NBA · resolved market
Spread: Kings (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9adaeac14da4afccd509a6096fb719a1839dc2d42ab55af41bdd17648976301
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Kings, Jazz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $952,634
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $952,634 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 271 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Kings | 54c | 650,616$351,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299,283.28 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Jazz | 46c | 500,000$230,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230,000 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Jazz | 46c | 61,306$28,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,145.25 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Jazz | 47c | 60,000$28,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,200 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59a0…9a09backed Kings | 54c | 54,770$29,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,194.17 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Jazz | 46c | 47,754$22,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,000.89 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed Jazz | 46c | 42,309$19,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,462.14 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Kings | 53c | 40,108$21,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,850.63 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Jazz | 46c | 38,750$17,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,807.46 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Jazz | 46c | 23,692$10,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,927.46 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Jazz | 46c | 13,391$6,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,166.06 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6211…b89ebacked Kings | 53c | 12,376$6,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,816.89 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Jazz | 46c | 11,036$5,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,076.4 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Jazz | 46c | 8,696$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked Jazz | 46c | 8,481$3,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,901.26 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Kings | 53c | 7,463$3,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,507.81 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Kings | 65c | 7,306$4,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,567.39 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Jazz | 47c | 6,478$3,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,044.66 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Kings | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Jazz | 45c | 6,000$2,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,710 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Kings | 54c | 5,556$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,555.55 | 135 | 63%85 W · 50 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Kings | 54c | 5,500$2,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,527.11 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Kings | 53c | 4,812$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,261.67 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd215…6f82backed Jazz | 48c | 4,583$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Kings | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,839.99 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jazz | 39c | 3,608$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392.12 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Jazz | 46c | 3,464$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593.35 | 203 | 55.2%112 W · 91 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Jazz | 46c | 3,107$1,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,414.46 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Kings | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Kings | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Kings | 54c | 2,897$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,335.18 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4d…ae93backed Kings | 55c | 2,519$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.36 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Jazz | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.96 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed Kings | 54c | 2,314$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.47 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…aedfbacked Jazz | 46c | 2,200$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Kings | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…0c83backed Jazz | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Jazz | 48c | 1,623$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Kings | 56c | 1,553$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.81 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe77b…f10abacked Jazz | 47c | 1,530$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.58 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef99…ef8dbacked Jazz | 51c | 1,428$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.21 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf498…3d66backed Kings | 54c | 1,317$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.7 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Jazz | 47c | 1,303$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.6 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe975…9d22backed Kings | 54c | 1,302$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.49 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Kings | 54c | 1,201$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.56 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Jazz | 46c | 1,174$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.86 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Kings | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.11 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Jazz | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Kings | 54c | 1,068$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.28 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Jazz | 38c | 1,008$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.25 | 487 | 39.8%194 W · 293 L | -21.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9385…2484backed Jazz | 47c | 1,006$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Jazz | 46c | 999.99$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 239 | 38.1%91 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Kings | 54c | 975.91$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.17 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Kings | 53c | 964.15$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.15 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Jazz | 47c | 945.04$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445 | 218 | 43.6%95 W · 123 L | -15.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Kings | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 323 | 47.1%152 W · 171 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e13…d6d0backed Kings | 54c | 925.37$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.67 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed Jazz | 41c | 859.77$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.5 | 136 | 44.1%60 W · 76 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Kings | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.74 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Jazz | 41c | 728.25$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.31 | 285 | 37.9%108 W · 177 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…691bbacked Kings | 54c | 676.09$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.09 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…5667backed Kings | 55c | 665.22$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.22 | 152 | 53.3%81 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…b0b3backed Jazz | 47c | 656.26$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.44 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Kings | 54c | 649$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.54 | 488 | 52%254 W · 234 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973b…a912backed Kings | 54c | 649$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.54 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…f9e3backed Kings | 54c | 648.12$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.66 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…815bbacked Kings | 54c | 643.2$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.2 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Kings | 53c | 608$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.76 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Kings | 53c | 607.17$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.62 | 428 | 45.1%193 W · 235 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ea…066ebacked Kings | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Jazz | 45c | 600$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -12.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe63d…0545backed Kings | 54c | 594.8$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.16 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9021…0c62backed Kings | 54c | 578.67$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.19 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Jazz | 48c | 576.16$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.83 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…00b3backed Kings | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Kings | 55c | 550$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.5 | 624 | 50%312 W · 312 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Jazz | 47c | 535.08$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.49 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Jazz | 49c | 519.16$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.72 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…b0eabacked Kings | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -8.6wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Jazz | 49c | 463.82$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.87 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9087…457bbacked Jazz | 37c | 436.03$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Jazz | 42c | 411$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.62 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fa…222bbacked Kings | 54c | 407.27$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.05 | 182 | 50%91 W · 91 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…069dbacked Jazz | 51c | 400.71$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Jazz | 46c | 400.47$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.46 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d4…ad01backed Jazz | 42c | 400$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Jazz | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9323…ce1ebacked Kings | 52c | 399$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Jazz | 56c | 375$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 182 | 42.9%78 W · 104 L | -10.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe46c…8526backed Kings | 54c | 371.28$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.28 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda6…3f07backed Kings | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4d…7dcdbacked Kings | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f9…cc6dbacked Kings | 78c | 362.81$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.81 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Jazz | 45c | 348.54$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.97 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Jazz | 47c | 335.46$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.68 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Jazz | 47c | 322.9$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.93 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Jazz | 47c | 300.14$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.16 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Kings | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Jazz | 47c | 297.87$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Kings | 61c | 294.78$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.78 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Kings (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Kings (-0.5)Kings won
- Brice Sensabaugh: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Brice Sensabaugh: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- DeMar DeRozan: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- DeMar DeRozan: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jazz vs. KingsKings won
- Jazz vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineKings won
- Jazz vs. Kings: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Kings: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Kings: O/U 230.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Kings: O/U 231.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Kings: O/U 232.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Kings: O/U 233.5Under won
- Maxime Raynaud: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Nique Clifford: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Nique Clifford: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Precious Achiuwa: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Russell Westbrook: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Russell Westbrook: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Russell Westbrook: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Russell Westbrook: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)Kings won
- Spread: Kings (-3.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.