TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x72f0…e92b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
117
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst Serie A at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT8558.8%50 W · 35 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 85 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Hawks (-7.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.05
Timberwolves vs. Pacers: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$11.54
Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+89.6%+$10.82
Spread: Nuggets (-16.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.58
Spread: Knicks (-13.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.65
Cavaliers vs. Lakersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.74
Trail Blazers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.29
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.96
Raptors vs. Pistonsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.77
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.94
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$27.97
Bulls vs. Spurs: O/U 244.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.72
Bulls vs. Spurs: O/U 242.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+103.8%+$18.03
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.1
Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+111.9%+$29.82
Spread: Trail Blazers (-16.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$63.77
Spread: Hornets (-2.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.38
Celtics vs. Hornets: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.03
Celtics vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.56
Spread: Clippers (-17.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.82
Spread: Suns (-16.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.82
Spread: Hornets (-6.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.51
Spread: Spurs (-17.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$114.46
Spurs vs. Bucks: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.42
Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+99.4%+$32.82
Showing 25 of 85 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT2060%12 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.86
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 139.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$10.14
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$39.27
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-8.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+100.1%+$74.81
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-4.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+94.9%+$46.16
Spread: Florida Gators (-10.5)backed Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.32
VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 150.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.25
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-11.5)backed TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.09
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 151.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+100.7%+$15.75
Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-4.5)backed Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$36.17
Spread: UCLA Bruins (-5.5)backed UCF Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+101.9%+$19.7
Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-11.5)backed Hofstra Pride · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.88
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-6.5)backed Akron Zips · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.39
Spread: Kentucky Wildcats (-3.5)backed Santa Clara Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.54
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Santa Clara Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.88
Kennesaw State Owls vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs: O/U 153.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$31.66
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-25.5)backed Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$11.21
Spread: North Carolina Tar Heels (-2.5)backed VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+94.6%+$102.26
Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$65.75
Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-12.5)backed Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+91.1%+$42.13
All 20 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+49.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Twins vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.72
Final Stage: USA vs. Venezuelabacked Venezuela · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+199.6%+$104.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Juventus FC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.41
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.