TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Raptors vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,219
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,092

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,219 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Over32c4,797$1,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,512.131,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over50c2,969$1,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.3737355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Under46c2,228$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,203.0212850%64 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under54c1,918$1,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.163,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under78c1,723$1,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.9365872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe169…4653backed Over54c1,511$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.7712450.8%63 W · 61 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over30c1,025$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.252,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under49c914.19$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.932,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over47c743.58$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.2671654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Under47c721$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.1318748.1%90 W · 97 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over54c687.94$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.051,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over11c675.87$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.351,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Over49c609.34$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.4526638.7%103 W · 163 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under56c573.5$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.821,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Over53c530.96$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.4125641.4%106 W · 150 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Over20c482.07$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.2826337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce3e…ec47backed Under65c466.91$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.42633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-49.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over44c441.36$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.631,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Under46c432.52$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.5616845.2%76 W · 92 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over45c428.24$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.3190650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Over45c420.83$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.5329849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under47c409.55$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.0671449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Under47c379.53$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.1510943.1%47 W · 62 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under58c369.75$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.395452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c339.94$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.279,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa0f…574cbacked Over54c274.23$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.795463%34 W · 20 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over8c266.33$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.312,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Over8c261.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9620353.7%109 W · 94 L+21.5wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+32%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under52c258.25$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.963,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked Under47c253.67$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.4413352.6%70 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb996…038cbacked Under47c251.73$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.4213148.9%64 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Over16c240.29$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4220837.5%78 W · 130 L+38.2wins+0.18per pick19cpaid+115.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under48c238.57$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.151,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacdf…2b45backed Under57c235.28$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.743545.7%16 W · 19 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over48c231.26$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.12,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over22c229.8$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.172,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over54c225.02$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.5193543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked Under58c224.75$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.4811346%52 W · 61 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked Over44c214.54$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.424949%122 W · 127 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over45c213.33$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7151647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xadb9…ef55backed Over55c206.73$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.285250%26 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb74f…030abacked Under46c196.42$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.075540%22 W · 33 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Over56c194.72$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.0444345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Under46c193.52$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.528852.1%150 W · 138 L+1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under49c193.13$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.581349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabdf…9fe6backed Under77c180.75$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.211435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2195…d708backed Under70c172.92$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.992962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Under47c171.66$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.9816450%82 W · 82 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b6c…9a83backed Under47c163.81$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.824641.3%19 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Under56c161.09$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.8835052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Over54c160.1$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.4521350.7%108 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Under47c153.94$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.5954443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d24…9c89backed Under47c153.94$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.5918744.4%83 W · 104 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x74e3…242cbacked Over14c153.94$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.151816.7%3 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked Under46c153.85$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.0822351.6%115 W · 108 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Under71c149.28$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.3537753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over54c146.04$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.894,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed Under47c144.2$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.4320247.5%96 W · 106 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under46c132.36$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.4736749.6%182 W · 185 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Under47c129.74$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.7615650.6%79 W · 77 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x549d…35b9backed Over54c126.05$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.0711354.9%62 W · 51 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1cc…1958backed Over54c124.57$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.872458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Over25c121.06$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8752053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under48c118.22$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.4780653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over12c117.79$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.251,11341.6%463 W · 650 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Over17c117.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7629449.7%146 W · 148 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d29…c9eebacked Over39c115.55$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.043554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under46c107.73$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.3877549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked Under47c104.57$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.4216245.1%73 W · 89 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x009b…e769backed Under47c103.6$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.9112357.7%71 W · 52 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6d5…f2c6backed Under64c101.67$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.451747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-13.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over45c99.9$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0534953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Over54c90.04$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6238152.8%201 W · 180 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa900…5acebacked Under52c85$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.811538.3%44 W · 71 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6bb…6b39backed Under52c85$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.88040%32 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb98d…c479backed Under52c85$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.87441.9%31 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under46c79.35$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.852,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x015d…7bc7backed Over55c71.39$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.956553.8%35 W · 30 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x849b…a5fdbacked Under69c71.22$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.082740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed Under46c67.73$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5820249%99 W · 103 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under61c67.44$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.371,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over54c63.78$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.442,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc798…a8e9backed Under47c60.44$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.0424841.9%104 W · 144 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf89…8ac3backed Over45c58.02$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.111850%9 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa60d…03a8backed Under47c56.19$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.057042.9%30 W · 40 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under50c55.36$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6889048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under46c54.32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.331,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Under52c54$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9280440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Over55c53.6$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.481,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc49d…91a8backed Over22c52.23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3614157.4%81 W · 60 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x13fe…54e5backed Under47c51.5$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+26.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Under47c51.02$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8540750.6%206 W · 201 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Under52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2433030.9%102 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Under68c47.46$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1917553.7%94 W · 81 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Under48c47.43$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6655444.4%246 W · 308 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa15f…ad19backed Over55c44.23$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.339854.1%53 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x675c…4341backed Over56c43.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.344348.8%21 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd421…8531backed Over45c42.95$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.364459.1%26 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Under44c42.49$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7929344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Under52c42$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1640440.1%162 W · 242 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.