NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Pacers: O/U 232.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55ae774bc6e3197dc3b86544cbedf2c6b007f8460d87e089558f978446036229
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,019
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,018
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,019 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 51c | 1,531$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.27 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 46c | 1,181$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.66 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 47c | 637.46$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.78 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 54c | 437.58$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.29 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 47c | 344.81$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.44 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Under | 46c | 326$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.04 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 47c | 251.64$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.37 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 49c | 232$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.46 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 43c | 204.65$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.65 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over | 53c | 195.87$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.81 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c773backed Under | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 187.05$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.01 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 52c | 170.37$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.59 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 46c | 127.13$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.65 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 48c | 96.88$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.38 | 279 | 45.9%128 W · 151 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 58c | 88.22$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.95 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 47c | 85.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Over | 61c | 74.64$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.53 | 378 | 48.7%184 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 44c | 74.23$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.53 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ca…3d64backed Under | 50c | 49.41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.81 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under | 51c | 48.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Over | 54c | 48.18$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 160 | 53.8%86 W · 74 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 54c | 48.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Over | 54c | 48.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 414 | 49.3%204 W · 210 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 54c | 48.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 54c | 48.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Over | 54c | 48.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 54c | 48.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Over | 54c | 48.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccb…604ebacked Over | 54c | 48.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over | 54c | 48.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 54c | 48.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 54c | 48.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 54c | 48.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 54c | 48.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 54c | 48.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…8314backed Over | 54c | 48.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Over | 54c | 48.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Over | 54c | 48.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 54c | 48.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Over | 54c | 48.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Under | 42c | 47.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 107 | 18.7%20 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Over | 53c | 45.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Over | 54c | 45.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1f…acafbacked Over | 54c | 45.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Over | 54c | 45.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 49c | 38.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc636…447dbacked Under | 53c | 35.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 46c | 31.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Under | 48c | 30.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +5.4wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Under | 46c | 30.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.23 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…7197backed Over | 53c | 29.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Over | 53c | 28.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x792a…7364backed Over | 51c | 28.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Over | 54c | 24.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 533 | 49.3%263 W · 270 L | -28.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 48c | 22.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Pacers: O/U 232.5this page
- Donte DiVincenzo: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Jarace Walker: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
- Kobe Brown: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
- Mike Conley: Points O/U 5.5Yes won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-12.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-15.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-19.5)Timberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. PacersTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Pacers: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Pacers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Pacers: O/U 229.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Pacers: O/U 231.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Pacers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Pacers: O/U 235.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Pacers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Pacers: O/U 241.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.