TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc2e4…4bc7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Premier League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT2445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.15
Spread: Trail Blazers (-11.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.2
Suns vs. Celtics: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.7
Suns vs. Celtics: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.6
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$19.2
Magic vs. Hawks: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$19.2
Magic vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+75%+$15
Magic vs. Hawks: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$18.2
Spread: Hawks (-1.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$13.2
Mavericks vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+48.4%+$5.13
Spread: Pelicans (-8.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$17.3
Suns vs. Celticsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Jazz vs. Kings: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+87.3%+$34.95
Jazz vs. Kings: 1H O/U 113.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Warriors vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Spread: Knicks (-12.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.9
Spread: Pistons (-1.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.99
Pistons vs. Raptors: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$19.2
Spread: Bucks (-6.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+125.6%+$33.4
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
All 24 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.9
Lightning vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Sharks vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$30.58
Islanders vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$77.95
Islanders vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$57.86
Islanders vs. Maple Leafsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
Utah vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.95
Kings vs. Rangersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$19.2
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)backed Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Predators vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$15.2
Panthers vs. Krakenbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.1
Panthers vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Red Wings vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$30.02
Kings vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$24
Ducks vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$15.1
All 15 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick60cpaid+33.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+58.3%+$11.05
Portsmouth FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.7
Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.25
Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.52
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.5
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed West Ham United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$8.25
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+158.6%+$18.4
All 9 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+97.5%+$19.75
SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+105.1%+$20.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+70%+$12.35
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$15.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Andre Fili vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Jose Miguel Delgado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.