NHL · resolved market
Islanders vs. Maple Leafs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8efacc87e8ae6c1bbacb58a32d120ede10e73ad785e45db1430a05b160c6a214
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Islandersof Islanders, Maple Leafs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,009,504
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,009,504 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 531 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5fdd…a747backed Islanders | 59c | 440,401$261,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178,687.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Maple Leafs | 41c | 197,328$80,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80,624.21 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Islanders | 57c | 108,454$61,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,719.93 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Maple Leafs | 41c | 95,106$39,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,192.5 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 50,624$21,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,751.36 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Maple Leafs | 42c | 45,000$18,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,900 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Islanders | 58c | 41,593$24,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,469.01 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Maple Leafs | 41c | 40,000$16,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,400 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 34,790$13,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,916 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Maple Leafs | 39c | 34,156$13,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,274.07 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Maple Leafs | 40c | 31,895$12,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,758 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked Maple Leafs | 41c | 22,743$9,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,321.38 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Islanders | 58c | 21,770$12,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,143.56 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…aaf9backed Islanders | 60c | 20,000$11,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,050 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Maple Leafs | 40c | 18,218$7,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,342.16 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Maple Leafs | 41c | 18,186$7,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,489.93 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Maple Leafs | 41c | 15,070$6,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,178.69 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 14,587$6,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,271.43 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Islanders | 57c | 12,900$7,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,546.99 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Maple Leafs | 42c | 12,500$5,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,250 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Maple Leafs | 42c | 11,000$4,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,640 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Islanders | 57c | 10,537$6,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,496.21 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 9,826$3,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,930.59 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 8,800$3,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,784 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 8,140$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x809c…eca3backed Islanders | 59c | 8,100$4,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,321 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Islanders | 55c | 8,099$4,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,644.48 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe949…33bebacked Maple Leafs | 41c | 6,354$2,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,605.32 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Islanders | 58c | 6,020$3,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,528.37 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Islanders | 59c | 5,510$3,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,283.8 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Islanders | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Maple Leafs | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Islanders | 58c | 4,583$2,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,924.86 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Islanders | 58c | 4,310$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,810.34 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f0…981bbacked Islanders | 58c | 4,242$2,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,781.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 3,826$1,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,630 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 3,750$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed Maple Leafs | 41c | 3,687$1,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,508.9 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Maple Leafs | 41c | 3,659$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Islanders | 57c | 3,612$2,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,553.29 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf353…632cbacked Maple Leafs | 28c | 3,589$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Maple Leafs | 41c | 3,500$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,434.95 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b6…fa47backed Maple Leafs | 41c | 3,360$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.6 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…af18backed Maple Leafs | 8c | 3,333$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.51 | 49 | 12.2%6 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Maple Leafs | 40c | 3,009$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.37 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Islanders | 59c | 2,739$1,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.88 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Islanders | 54c | 2,700$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x039c…b202backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 2,590$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.7 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 2,567$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.73 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 2,415$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.02 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Maple Leafs | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 2,330$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.9 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked Islanders | 55c | 2,222$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.9 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Maple Leafs | 41c | 2,102$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.39 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Islanders | 60c | 2,089$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.16 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Maple Leafs | 42c | 2,014$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.66 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 2,001$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.42 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Islanders | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd3…6e70backed Maple Leafs | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.99 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 1,945$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.95 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8b…15babacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 1,870$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.7 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Islanders | 58c | 1,810$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.2 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce7…e812backed Maple Leafs | 41c | 1,800$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa83b…def4backed Islanders | 59c | 1,800$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478b…982bbacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 1,793$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe99b…b753backed Islanders | 58c | 1,793$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Islanders | 58c | 1,786$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.19 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Islanders | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.92 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…5e2abacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 1,634$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.51 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +58%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Maple Leafs | 41c | 1,500$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Islanders | 56c | 1,500$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.56 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Maple Leafs | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.99 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Islanders | 73c | 1,480$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.98 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Islanders | 58c | 1,466$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.52 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbc…8a18backed Islanders | 59c | 1,326$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.66 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 1,322$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.38 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Islanders | 58c | 1,313$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.63 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b4…7730backed Maple Leafs | 16c | 1,309$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.32 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd940…36e3backed Islanders | 57c | 1,300$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Islanders | 60c | 1,245$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Maple Leafs | 9c | 1,241$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.92 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x231a…a82fbacked Maple Leafs | 40c | 1,200$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Maple Leafs | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd714…9a62backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Maple Leafs | 41c | 1,078$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.97 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Maple Leafs | 25c | 1,052$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.45 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ff…3535backed Maple Leafs | 3c | 1,051$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Maple Leafs | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 999.95$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.98 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Islanders | 57c | 979.92$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.65 | 119 | 33.6%40 W · 79 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…ea7abacked Maple Leafs | 23c | 944$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.23 | 233 | 48.5%113 W · 120 L | +16.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Islanders | 58c | 940.29$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.5 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e20…a578backed Islanders | 57c | 900$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Maple Leafs | 11c | 900$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 273 | 34.4%94 W · 179 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3754…2d4ebacked Islanders | 59c | 900$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 892.42$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.97 | 265 | 51.3%136 W · 129 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Islanders | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 295 | 51.9%153 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Islanders vs. Maple Leafsthis page
- Islanders vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 4.5Under won
- Islanders vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 5.5Under won
- Islanders vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5Under won
- Islanders vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Islanders (-1.5)Islanders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.