NBA · resolved market
Jazz vs. Kings: 1H O/U 113.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc82b2bf6bb4c12ab399a2b7e3ef2c0aa93918435e26fe47909a406f3f21bbdb3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,044
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,044 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 49c | 3,887$1,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,904.14 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…eed7backed Under | 51c | 3,422$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,686.18 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Under | 51c | 3,409$1,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,670.73 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 49c | 1,984$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.16 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f95…b08bbacked Under | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 50c | 600.96$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.48 | 285 | 37.9%108 W · 177 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b0…687ebacked Under | 50c | 590.87$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.44 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 50c | 395.46$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.13 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0a…7ca8backed Over | 50c | 206.23$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.12 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x851e…d153backed Over | 50c | 191.88$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.94 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…9278backed Over | 50c | 191.64$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.82 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Over | 50c | 118.54$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.27 | 244 | 28.7%70 W · 174 L | -22.4wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 52c | 112.62$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.04 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Over | 50c | 77.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.55 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 51c | 71.65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.79 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeac7…367dbacked Over | 51c | 60.37$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 50c | 59.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Over | 50c | 59.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 248 | 41.9%104 W · 144 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d27…676ebacked Over | 52c | 57.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…9cf1backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf7…a5ffbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e4…4bc7backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1970…e980backed Over | 50c | 26.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 49c | 22.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 50c | 21.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jazz vs. Kings: 1H O/U 113.5this page
- 1H Spread: Kings (-0.5)Kings won
- Brice Sensabaugh: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Brice Sensabaugh: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- DeMar DeRozan: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- DeMar DeRozan: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jazz vs. KingsKings won
- Jazz vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineKings won
- Jazz vs. Kings: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Kings: O/U 230.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Kings: O/U 231.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Kings: O/U 232.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Kings: O/U 233.5Under won
- Maxime Raynaud: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Nique Clifford: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Nique Clifford: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Precious Achiuwa: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Russell Westbrook: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Russell Westbrook: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Russell Westbrook: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Russell Westbrook: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)Kings won
- Spread: Kings (-2.5)Kings won
- Spread: Kings (-3.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.