NBA · resolved market
Spread: Raptors (-13.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf974c4224699c132a2e25544747cd339d2ef0bf6ebbe6bd8dda82229b57a4bb5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Raptors, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $537,046
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $529,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $537,046 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 217 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Raptors | 55c | 329,872$180,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149,253.2 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae1…9fadbacked Grizzlies | 45c | 194,087$87,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87,339.01 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Grizzlies | 45c | 93,317$41,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,992.5 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Raptors | 54c | 28,994$15,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,337.25 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Grizzlies | 46c | 25,144$11,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,566.32 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Raptors | 54c | 21,922$11,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,086.82 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Grizzlies | 45c | 21,291$9,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,581.13 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Grizzlies | 46c | 21,289$9,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,793.03 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Grizzlies | 30c | 12,503$3,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,762.31 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Raptors | 55c | 10,530$5,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,745.48 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed Grizzlies | 46c | 10,257$4,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,718.02 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Grizzlies | 46c | 10,015$4,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,615.95 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Raptors | 55c | 8,559$4,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,851.77 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Raptors | 53c | 7,901$4,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,726.5 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Grizzlies | 1c | 6,945$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.63 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Grizzlies | 46c | 6,000$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,760 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Grizzlies | 46c | 5,223$2,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,402.94 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Grizzlies | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.98 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Grizzlies | 46c | 4,845$2,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,228.6 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Raptors | 52c | 4,669$2,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,241.23 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Raptors | 55c | 4,485$2,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,018.27 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Grizzlies | 46c | 4,113$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.82 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x144e…eca0backed Raptors | 48c | 4,010$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,085.19 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Grizzlies | 51c | 4,009$2,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,044.57 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Grizzlies | 53c | 3,396$1,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,807.38 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Grizzlies | 52c | 2,786$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.61 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Raptors | 55c | 2,435$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.84 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Raptors | 49c | 2,194$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.93 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Grizzlies | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Grizzlies | 46c | 1,911$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.95 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Grizzlies | 46c | 1,905$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.31 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Grizzlies | 46c | 1,891$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.83 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Grizzlies | 46c | 1,820$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.97 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Grizzlies | 46c | 1,626$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.74 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Raptors | 55c | 1,474$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.72 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Grizzlies | 46c | 1,420$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.81 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Raptors | 48c | 1,219$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.59 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Grizzlies | 51c | 1,211$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.66 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Grizzlies | 46c | 1,140$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.32 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Raptors | 55c | 946.49$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.3 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Grizzlies | 42c | 895.55$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.42 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62b6…5de0backed Raptors | 55c | 717.1$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.7 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Grizzlies | 47c | 644.82$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.07 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Grizzlies | 46c | 631.04$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.28 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Grizzlies | 46c | 627.01$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.42 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Grizzlies | 49c | 593.51$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.82 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Raptors | 55c | 562.82$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.15 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Raptors | 51c | 539.33$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.01 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Grizzlies | 44c | 507.74$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.19 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Raptors | 56c | 486.91$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.96 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Raptors | 57c | 439.36$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.97 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Grizzlies | 47c | 421.98$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.33 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed Raptors | 55c | 402.31$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.94 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Raptors | 55c | 400.88$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.39 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Grizzlies | 49c | 396.73$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.86 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Raptors | 55c | 389.2$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.14 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Raptors | 49c | 387.76$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.76 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Grizzlies | 46c | 384.81$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.5 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b15…2a05backed Grizzlies | 48c | 371.55$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.26 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd7…eac9backed Raptors | 53c | 364.43$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.28 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Grizzlies | 46c | 358.73$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.02 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Raptors | 55c | 350.28$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.63 | 176 | 51.7%91 W · 85 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Grizzlies | 55c | 337.13$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.19 | 369 | 49.6%183 W · 186 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…2ccdbacked Grizzlies | 46c | 326.08$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 108 | 54.6%59 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Grizzlies | 48c | 323.41$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.39 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Raptors | 53c | 316.3$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.12 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Raptors | 54c | 316.3$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.57 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Grizzlies | 47c | 310.99$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.12 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Raptors | 52c | 282.04$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.38 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Raptors | 53c | 281.61$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.13 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Grizzlies | 40c | 278.25$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.61 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Grizzlies | 10c | 266.34$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d6…4af7backed Raptors | 55c | 266.28$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.92 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +11.8wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Grizzlies | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Grizzlies | 45c | 237.19$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.17 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…87eabacked Raptors | 55c | 228.96$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.45 | 478 | 52.9%253 W · 225 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bca…0d11backed Raptors | 55c | 227.49$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.37 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Grizzlies | 46c | 227.07$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.45 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Raptors | 55c | 220.73$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.24 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce06…c99dbacked Raptors | 53c | 217.08$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.49 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe226…95a5backed Grizzlies | 46c | 210.35$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.76 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 207.73$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.45 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a53…074abacked Raptors | 55c | 207.6$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.42 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Raptors | 55c | 204.22$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.9 | 160 | 53.8%86 W · 74 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 202.51$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.2 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb00f…e0e9backed Grizzlies | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Raptors | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…a39dbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 196.67$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.4 | 114 | 53.5%61 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Raptors | 55c | 195.48$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.54 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0daa…c9dabacked Raptors | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Raptors | 51c | 181.1$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.74 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x701f…9b8fbacked Grizzlies | 55c | 177.25$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.48 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…8961backed Raptors | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.61 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Raptors | 55c | 176.89$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.6 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Grizzlies | 46c | 173.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Raptors | 55c | 168.24$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.62 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a1…10dcbacked Grizzlies | 46c | 157.76$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.57 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +10.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 157.32$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.57 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Raptors | 52c | 153.72$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.32 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Grizzlies | 25c | 151.66$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Raptors (-13.5)this page
- Raptors vs. GrizzliesRaptors won
- Raptors vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Grizzlies: O/U 232.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5Under won
- Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 8.5No won
- Spread: Raptors (-11.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-12.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-14.5)Raptors won
- Taylor Hendricks: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.