NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba878c568383585199b126780d21f478bf41f31840ea3d52040488fab6e25604
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,282
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,959
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,282 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 50c | 9,428$4,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,714 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 6,099$2,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,147.16 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…3ff3backed Under | 49c | 2,133$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.72 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 51c | 1,765$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.14 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 49c | 949.39$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.19 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 9c | 863.88$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.56 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Under | 50c | 679$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.5 | 423 | 48.5%205 W · 218 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over | 6c | 589.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 50c | 491.3$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.9 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 18c | 436.66$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.6 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Over | 50c | 311.93$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.97 | 272 | 41.9%114 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 50c | 310$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Over | 14c | 295.86$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 208 | 37.5%78 W · 130 L | +38.2wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 50c | 294.27$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.08 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 73c | 191.54$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.29 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Under | 48c | 172.59$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.57 | 293 | 44.4%130 W · 163 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 13c | 159.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 35c | 149.04$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.72 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Over | 18c | 135.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 100 | 28%28 W · 72 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Under | 50c | 116.4$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.2 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 49c | 116.11$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.22 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Under | 51c | 100.62$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.3 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Over | 51c | 99.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.47 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa15f…ad19backed Under | 49c | 89.03$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.4 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Under | 49c | 88.96$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.37 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8761…c1ebbacked Under | 75c | 87.25$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.64 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…9805backed Under | 49c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Over | 49c | 75.74$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.11 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 41c | 71.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x483a…4fd0backed Under | 49c | 69.24$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.31 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 49c | 63.79$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 49c | 62.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.64 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Over | 24c | 53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 455 | 44.8%204 W · 251 L | +21.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Under | 49c | 50.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Under | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 384 | 53.4%205 W · 179 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 50c | 47.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Under | 57c | 47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 57c | 46.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 38c | 46.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Under | 51c | 44.11$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…ed47backed Under | 70c | 43.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Under | 75c | 42.35$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 163 | 69.9%114 W · 49 L | +18.6wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccd…1ec9backed Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Under | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 219 | 52.5%115 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ff…2f95backed Over | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86da…401cbacked Under | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Over | 40c | 36.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…2eaabacked Under | 50c | 34.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…0af4backed Over | 52c | 31.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e55…f5a3backed Under | 78c | 30.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under | 57c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dfa…0fdebacked Under | 51c | 21.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…6c9bbacked Under | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Raptors vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5this page
- Raptors vs. GrizzliesRaptors won
- Raptors vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Grizzlies: O/U 232.5Under won
- Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 8.5No won
- Spread: Raptors (-11.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-12.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-13.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-14.5)Raptors won
- Taylor Hendricks: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.