NHL · resolved market
Islanders vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58bf9bbaba8c9d5f8facf6fdef3674084978943323ecda62a0736538b46cd88e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $659,077
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $659,077 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 55c | 415,487$228,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228,517.88 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 45c | 225,627$101,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124,094.99 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 45c | 100,000$45,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,000 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Under | 45c | 97,885$44,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,836.79 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Over | 55c | 80,000$44,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,999.98 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 45c | 69,076$31,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,991.54 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 55c | 22,108$12,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,159.29 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 45c | 14,862$6,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,173.99 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed Under | 45c | 14,000$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,700 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Under | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 54c | 8,350$4,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,508.93 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Over | 55c | 3,955$2,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,175.25 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.22 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 54c | 2,222$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.88 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.33 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 55c | 1,500$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.01 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 54c | 999.89$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.94 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 46c | 915.59$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.39 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 44c | 880.12$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.87 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…af00backed Under | 72c | 800$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Over | 56c | 782.76$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.57 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 28c | 780$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.93 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Under | 46c | 760.87$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.87 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 65c | 676.1$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.36 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…0095backed Under | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.17 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Under | 37c | 618.05$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.03 | 119 | 33.6%40 W · 79 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Over | 65c | 580$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 45c | 579.82$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.9 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Over | 55c | 557.88$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.83 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Over | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd708…b9d2backed Over | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +6.2wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 35c | 542$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.3 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 56c | 479.94$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.45 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x818c…b0adbacked Over | 63c | 446.25$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…3406backed Under | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…20e9backed Under | 45c | 372.73$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Over | 62c | 320.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 48c | 275.89$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.95 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Over | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 56c | 270.22$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.05 | 294 | 48.6%143 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over | 55c | 247$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.85 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Over | 56c | 232.14$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 37c | 223.32$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.51 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Under | 45c | 221.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.06 | 143 | 53.1%76 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Over | 64c | 201.74$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.53 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 37c | 175.9$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.82 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93f1…b99dbacked Over | 60c | 162.83$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Under | 45c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +10.3wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed Over | 55c | 146.36$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…978fbacked Over | 55c | 144.82$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.65 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Under | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9094…dcabbacked Over | 56c | 130$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d6…04a8backed Over | 56c | 125$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 48c | 122.92$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.73 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4a…7045backed Over | 55c | 116$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7171…81f7backed Under | 46c | 113$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.02 | 276 | 52.2%144 W · 132 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 45c | 111.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe006…6e9ebacked Under | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +28%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88fc…74a4backed Under | 56c | 106.97$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.97 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe86…6763backed Over | 55c | 105.45$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e4…4bc7backed Under | 45c | 105.2$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.86 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 427 | 50.8%217 W · 210 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…4f43backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked Over | 55c | 90.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…2a41backed Over | 55c | 88.64$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed Over | 55c | 84.44$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.59 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeac9…4092backed Over | 56c | 78.94$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.82 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 54c | 78.06$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.46 | 272 | 50%136 W · 136 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 55c | 77.8$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.79 | 337 | 45.7%154 W · 183 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…10c3backed Over | 55c | 75.79$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.68 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 47c | 72.62$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.13 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed Over | 56c | 72.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.36 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over | 56c | 69$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…6ecbbacked Over | 55c | 66.67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.67 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72f0…e92bbacked Over | 55c | 66.13$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…a3cebacked Under | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbde2…3fcfbacked Under | 45c | 65.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.77 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa028…0031backed Over | 55c | 62.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 60c | 61.8$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.06 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Over | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Over | 56c | 59$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 45c | 58.67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.27 | 228 | 53.9%123 W · 105 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…b19fbacked Over | 56c | 56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed Under | 38c | 56$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.96 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 28c | 55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5e…5bd4backed Under | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…8ca1backed Under | 46c | 54.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x851d…a743backed Under | 45c | 51.85$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb92b…cc3fbacked Over | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae07…8059backed Under | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 46c | 46.93$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.47 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | -12.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 41c | 46.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.61 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 39c | 43.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 384 | 47.4%182 W · 202 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Under | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 108 | 64.8%70 W · 38 L | +12.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b78…324ebacked Over | 53c | 43.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 58c | 40.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Over | 27c | 38.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…62cbbacked Over | 55c | 38.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Islanders vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 5.5this page
- Islanders vs. Maple LeafsIslanders won
- Islanders vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 4.5Under won
- Islanders vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5Under won
- Islanders vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Islanders (-1.5)Islanders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.