NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Pacers: O/U 233.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5cdb92c1b360589fb6693ac2705874f8d9a729bea4ebe362ece3abf4ad8acc65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,422,519
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,464,782
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,422,519 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 304 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 48c | 503,732$242,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261,404.23 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 51c | 465,947$238,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238,684.5 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Over | 53c | 384,501$202,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202,510.13 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Over | 52c | 122,626$63,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,765.51 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Under | 49c | 107,688$52,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,920.78 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 47c | 64,055$29,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,080.43 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 49c | 55,000$26,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,050 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 49c | 54,560$26,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,825.73 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Under | 47c | 39,718$18,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,239.37 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 49c | 31,552$15,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,177.91 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 46c | 30,537$14,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,438.49 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 29,854$14,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,456.61 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 52c | 28,792$15,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,034.78 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Over | 52c | 23,768$12,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,359.36 | 207 | 44.9%93 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 48c | 22,382$10,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,558.92 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Under | 48c | 15,578$7,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,034.65 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Under | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,800 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Under | 49c | 15,000$7,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,650 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8aba…4961backed Under | 47c | 14,926$7,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,910.52 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 51c | 14,648$7,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,523.91 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Under | 49c | 14,541$7,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,415.91 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Under | 22c | 13,993$3,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,914.22 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Under | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400.04 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Under | 48c | 9,900$4,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,147.96 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 50c | 9,427$4,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,713.26 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Under | 48c | 8,708$4,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,528.06 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | -18.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked Over | 52c | 8,635$4,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,468.4 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bd…3096backed Under | 48c | 8,288$3,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,309.64 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Under | 45c | 8,123$3,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,453.53 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 51c | 8,000$4,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,105.01 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 49c | 7,903$3,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,030.42 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 49c | 5,696$2,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,916.34 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Over | 53c | 5,500$2,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,914.99 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Under | 49c | 5,409$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,758.57 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 50c | 4,260$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,130.1 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 47c | 3,873$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,052.58 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Under | 49c | 3,775$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,925.22 | 135 | 63%85 W · 50 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Under | 47c | 3,124$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,655.88 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +109.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Over | 52c | 2,513$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296.8 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Over | 62c | 2,348$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.89 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Over | 53c | 2,299$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.68 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 49c | 2,161$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.11 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 46c | 2,103$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.88 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Under | 48c | 2,002$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.03 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under | 46c | 1,989$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.21 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 49c | 1,984$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.83 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 49c | 1,939$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.79 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 54c | 1,820$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.91 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…0162backed Over | 54c | 1,801$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.4 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -5.6wins | -0.29per pick | 50cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Under | 49c | 1,644$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.25 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 47c | 1,642$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.21 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 54c | 1,606$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.55 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 72c | 1,368$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.89 | 145 | 56.6%82 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 48c | 1,282$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.94 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 38c | 1,226$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.06 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Under | 48c | 1,205$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.64 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Under | 50c | 1,032$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.99 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Under | 49c | 998.93$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.45 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b45…d196backed Under | 50c | 997.24$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.62 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under | 47c | 968.2$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.15 | 377 | 55.2%208 W · 169 L | +23.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3d…b570backed Over | 52c | 933.83$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.59 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under | 48c | 909$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.68 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Under | 49c | 893.79$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.83 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 50c | 865.21$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.6 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Under | 50c | 773.98$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.99 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Over | 65c | 753.76$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.48 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6265…0d9fbacked Over | 52c | 747.08$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.48 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Over | 2c | 738$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +21.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e95…4183backed Over | 53c | 733.43$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.72 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Under | 47c | 719.33$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.25 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Under | 49c | 705.65$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.88 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 50c | 677.64$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.82 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 49c | 658.81$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.58 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 49c | 593.96$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.96 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 52c | 589.79$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.69 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 52c | 553.64$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.89 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 53c | 550$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.5 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 54c | 544.02$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.77 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over | 52c | 539.16$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.62 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 48c | 537.58$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.43 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0da…b072backed Over | 52c | 516.66$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.66 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Over | 52c | 504.55$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.9 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 49c | 494.58$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.22 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Under | 47c | 494.4$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.03 | 624 | 50%312 W · 312 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 48c | 486.63$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.05 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf98…735fbacked Over | 51c | 474.01$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 46c | 454.19$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.11 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed Under | 50c | 423.29$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.64 | 313 | 54.6%171 W · 142 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb408…e303backed Under | 47c | 409.94$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.27 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 43c | 382.21$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.87 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Under | 48c | 379.61$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.18 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb988…f50fbacked Over | 51c | 378.74$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.97 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…8314backed Over | 52c | 373.64$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.24 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 43c | 367.39$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.41 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Under | 50c | 339.41$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.7 | 186 | 48.9%91 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Under | 50c | 331.6$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.8 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ba…3bccbacked Over | 24c | 326$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.24 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +10%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Pacers: O/U 233.5this page
- Donte DiVincenzo: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Jarace Walker: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
- Kobe Brown: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
- Mike Conley: Points O/U 5.5Yes won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-12.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-15.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-19.5)Timberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. PacersTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Pacers: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Pacers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Pacers: O/U 229.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Pacers: O/U 231.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Pacers: O/U 232.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Pacers: O/U 235.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Pacers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Pacers: O/U 241.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.