NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Pacers: O/U 231.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3406ba19e02771ebf988933e1d87f6c7abc367e75908776c03dbab6962c56df3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,560
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,136
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,560 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 29c | 10,063$2,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,917.98 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x144e…eca0backed Under | 48c | 5,485$2,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,852.15 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 47c | 5,179$2,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,745.12 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 46c | 4,687$2,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,138.76 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 28c | 4,422$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,174.3 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 49c | 2,097$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.36 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 1,275$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.35 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77d4…3983backed Under | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.98 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6447…8075backed Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 52c | 974.14$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.19 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…728abacked Under | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 50c | 793.46$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.73 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8188…b171backed Under | 48c | 763.33$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.93 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 74c | 665.21$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.2 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 50c | 621.7$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.85 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Over | 67c | 605.87$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.93 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Under | 36c | 598.49$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.09 | 68 | 17.6%12 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd421…7155backed Under | 39c | 525.05$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.79 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 43c | 489.44$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.98 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 52c | 489.11$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.43 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Over | 52c | 489.11$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.43 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 43c | 484.67$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.29 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 52c | 483.99$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.2 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 52c | 483.99$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.2 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 52c | 483.99$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.2 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 52c | 483.99$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.2 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 52c | 483.99$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.2 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 43c | 482.9$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.25 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Over | 52c | 479.78$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.84 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 34c | 466.92$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.08 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 52c | 451.21$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.72 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 57c | 444.37$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.29 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Over | 53c | 388.72$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.02 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Over | 50c | 388$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Over | 52c | 373.54$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.24 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Over | 52c | 368.58$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.48 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 56c | 347.71$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.72 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 47c | 317.84$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.33 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa411…99d2backed Under | 51c | 297$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2148…db5bbacked Over | 50c | 295.85$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f38…36c1backed Under | 46c | 288.26$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.66 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 44c | 273.59$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.59 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 47c | 271.08$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.67 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Under | 44c | 264.77$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.27 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 48c | 248.33$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.54 | 520 | 53.3%277 W · 243 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 52c | 226.44$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.75 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 50c | 224.04$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.02 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 57c | 222.19$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.65 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Over | 57c | 222.19$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.65 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 33c | 201.55$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.96 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Over | 49c | 199.97$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d4…b79fbacked Under | 45c | 193.4$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.37 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d0…1310backed Over | 53c | 192.72$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.34 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Over | 52c | 190.98$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.48 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 48c | 187.22$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.6 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 52c | 175.46$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.39 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 47c | 155.32$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.58 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Over | 52c | 153.52$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.94 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 59c | 147.49$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.02 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…860abacked Under | 46c | 147.24$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.51 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 46c | 133$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.82 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 44c | 131$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.36 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 24c | 130.6$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Under | 46c | 126.77$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.55 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 48c | 124.01$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.38 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf433…2464backed Under | 48c | 121.1$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.97 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 74c | 119.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.79 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Over | 56c | 116.83$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.43 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Under | 46c | 105.17$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.79 | 561 | 54.5%306 W · 255 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 49c | 104.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.75 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Under | 50c | 99.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.96 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Over | 52c | 97.59$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.92 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Over | 52c | 97.59$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.92 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 35c | 89.51$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.47 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x199f…7e77backed Over | 67c | 87.78$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.81 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed Over | 57c | 85.25$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 276 | 46.7%129 W · 147 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c81…5d38backed Under | 41c | 77.94$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.98 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Under | 44c | 75.8$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.45 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebb5…ec99backed Over | 69c | 71.12$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.07 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over | 58c | 68.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Over | 52c | 65.37$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 368 | 52.2%192 W · 176 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 19c | 64.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52cb…4007backed Under | 80c | 63.3$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -5.5wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf237…4989backed Under | 47c | 53.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1f…acafbacked Over | 52c | 50.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49d…91a8backed Over | 25c | 50.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…fa34backed Over | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7987…884abacked Under | 48c | 46.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 258 | 50%129 W · 129 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ca…3d64backed Under | 49c | 45.82$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Over | 62c | 44.15$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 149 | 31.5%47 W · 102 L | -18.4wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 40c | 44.05$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.53 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Over | 52c | 43.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 319 | 53%169 W · 150 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15bb…2033backed Over | 53c | 41.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f74…4adabacked Under | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 188 | 50.5%95 W · 93 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9e…8e90backed Over | 55c | 38.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…7936backed Under | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Pacers: O/U 231.5this page
- Donte DiVincenzo: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Jarace Walker: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
- Kobe Brown: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
- Mike Conley: Points O/U 5.5Yes won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-12.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-15.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-19.5)Timberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. PacersTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Pacers: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Pacers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Pacers: O/U 229.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Pacers: O/U 232.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Pacers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Pacers: O/U 235.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Pacers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Pacers: O/U 241.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.