7067…e41ebacked Grizzlies | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 1,940$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Grizzlies | 49c | 1,838$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.62 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Raptors | 51c | 1,799$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.82 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Grizzlies | 49c | 1,611$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.2 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Raptors | 52c | 1,510$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.9 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e70…f06fbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 1,400$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Raptors | 49c | 1,325$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.8 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Raptors | 52c | 1,234$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.65 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Grizzlies | 51c | 1,200$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Grizzlies | 40c | 1,194$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.05 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9541…3b71backed Grizzlies | 49c | 1,163$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.01 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x750c…d430backed Grizzlies | 50c | 1,075$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.97 | 112 | 58.9%66 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Grizzlies | 51c | 1,055$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.25 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed Raptors | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Raptors | 49c | 969.4$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.39 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Grizzlies | 49c | 859.38$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.5 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a6…cfefbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 858.61$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.72 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Raptors | 70c | 844.17$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.05 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…9992backed Raptors | 48c | 793.96$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.86 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Raptors | 52c | 749.32$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.92 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Raptors | 52c | 641.07$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.71 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf498…3d66backed Grizzlies | 50c | 623.58$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.39 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe975…9d22backed Grizzlies | 49c | 618.32$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.47 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e80…9cebbacked Raptors | 49c | 612.95$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.6 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Grizzlies | 51c | 605.59$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.87 | 176 | 51.7%91 W · 85 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Raptors | 50c | 572.11$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.05 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Raptors | 50c | 572.11$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.05 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Raptors | 44c | 559.23$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.3 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdda0…edaabacked Grizzlies | 46c | 521.15$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.51 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Raptors | 52c | 466.92$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.12 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Grizzlies | 48c | 462$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.76 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Grizzlies | 43c | 449.21$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.16 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a0…f673backed Grizzlies | 49c | 433.32$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.33 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Grizzlies | 18c | 406$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.69 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 401.5$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.52 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Raptors | 51c | 399.98$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.99 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…44c1backed Raptors | 49c | 399.85$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.92 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Grizzlies | 49c | 393.3$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.72 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Grizzlies | 51c | 381.78$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.33 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Raptors | 51c | 380.77$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.65 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d6…4af7backed Raptors | 52c | 378.29$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.93 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +11.8wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6265…0d9fbacked Raptors | 53c | 366.72$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.36 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Grizzlies | 18c | 350$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.5 | 404 | 40.1%162 W · 242 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Grizzlies | 49c | 343.17$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.15 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 342.41$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.21 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…691bbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 329.12$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.92 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…815bbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 318.58$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.1 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…5667backed Grizzlies | 49c | 317.35$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.12 | 152 | 53.3%81 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Grizzlies | 16c | 316$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…6b39backed Grizzlies | 13c | 310$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Grizzlies | 32c | 302.05$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.04 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d8…c0f2backed Grizzlies | 50c | 300.7$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.35 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked Grizzlies | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Grizzlies | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed Grizzlies | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb98d…c479backed Grizzlies | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…edfdbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 294.58$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.25 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00a7…22a7backed Grizzlies | 50c | 285.18$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.59 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Grizzlies | 49c | 277.46$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.07 | 488 | 52%254 W · 234 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 274.34$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.43 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Grizzlies | 20c | 260.14$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Grizzlies | 51c | 249.73$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.57 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Grizzlies | 18c | 248$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 330 | 30.9%102 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x796d…9551backed Grizzlies | 18c | 248$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ea…1b1abacked Grizzlies | 39c | 247.75$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.33 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Raptors | 52c | 242.8$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.54 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Raptors | 52c | 233.75$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.2 | 400 | 53.5%214 W · 186 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda85…bd68backed Grizzlies | 50c | 215.01$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.56 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Grizzlies | 51c | 212.54$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.8 | 217 | 53%115 W · 102 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85a7…d9f3backed Raptors | 52c | 211.77$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.04 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…ec56backed Grizzlies | 45c | 201.37$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.09 | 252 | 45.2%114 W · 138 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Grizzlies | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0071…9e4dbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Grizzlies | 47c | 196.3$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.19 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Grizzlies | 52c | 194.24$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Raptors | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 414 | 49.3%204 W · 210 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Raptors (-14.5)this page
- Raptors vs. GrizzliesRaptors won
- Raptors vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Grizzlies: O/U 232.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5Under won
- Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 8.5No won
- Spread: Raptors (-11.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-12.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-13.5)Raptors won
- Taylor Hendricks: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.